Game Analysis
The Vikings are a team of extremes, boasting the #2 ranked pass defense, holding opponents to a paltry 5.3 NYPP and the #4 ranked overall defense. Offensively they are on the complete opposite end of the spectrum, ranking dead last in yards per rush and averaging the second worst yards per play in the NFL. Sam ‘Sleeves’ Bradford can not be blamed for this offensive malfunction as he has performed above his below-average historical prior, with a 9-1 TD/INT ratio, 68% completion percentage, and 6.2 NYPP. All numbers which exceed his time in Philly/St. Louis. The problem is that he was never that good to begin with, and a patch-work offensive line that can’t run effectively (2.6 YPR) is doing him no favors. The Washington defense has improved this year, ranking an average 17th in passing defense (allowing 6.5 NYPP) after ranking 25th last year. Sleeves will see a different unit than he was used to in the NFC East, as the Washington defensive line is able to get after the quarterback with the 3rd best sack rate in the league at 7.8% . The advanced stats model sees fewer points than expected so UNDER (42.5) MIN/WAS is a Strong Opinion. Lean to Vikings (+3)
Pass
-
Pass Plays
37.8
38.8
-
Succ Pass Plays
46.8%
44.6%
-
Sack Rate
6.8%
5.8%
-
Int Rate
0.5%
3.1%
-
Deep Pass Rate
15.8%
18.4%
-
Big Pass Yards
36.5%
33.2%
-
NYPP
6.3
5.6
Rush
-
Rush Plays
27.3
23.9
-
RB YPR
2.5
3.9
-
Stuff Rate
27.9%
22.3%
-
Succ Rush Plays
38.2%
43.2%
-
Big Rush Yards
24.4%
39.4%
-
Yards Per Rush
2.6
4.0
Game
-
All Snaps
65.1
62.7
-
Early Down Succ
45.2%
45.3%
-
Succ Rate
42.7%
43.4%
-
Big Yards Rate
33.6%
35.3%
-
Yards Per Play
4.7
4.9
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.6%
1.4%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.7
28.3
-
Run Ratio
41.8%
38.2%
-
Starting Field Pos
31.2
24.8
-
Game Control
0.5
-0.5
Pass
-
Pass Plays
40.4
38.8
-
Succ Pass Plays
52.3%
49.6%
-
Sack Rate
3.5%
7.7%
-
Int Rate
2.0%
1.7%
-
Deep Pass Rate
17.7%
15.5%
-
Big Pass Yards
39.0%
38.4%
-
NYPP
7.2
6.6
Rush
-
Rush Plays
25.8
25.3
-
RB YPR
4.3
4.5
-
Stuff Rate
18.6%
22.3%
-
Succ Rush Plays
50.4%
54.2%
-
Big Rush Yards
41.1%
44.6%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.4
4.6
Game
-
All Snaps
66.2
64.1
-
Early Down Succ
54.6%
53.4%
-
Succ Rate
51.4%
51.5%
-
Big Yards Rate
41.5%
41.3%
-
Yards Per Play
6.2
5.7
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.8%
1.0%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.9
28.2
-
Run Ratio
38.7%
39.5%
-
Starting Field Pos
28.1
26.8
-
Game Control
-0.2
0.2
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
@TEN |
25 – 16 W |
-0.0 |
42.4% / 58.1% |
0.0% / 4.7% |
0.0% / 2.4% |
7.2 / 5.9 |
31.0% / 50.0% |
27.6% / 31.8% |
2.3 / 2.9 |
62 / 65 |
37.0% / 54.9% |
37.1% / 55.4% |
24.8% / 24.4% |
4.9 / 4.9 |
0.0% / 3.1% |
46.8% / 33.8% |
35.1 / 26.4 |
2 |
GB |
17 – 14 W |
1.0 |
37.1% / 39.0% |
11.4% / 12.2% |
0.0% / 2.8% |
7.3 / 4.4 |
28.0% / 39.1% |
48.0% / 21.7% |
1.2 / 3.6 |
60 / 64 |
36.6% / 38.0% |
33.3% / 39.1% |
44.6% / 39.9% |
4.8 / 4.1 |
1.7% / 3.1% |
41.7% / 35.9% |
32.5 / 20.8 |
3 |
@CAR |
22 – 10 W |
0.7 |
43.3% / 34.1% |
6.7% / 18.2% |
0.0% / 8.3% |
5.1 / 4.6 |
30.8% / 46.4% |
34.6% / 7.1% |
2.3 / 3.8 |
56 / 72 |
45.0% / 41.5% |
37.5% / 38.9% |
6.6% / 41.5% |
3.8 / 4.3 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
46.4% / 38.9% |
29.9 / 24.0 |
4 |
NYG |
24 – 10 W |
10.0 |
47.2% / 37.8% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
0.0% / 2.2% |
7.3 / 5.8 |
28.6% / 44.4% |
20.0% / 11.1% |
3.0 / 4.3 |
71 / 63 |
37.3% / 46.9% |
38.0% / 39.7% |
42.7% / 24.8% |
5.2 / 5.4 |
0.0% / 1.6% |
49.3% / 28.6% |
31.3 / 23.0 |
5 |
HOU |
31 – 13 W |
17.1 |
56.3% / 30.4% |
6.3% / 8.7% |
0.0% / 2.4% |
8.0 / 3.4 |
33.3% / 50.0% |
23.1% / 28.6% |
2.5 / 4.2 |
71 / 60 |
44.4% / 43.5% |
43.7% / 35.0% |
37.7% / 33.6% |
5.0 / 3.6 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
54.9% / 23.3% |
28.6 / 28.3 |
7 |
@PHI |
10 – 20 L |
-7.6 |
31.9% / 42.9% |
12.8% / 0.0% |
2.4% / 7.1% |
4.0 / 4.9 |
46.4% / 33.3% |
25.0% / 22.2% |
3.4 / 3.8 |
75 / 55 |
35.3% / 39.0% |
37.3% / 38.2% |
36.4% / 26.7% |
3.8 / 4.4 |
4.0% / 3.6% |
37.3% / 49.1% |
37.7 / 29.2 |
8 |
@CHI |
10 – 20 L |
-10.2 |
45.2% / 53.1% |
11.9% / 3.1% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
4.8 / 7.7 |
38.9% / 41.4% |
5.6% / 31.0% |
3.2 / 5.4 |
60 / 61 |
48.9% / 46.8% |
43.3% / 47.5% |
38.0% / 53.1% |
4.3 / 6.6 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
30.0% / 47.5% |
23.3 / 21.7 |
9 |
DET |
16 – 22 L |
-2.7 |
57.1% / 47.2% |
4.8% / 2.8% |
0.0% / 2.9% |
6.2 / 5.9 |
64.0% / 32.0% |
24.0% / 40.0% |
3.1 / 3.9 |
67 / 61 |
64.7% / 38.3% |
59.7% / 41.0% |
25.8% / 45.0% |
5.0 / 5.1 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
37.3% / 41.0% |
34.1 / 21.5 |
10 |
@WAS |
20 – 26 L |
-3.4 |
60.5% / 58.8% |
7.0% / 2.9% |
2.5% / 0.0% |
6.6 / 7.6 |
42.9% / 51.7% |
42.9% / 6.9% |
2.2 / 4.4 |
64 / 63 |
57.7% / 59.2% |
54.7% / 55.6% |
45.6% / 28.3% |
5.2 / 6.2 |
0.0% / 1.6% |
32.8% / 46.0% |
28.5 / 28.2 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
PIT |
16 – 38 L |
-6.2 |
48.8% / 60.5% |
0.0% / 2.6% |
4.7% / 2.7% |
7.7 / 7.6 |
58.3% / 65.6% |
25.0% / 12.5% |
4.6 / 4.6 |
55 / 70 |
58.1% / 64.7% |
50.9% / 62.9% |
25.0% / 59.2% |
7.0 / 6.2 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
21.8% / 45.7% |
30.1 / 27.3 |
2 |
DAL |
23 – 27 L |
-1.7 |
51.1% / 52.9% |
4.3% / 11.8% |
2.2% / 0.0% |
7.4 / 8.2 |
58.8% / 50.0% |
17.6% / 26.7% |
4.8 / 3.4 |
64 / 64 |
56.9% / 51.0% |
53.1% / 51.6% |
49.5% / 33.4% |
6.8 / 5.9 |
0.0% / 1.6% |
26.6% / 46.9% |
31.0 / 27.7 |
3 |
@NYG |
29 – 27 W |
-3.7 |
45.9% / 52.5% |
5.4% / 5.0% |
0.0% / 5.3% |
8.5 / 8.4 |
37.5% / 47.6% |
15.6% / 19.0% |
2.9 / 5.7 |
69 / 61 |
43.8% / 51.9% |
42.0% / 50.8% |
56.0% / 47.3% |
5.9 / 7.5 |
1.4% / 1.6% |
46.4% / 34.4% |
35.9 / 28.5 |
4 |
CLE |
31 – 20 W |
3.5 |
56.7% / 55.0% |
10.0% / 2.5% |
3.7% / 2.6% |
5.2 / 5.4 |
61.5% / 57.1% |
23.1% / 21.4% |
5.6 / 5.8 |
56 / 68 |
60.4% / 54.5% |
58.9% / 55.9% |
45.2% / 27.6% |
5.4 / 5.6 |
0.0% / 2.9% |
46.4% / 41.2% |
31.9 / 27.6 |
5 |
@BAL |
16 – 10 W |
-0.1 |
61.0% / 36.0% |
2.4% / 6.0% |
2.5% / 0.0% |
6.1 / 3.8 |
33.3% / 57.9% |
23.8% / 31.6% |
2.9 / 6.2 |
62 / 69 |
60.9% / 49.0% |
51.6% / 42.0% |
31.8% / 24.2% |
5.0 / 4.4 |
1.6% / 1.4% |
33.9% / 27.5% |
24.5 / 26.2 |
6 |
PHI |
27 – 20 W |
5.8 |
41.2% / 29.6% |
0.0% / 18.5% |
2.9% / 0.0% |
7.7 / 5.4 |
47.1% / 50.0% |
26.5% / 22.7% |
6.8 / 4.3 |
68 / 49 |
43.4% / 42.9% |
44.1% / 38.8% |
63.4% / 59.2% |
7.3 / 4.9 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
50.0% / 44.9% |
20.5 / 24.0 |
7 |
@DET |
17 – 20 L |
-2.7 |
56.1% / 50.0% |
4.9% / 9.4% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
6.9 / 7.8 |
55.2% / 52.6% |
10.3% / 15.8% |
4.6 / 4.9 |
70 / 51 |
54.5% / 54.8% |
55.7% / 51.0% |
33.3% / 51.2% |
6.0 / 6.7 |
2.9% / 0.0% |
41.4% / 37.3% |
25.8 / 25.3 |
8 |
@CIN |
27 – 27 T |
-0.1 |
50.9% / 48.9% |
1.8% / 6.7% |
1.8% / 2.4% |
7.8 / 5.8 |
50.0% / 63.9% |
18.8% / 8.3% |
3.2 / 4.2 |
89 / 81 |
54.4% / 54.5% |
50.6% / 55.6% |
40.8% / 24.1% |
6.1 / 5.1 |
0.0% / 1.2% |
36.0% / 44.4% |
25.0 / 26.3 |
10 |
MIN |
26 – 20 W |
3.4 |
58.8% / 60.5% |
2.9% / 7.0% |
0.0% / 2.5% |
7.6 / 6.6 |
51.7% / 42.9% |
6.9% / 42.9% |
4.4 / 2.2 |
63 / 64 |
59.2% / 57.7% |
55.6% / 54.7% |
28.3% / 45.6% |
6.2 / 5.2 |
1.6% / 0.0% |
46.0% / 32.8% |
28.2 / 28.5 |