Game Analysis

3-Star Best Bet Teaser – LA Rams (+8.5) with Arizona (+8)

LA Rams (+2.5) over SAN FRANCISCO

· The 49ers are in trouble because All-Pro LT Trent Williams is believed to have suffered a high ankle sprain. Jimmy Garoppolo was pressured on 12% with Williams on the field last Sunday night compared to pressure on 21% of his dropbacks without Williams. Our numbers show Williams is worth 1.1 points making him one of the most valuable offensive linemen in the NFL.

· Kyle Shanahan already didn’t trust the passing attack before losing his star left tackle. Shanahan is only having Garoppolo throw in clear passing situations with 48% of his attempts coming on non-first downs with at least 7 yards needed to convert.

· Deebo Samuel will be swallowed up by Rams All-Pro cornerback Jalen Ramsey, who allowed three catches for 14 yards last week while also forcing two incompletions.

· George Kittle led all tight ends gaining 2.35 yards per route run last season, but he will be required to pass protect more often to assist backup LT Colton McKivitz.

· Los Angeles WR Cooper Kupp is on pace for 1500 yards again. Kupp and Matthew Stafford have clearly identified the holes in San Francisco’s zone. Kupp caught 29 balls for 382 yards in three games versus the 49ers last season.

· Our model has the Rams by 2.8 points, with a predicted total of 42.6 points.

The Rams are part of a 3-Star Best Bet Teaser – Rams +8.5 with Arizona +8 (both at +7.5 or more). If you can’t play teasers or it falls out of range, you can play the Rams for a 1-Star Best Bet at +1 or more.