Minnesota Vikings @

Washington Redskins

Sun, Nov 13
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 261
Odds: Washington Redskins -3, Total: 42.5

Game Analysis

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The Vikings are a team of extremes, boasting the #2 ranked pass defense, holding opponents to a paltry 5.3 NYPP and the #4 ranked overall defense.  Offensively they are on the complete opposite end of the spectrum,  ranking dead last in yards per rush and averaging the second worst yards per play in the NFL.   Sam ‘Sleeves’ Bradford can not be blamed for this offensive malfunction as he has performed above his below-average historical prior, with a 9-1 TD/INT ratio, 68% completion percentage, and 6.2 NYPP.  All numbers which exceed his time in Philly/St. Louis.  The problem is that he was never that good to begin with, and a patch-work offensive line that can’t run effectively (2.6 YPR) is doing him no favors.  The Washington defense has improved this year, ranking an average 17th in passing defense (allowing 6.5 NYPP) after ranking 25th last year.  Sleeves will see a different unit than he was used to in the NFC East, as the Washington defensive line is able to get after the quarterback with the 3rd best sack rate in the league at 7.8% .  The advanced stats model sees fewer points than expected so UNDER (42.5) MIN/WAS is a Strong Opinion.  Lean to Vikings (+3)

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Vikings
  • Redskins
MIN
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 37.8 38.8
  • Succ Pass Plays 46.8% 44.6%
  • Sack Rate 6.8% 5.8%
  • Int Rate 0.5% 3.1%
  • Deep Pass Rate 15.8% 18.4%
  • Big Pass Yards 36.5% 33.2%
  • NYPP 6.3 5.6



Rush


  • Rush Plays 27.3 23.9
  • RB YPR 2.5 3.9
  • Stuff Rate 27.9% 22.3%
  • Succ Rush Plays 38.2% 43.2%
  • Big Rush Yards 24.4% 39.4%
  • Yards Per Rush 2.6 4.0




Game

  • All Snaps 65.1 62.7
  • Early Down Succ 45.2% 45.3%
  • Succ Rate 42.7% 43.4%
  • Big Yards Rate 33.6% 35.3%
  • Yards Per Play 4.7 4.9
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.6% 1.4%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 28.7 28.3
  • Run Ratio 41.8% 38.2%
  • Starting Field Pos 31.2 24.8
  • Game Control 0.5 -0.5
 
  • Points 19.4 16.8
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