Game Analysis
Offensively, both teams have been forced to pass on over 65% of the plays, due to having persistent negative Game Control ratings. Look for Cincinnati to have more success as the Dolphins defense has given up over 51% early down success rate all year, including a 51.7% early down success rate to the Browns last week. The Bengals conversely were a few plays away from being in the game against Denver, if not for high-leverage interceptions by the Red BB-Gun. Our advanced stats model leans toward the Bengals covering and the OVER, though both are below the threshold for plays.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
36.5
39.5
-
Succ Pass Plays
41.9%
48.2%
-
Sack Rate
7.8%
6.1%
-
Int Rate
3.5%
0.6%
-
Deep Pass Rate
18.3%
11.9%
-
Big Pass Yards
55.4%
41.7%
-
NYPP
6.7
7.1
Rush
-
Rush Plays
18.5
36.3
-
RB YPR
4.0
3.8
-
Stuff Rate
17.1%
24.6%
-
Succ Rush Plays
42.9%
41.7%
-
Big Rush Yards
34.9%
35.1%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.2
3.7
Game
-
All Snaps
55.0
75.8
-
Early Down Succ
46.7%
48.9%
-
Succ Rate
42.7%
44.4%
-
Big Yards Rate
50.2%
40.0%
-
Yards Per Play
5.9
5.3
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.8%
1.0%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.4
29.2
-
Run Ratio
33.4%
48.0%
-
Starting Field Pos
26.5
27.9
-
Game Control
-5.7
5.7
Pass
-
Pass Plays
39.8
35.3
-
Succ Pass Plays
48.0%
39.7%
-
Sack Rate
8.8%
6.9%
-
Int Rate
1.6%
3.1%
-
Deep Pass Rate
16.5%
14.4%
-
Big Pass Yards
50.9%
48.5%
-
NYPP
7.4
6.3
Rush
-
Rush Plays
27.0
25.8
-
RB YPR
3.0
3.8
-
Stuff Rate
25.6%
22.1%
-
Succ Rush Plays
36.3%
39.6%
-
Big Rush Yards
36.1%
36.2%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.1
3.9
Game
-
All Snaps
66.8
61.0
-
Early Down Succ
49.9%
42.0%
-
Succ Rate
43.8%
39.9%
-
Big Yards Rate
50.1%
45.5%
-
Yards Per Play
5.7
5.3
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.1%
1.0%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.4
29.2
-
Run Ratio
40.2%
40.9%
-
Starting Field Pos
26.6
28.3
-
Game Control
-0.2
0.2
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@SEA |
10 – 12 L |
-1.6 |
21.2% /
50.0% |
12.1% /
6.5% |
0.0% /
2.3% |
4.8 /
5.2 |
35.0% /
50.0% |
30.0% /
21.9% |
3.2 /
3.5 |
53 /
78 |
28.2% /
54.2% |
26.4% /
50.0% |
53.2% /
19.6% |
4.2 /
4.5 |
0.0% /
1.3% |
37.7% /
41.0% |
32.1 /
22.5 |
| 2 |
@NE |
24 – 31 L |
-16.3 |
65.9% /
55.3% |
0.0% /
5.3% |
4.5% /
0.0% |
8.8 /
8.0 |
50.0% /
41.0% |
18.8% /
20.5% |
4.4 /
4.2 |
60 /
77 |
65.3% /
47.5% |
61.7% /
48.1% |
41.2% /
38.8% |
7.7 /
6.1 |
3.3% /
1.3% |
26.7% /
50.6% |
22.7 /
31.4 |
| 3 |
CLE |
30 – 24 W |
2.6 |
53.8% /
40.5% |
2.6% /
9.5% |
5.3% /
0.0% |
8.0 /
6.2 |
56.0% /
51.5% |
12.0% /
24.2% |
4.6 /
5.2 |
64 /
75 |
61.1% /
51.7% |
54.7% /
45.3% |
47.2% /
58.7% |
6.7 /
5.7 |
1.6% /
1.3% |
39.1% /
44.0% |
28.7 /
26.8 |
| 4 |
@CIN |
7 – 22 L |
-7.4 |
26.7% /
46.9% |
16.7% /
3.1% |
4.0% /
0.0% |
5.3 /
8.9 |
30.8% /
24.4% |
7.7% /
31.7% |
4.8 /
2.0 |
43 /
73 |
32.3% /
42.0% |
27.9% /
34.2% |
59.5% /
42.9% |
5.2 /
5.0 |
2.3% /
0.0% |
30.2% /
56.2% |
22.7 /
30.8 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@NYJ |
23 – 22 W |
-1.8 |
48.6% /
36.1% |
18.9% /
2.8% |
3.3% /
2.9% |
8.8 /
5.2 |
42.1% /
56.7% |
26.3% /
16.7% |
3.1 /
5.1 |
56 /
66 |
52.3% /
48.1% |
46.4% /
45.5% |
68.6% /
40.6% |
6.8 /
5.2 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
33.9% /
45.5% |
26.2 /
33.5 |
| 2 |
@PIT |
16 – 24 L |
-6.0 |
50.9% /
42.1% |
1.8% /
2.6% |
0.0% /
5.4% |
6.7 /
6.6 |
22.2% /
41.7% |
27.8% /
30.6% |
2.6 /
3.4 |
73 /
74 |
48.2% /
42.9% |
43.8% /
41.9% |
42.5% /
43.3% |
5.6 /
5.1 |
2.7% /
0.0% |
24.7% /
48.6% |
18.9 /
30.8 |
| 3 |
DEN |
17 – 29 L |
-0.6 |
45.7% /
54.1% |
11.4% /
5.4% |
3.2% /
0.0% |
5.4 /
8.2 |
56.7% /
29.2% |
16.7% /
33.3% |
4.8 /
2.2 |
65 /
61 |
57.1% /
44.7% |
50.8% /
44.3% |
46.5% /
38.8% |
5.1 /
5.8 |
1.5% /
1.6% |
46.2% /
39.3% |
30.4 /
26.1 |
| 4 |
MIA |
22 – 7 W |
7.4 |
46.9% /
26.7% |
3.1% /
16.7% |
0.0% /
4.0% |
8.9 /
5.3 |
24.4% /
30.8% |
31.7% /
7.7% |
2.0 /
4.8 |
73 /
43 |
42.0% /
32.3% |
34.2% /
27.9% |
42.9% /
59.5% |
5.0 /
5.2 |
0.0% /
2.3% |
56.2% /
30.2% |
30.8 /
22.7 |
Miami Dolphins
@ 
Cincinnati Bengals