Game Analysis
The veteran journeymen quarterback extravaganza pits two signal callers who have played for a combined 13 teams, or a jersey for each disciple plus Jesus himself. Josh McCown and Fitzy square off in a battle which could be one of the pad-your-stats game against porous defenses that keeps these QBs in the league. As the Jets defense ranks 30th in NYPP allowed and the Browns D is right behind, ranking 31st. An interesting matchup that these two teams excel at is the Jets Run D (as they are the best in the league, holding teams to 2.9 YPR) vs. the Browns rushing offense, which has averaged 4.8 YPR, ranking them 2nd in the NFL. The advanced stats model sees value on the Over and road chalk, so OVER (43.5) is a Strong Opinion and a lean to the Jets (-3).
Pass
-
Pass Plays
38.0
37.6
-
Succ Pass Plays
41.5%
52.4%
-
Sack Rate
6.1%
5.0%
-
Int Rate
4.2%
1.6%
-
Deep Pass Rate
20.5%
17.3%
-
Big Pass Yards
36.2%
40.3%
-
NYPP
6.2
7.6
Rush
-
Rush Plays
25.7
24.6
-
RB YPR
3.8
2.9
-
Stuff Rate
19.6%
34.8%
-
Succ Rush Plays
41.2%
32.3%
-
Big Rush Yards
32.2%
42.5%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.9
2.9
Game
-
All Snaps
63.7
62.1
-
Early Down Succ
43.0%
49.4%
-
Succ Rate
41.7%
44.6%
-
Big Yards Rate
35.0%
44.7%
-
Yards Per Play
5.2
5.8
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.1%
0.7%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
29.4
27.5
-
Run Ratio
39.6%
39.0%
-
Starting Field Pos
26.1
27.9
-
Game Control
-4.0
4.0
Pass
-
Pass Plays
38.4
36.0
-
Succ Pass Plays
43.3%
50.6%
-
Sack Rate
7.7%
5.3%
-
Int Rate
3.0%
2.5%
-
Deep Pass Rate
17.7%
18.9%
-
Big Pass Yards
36.8%
46.3%
-
NYPP
5.9
8.0
Rush
-
Rush Plays
24.1
30.1
-
RB YPR
4.5
4.5
-
Stuff Rate
30.9%
16.7%
-
Succ Rush Plays
39.0%
48.7%
-
Big Rush Yards
53.5%
38.3%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.8
4.7
Game
-
All Snaps
62.6
66.1
-
Early Down Succ
43.3%
50.8%
-
Succ Rate
42.1%
49.8%
-
Big Yards Rate
46.8%
45.6%
-
Yards Per Play
5.6
6.5
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.6%
0.5%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.6
29.2
-
Run Ratio
38.5%
45.8%
-
Starting Field Pos
24.2
29.9
-
Game Control
-5.3
5.3
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
CIN |
22 – 23 L |
1.8 |
36.1% / 48.6% |
2.8% / 18.9% |
2.9% / 3.3% |
5.2 / 8.8 |
56.7% / 42.1% |
16.7% / 26.3% |
5.1 / 3.1 |
66 / 56 |
48.1% / 52.3% |
45.5% / 46.4% |
40.6% / 68.6% |
5.2 / 6.8 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
45.5% / 33.9% |
33.5 / 26.2 |
2 |
@BUF |
37 – 31 W |
2.8 |
57.1% / 53.3% |
2.9% / 0.0% |
0.0% / 3.3% |
10.6 / 10.2 |
45.9% / 47.4% |
16.2% / 42.1% |
3.4 / 4.5 |
72 / 49 |
50.9% / 56.8% |
51.4% / 51.0% |
54.5% / 54.5% |
6.9 / 8.0 |
1.4% / 0.0% |
51.4% / 38.8% |
24.6 / 26.1 |
3 |
@KC |
3 – 24 L |
-10.3 |
34.1% / 48.6% |
0.0% / 5.7% |
13.6% / 0.0% |
4.3 / 6.3 |
50.0% / 30.0% |
13.6% / 33.3% |
5.3 / 2.5 |
66 / 65 |
36.0% / 43.2% |
39.4% / 40.0% |
39.0% / 40.2% |
4.6 / 4.6 |
3.0% / 1.5% |
33.3% / 46.2% |
30.1 / 27.3 |
4 |
SEA |
17 – 27 L |
-5.2 |
40.0% / 61.8% |
8.9% / 5.9% |
7.3% / 0.0% |
5.5 / 8.5 |
30.0% / 31.0% |
25.0% / 31.0% |
2.9 / 2.4 |
65 / 63 |
32.7% / 57.4% |
36.9% / 47.6% |
16.7% / 56.3% |
4.7 / 5.7 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
30.8% / 46.0% |
20.3 / 32.8 |
5 |
@PIT |
13 – 31 L |
-4.6 |
46.3% / 60.4% |
7.3% / 2.1% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
6.0 / 7.8 |
47.1% / 26.9% |
29.4% / 23.1% |
4.2 / 2.4 |
58 / 74 |
54.3% / 52.5% |
46.6% / 48.6% |
8.9% / 23.9% |
5.4 / 5.9 |
0.0% / 1.4% |
29.3% / 35.1% |
21.1 / 32.3 |
6 |
@ARI |
3 – 28 L |
-12.2 |
39.5% / 60.0% |
2.6% / 0.0% |
5.4% / 0.0% |
5.2 / 6.4 |
21.4% / 40.5% |
21.4% / 29.7% |
2.4 / 4.7 |
52 / 72 |
40.5% / 52.6% |
34.6% / 50.0% |
25.7% / 27.9% |
4.4 / 5.5 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
26.9% / 51.4% |
20.9 / 25.7 |
7 |
BAL |
24 – 16 W |
-0.4 |
37.0% / 34.1% |
18.5% / 2.3% |
0.0% / 4.7% |
7.0 / 5.4 |
37.5% / 8.3% |
15.0% / 58.3% |
3.9 / 0.5 |
67 / 56 |
38.8% / 31.0% |
37.3% / 28.6% |
59.4% / 41.6% |
5.1 / 4.4 |
3.0% / 1.8% |
59.7% / 21.4% |
32.3 / 25.3 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
@PHI |
10 – 29 L |
-7.9 |
27.6% / 43.6% |
10.3% / 5.1% |
3.8% / 0.0% |
5.8 / 6.9 |
38.1% / 50.0% |
28.6% / 11.8% |
5.7 / 3.9 |
50 / 73 |
36.8% / 49.1% |
32.0% / 46.6% |
71.9% / 30.0% |
5.8 / 5.5 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
42.0% / 46.6% |
20.8 / 38.2 |
2 |
BAL |
20 – 25 L |
7.1 |
47.2% / 46.7% |
8.3% / 0.0% |
6.1% / 4.4% |
6.7 / 6.7 |
26.1% / 30.8% |
43.5% / 19.2% |
6.3 / 3.1 |
59 / 71 |
32.6% / 35.2% |
39.0% / 40.8% |
53.2% / 37.2% |
6.6 / 5.4 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
39.0% / 36.6% |
25.7 / 27.5 |
3 |
@MIA |
24 – 30 L |
-2.6 |
40.5% / 53.8% |
9.5% / 2.6% |
0.0% / 5.3% |
6.2 / 8.0 |
51.5% / 56.0% |
24.2% / 12.0% |
5.2 / 4.6 |
75 / 64 |
51.7% / 61.1% |
45.3% / 54.7% |
58.7% / 47.2% |
5.7 / 6.7 |
1.3% / 1.6% |
44.0% / 39.1% |
26.8 / 28.7 |
4 |
@WAS |
20 – 31 L |
-3.5 |
55.0% / 56.7% |
2.5% / 10.0% |
2.6% / 3.7% |
5.4 / 5.2 |
57.1% / 61.5% |
21.4% / 23.1% |
5.8 / 5.6 |
68 / 56 |
54.5% / 60.4% |
55.9% / 58.9% |
27.6% / 45.2% |
5.6 / 5.4 |
2.9% / 0.0% |
41.2% / 46.4% |
27.6 / 31.9 |
5 |
NE |
13 – 33 L |
-15.1 |
45.9% / 47.6% |
5.4% / 2.4% |
2.9% / 0.0% |
6.4 / 9.6 |
13.0% / 42.1% |
39.1% / 15.8% |
1.2 / 2.6 |
60 / 80 |
34.1% / 46.6% |
33.3% / 45.0% |
28.5% / 54.3% |
4.4 / 6.3 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
38.3% / 47.5% |
20.7 / 30.6 |
6 |
@TEN |
26 – 28 L |
-6.2 |
43.8% / 57.7% |
12.5% / 7.7% |
0.0% / 4.2% |
6.3 / 10.4 |
33.3% / 37.5% |
40.0% / 25.0% |
2.7 / 4.3 |
63 / 58 |
44.7% / 46.5% |
41.3% / 46.6% |
42.8% / 47.8% |
5.4 / 7.0 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
23.8% / 55.2% |
20.8 / 32.7 |
7 |
@CIN |
17 – 31 L |
-8.9 |
43.2% / 48.4% |
5.4% / 9.7% |
5.7% / 0.0% |
4.6 / 9.3 |
53.8% / 63.3% |
19.2% / 10.0% |
6.9 / 9.0 |
63 / 61 |
49.0% / 56.9% |
47.6% / 55.7% |
44.6% / 57.8% |
5.6 / 9.2 |
0.0% / 1.6% |
41.3% / 49.2% |
26.8 / 20.0 |