Game Analysis
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Las Vegas (-1) vs NEW ORLEANS
- We got our first shutout of the 2024 season last Monday night when the Saints failed to score against the Packers.
- Spencer Rattler averaged less than 4 yppp in Green Bay and the Raiders will load the box and make Rattler and the New Orleans pass game be the one to beat them. Las Vegas is conceding only a 37% rush success rate (9th).
- Saints’ edge rusher Carl Granderson has 55 pressures (12th) and he will wreak havoc lined up across from right tackle DJ Glaze, who ranks 8th-worst in pass-blocking efficiency.
- Aidan O’Connell will need to get the ball out fast to TE Brock Bowers, who has a 57% success rate (5th). The New Orleans defense is allowing 0.33 EPA/target to opposing tight ends (26th).
- Our model favors the Saints by 0.2 points, with a predicted total of 37.9 points.