Minnesota Vikings @

Pittsburgh Steelers

Sun, Sep 17
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 273
Odds: Pittsburgh Steelers -5.5, Total: 45.5

Game Analysis

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PITTSBURGH (-5.5) vs Minnesota

Minnesota’s offense ranked 2nd in week 1 adjEPA and Sam Bradford led the league with 0.75 EPA/pass play. If Bradford is able to throw the ball deep like he did in week 1 moving forward the Vikings offense could be dangerous but the Steelers secondary is a much tougher challenge than what the Saints provided.

The Steelers opened the season barely holding off the Browns, while the Vikings looked impressive on Monday night. Preseason implied wins would’ve made this game PIT -8, but after the Vikings offensive explosion the line is below 7 points. We have the fair line at 6 ½ points so there is a bit of value on the Steelers and we’d lean with Pittsburgh at -5 points or less.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Vikings
  • Steelers
MIN
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 33.0 38.0
  • Succ Pass Plays 63.6% 60.5%
  • Sack Rate 3.0% 2.6%
  • Int Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Deep Pass Rate 28.1% 13.5%
  • Big Pass Yards 66.3% 36.3%
  • NYPP 10.3 7.5



Rush


  • Rush Plays 33.0 21.0
  • RB YPR 4.0 2.9
  • Stuff Rate 33.3% 14.3%
  • Succ Rush Plays 27.3% 28.6%
  • Big Rush Yards 72.5% 0.0%
  • Yards Per Rush 4.0 2.9




Game

  • All Snaps 66.0 59.0
  • Early Down Succ 44.7% 52.1%
  • Succ Rate 45.5% 49.2%
  • Big Yards Rate 68.0% 29.9%
  • Yards Per Play 7.2 5.8
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 28.6 29.0
  • Run Ratio 50.0% 35.6%
  • Starting Field Pos 24.9 22.4
  • Game Control 6.6 -6.6
 
  • Points 29.0 19.0
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