Minnesota Vikings @

Seattle Seahawks

Mon, Dec 10
5:15 PM Pacific
Rotation: 133
Odds: Seattle Seahawks -3, Total: 45.5

Game Analysis

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Lean – SEATTLE (-3) over Minnesota

The playoff picture will become much clearer after Monday night as a Seahawks win would give them a lead in the Wild Card standings and the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Vikings for the right to play the NFC East Champion in the first round. It’s going to be difficult for Minnesota to move the ball with their weak offensive line in a hostile environment. The Vikings rank 27th in pass blocking efficiency and Rashod Hill and Riley Reiff are likely to get burned on the outside by Seattle’s effective pass-rusher Frank Clark. The run blocking has been even worse as Minnesota’s ground game ranks last despite Dalvin Cook leading the league in forced missed tackles per touch. Seattle is a good tackling team, so Cook’s yards after contract may not be as good as usual tonight.

Vikings’ WR Adam Thielen gained just 28 yards from 10 targets last week as Bill Belichick shut him down with double teams and the superb slot receiver will have another difficult test against Seahawks nickelback Justin Coleman on Monday. Coleman is surrendering just 0.88 yards per cover snap in the slot (6th) and should frustrate Thielen. Fellow receiver Stefon Diggs has a more favorable matchup across from Shaquill Griffin on the outside.

Tyler Lockett has hauled in 78% of passes thrown to him with 20+ air yards this season, the highest mark of any receiver in the league with at least 10 deep ball targets and I think there’s a decent chance he sneaks behind Trae Waynes, whose 1.24 yards allowed per cover snap ranks 55th. Our model favors the Seahawks by 4.1 with a predicted total of 47.5. The Seahawks are also 17-9-1 ATS in prime-time games at CenturyLink Field and tonight they apply to a 71-28-1 ATS Monday night home team situation.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Vikings
  • Seahawks


  • Pass Plays 42.0 33.5
  • Succ Pass Plays 52.5% 48.6%
  • Sack Rate 5.8% 8.3%
  • Int Rate 1.8% 2.9%
  • Deep Pass Rate 14.3% 18.3%
  • Big Pass Yards 31.2% 39.8%
  • NYPP 6.5 6.6


  • Rush Plays 21.6 28.2
  • RB YPR 3.9 3.7
  • Stuff Rate 27.4% 20.4%
  • Succ Rush Plays 37.6% 49.1%
  • Big Rush Yards 43.6% 28.3%
  • Yards Per Rush 3.9 3.8


  • All Snaps 63.6 61.7
  • Early Down Succ 50.3% 52.8%
  • Succ Rate 47.5% 49.0%
  • Big Yards Rate 35.6% 38.8%
  • Yards Per Play 5.6 5.4
  • Fumble Lost Rate 1.2% 1.1%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 28.2 30.4
  • Run Ratio 34.2% 45.4%
  • Starting Field Pos 29.2 29.0
  • Game Control -1.2 1.2
  • Points 21.7 22.4
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