Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts Matchup Analysis

Game Analysis

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Frank Gore can become the oldest player to rush for 1,000 yards since 1984 (John Riggins) and T.Y. Hilton can lead the league in receiving yards, as he currently holds a 32-yard lead. This will also be Robert Mathis’ final game (122 career sacks).

Lean to Colts (-4.5) and UNDER (47), both below model thresholds.

Team Stats
Game Log

Jaguars
Colts

JAC

Offense

Defense

Pass

Pass Plays 41.4 35.7
Succ Pass Plays 41.4% 42.6%
Sack Rate 5.6% 5.9%
Int Rate 2.7% 0.9%
Deep Pass Rate 18.9% 15.8%
Big Pass Yards 30.3% 35.2%
NYPP 5.5 6.1

Rush

Rush Plays 24.6 29.3
RB YPR 3.6 3.4
Stuff Rate 25.3% 24.4%
Succ Rush Plays 43.3% 40.0%
Big Rush Yards 35.4% 36.7%
Yards Per Rush 4.0 3.6

Game

All Snaps 66.0 65.1
Early Down Succ 45.1% 43.9%
Succ Rate 42.4% 41.1%
Big Yards Rate 33.4% 38.6%
Yards Per Play 4.9 4.9
Fumble Lost Rate 1.1% 1.1%
Time Per Play (sec) 24.8 27.0
Run Ratio 37.1% 45.5%
Starting Field Pos 26.1 31.6
Game Control -3.8 3.8

Points 19.9 25.1

IND

Offense

Defense

Pass

Pass Plays 38.8 38.1
Succ Pass Plays 49.5% 49.4%
Sack Rate 6.5% 5.2%
Int Rate 2.6% 1.5%
Deep Pass Rate 20.4% 18.0%
Big Pass Yards 44.0% 38.1%
NYPP 7.0 6.9

Rush

Rush Plays 27.0 26.0
RB YPR 3.4 4.3
Stuff Rate 15.9% 17.3%
Succ Rush Plays 47.4% 50.1%
Big Rush Yards 32.4% 37.2%
Yards Per Rush 3.9 4.4

Game

All Snaps 65.8 64.1
Early Down Succ 50.2% 53.4%
Succ Rate 47.5% 50.2%
Big Yards Rate 41.0% 39.1%
Yards Per Play 5.6 5.9
Fumble Lost Rate 0.6% 0.8%
Time Per Play (sec) 28.1 27.7
Run Ratio 40.9% 40.2%
Starting Field Pos 27.9 26.5
Game Control 1.5 -1.5

Points 25.8 24.8

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2016 Game Log				PASS				RUSH			GAMES
Wk	Opp	Score	Game Control	Succ Pass Plays	Sack Rate	Int Rate	NYPP	Succ Rush Plays	Stuff Rate	Yds per Rush	All Snaps	Early Down Succ	Succ Rate	Big Yards Rate	Yds per Play	Fum Lost Rate	Run Ratio	Starting Field Pos
1	GB	23 – 27 L	-3.3	42.9% / 44.1%	7.1% / 2.9%	2.6% / 0.0%	7.1 / 5.9	40.7% / 42.3%	33.3% / 19.2%	1.8 / 3.7	69 / 60	45.8% / 41.9%	42.0% / 43.3%	49.0% / 37.6%	5.1 / 4.9	0.0% / 0.0%	39.1% / 43.3%	30.6 / 23.5
2	@SD	14 – 38 L	-21.2	42.3% / 46.4%	3.8% / 10.7%	4.0% / 0.0%	6.1 / 7.4	63.6% / 44.4%	18.2% / 19.4%	6.3 / 4.2	63 / 64	52.0% / 45.8%	46.0% / 45.3%	42.8% / 60.2%	6.2 / 5.6	1.6% / 1.6%	17.5% / 56.3%	22.0 / 40.3
3	BAL	17 – 19 L	-4.2	47.6% / 47.6%	9.5% / 4.8%	7.9% / 5.0%	4.0 / 4.7	33.3% / 39.1%	33.3% / 4.3%	2.3 / 3.7	63 / 65	44.7% / 51.0%	42.9% / 44.6%	9.3% / 20.8%	3.4 / 4.4	0.0% / 1.5%	33.3% / 35.4%	36.4 / 28.4
4	IND	30 – 27 W	7.8	36.1% / 34.0%	8.3% / 12.8%	0.0% / 2.4%	5.4 / 4.0	55.2% / 64.0%	20.7% / 12.0%	4.7 / 3.8	65 / 72	47.2% / 42.6%	44.6% / 44.4%	28.1% / 36.6%	5.1 / 3.9	0.0% / 0.0%	44.6% / 34.7%	29.7 / 25.0
6	@CHI	17 – 16 W	-5.3	51.4% / 40.0%	5.7% / 2.0%	3.0% / 0.0%	7.5 / 5.9	28.6% / 44.4%	28.6% / 29.6%	2.6 / 3.4	56 / 77	50.0% / 42.4%	42.9% / 41.6%	37.1% / 20.1%	5.7 / 5.1	1.8% / 0.0%	37.5% / 35.1%	21.9 / 26.3
7	OAK	16 – 33 L	-9.5	31.8% / 35.1%	2.3% / 0.0%	4.7% / 0.0%	5.4 / 5.4	29.4% / 50.0%	17.6% / 22.2%	6.2 / 4.1	61 / 73	32.6% / 44.0%	31.1% / 42.5%	59.4% / 42.8%	5.7 / 4.7	1.6% / 0.0%	27.9% / 49.3%	21.7 / 40.2
8	@TEN	22 – 36 L	-17.5	53.6% / 60.9%	3.6% / 0.0%	0.0% / 0.0%	5.8 / 12.2	45.5% / 37.2%	36.4% / 23.3%	4.4 / 5.0	67 / 66	54.7% / 41.2%	52.2% / 45.5%	35.1% / 56.1%	5.5 / 7.5	1.5% / 0.0%	16.4% / 65.2%	24.2 / 31.4
9	@KC	14 – 19 L	-6.2	46.5% / 25.7%	4.7% / 5.7%	2.4% / 0.0%	5.7 / 4.8	50.0% / 32.0%	34.4% / 16.0%	6.4 / 2.6	75 / 60	51.7% / 37.5%	48.0% / 28.3%	47.7% / 42.7%	6.0 / 3.9	4.0% / 0.0%	42.7% / 41.7%	23.9 / 39.6
10	HOU	21 – 24 L	-6.0	43.1% / 35.7%	3.9% / 3.6%	2.0% / 0.0%	4.8 / 3.3	36.4% / 48.5%	31.8% / 33.3%	3.6 / 5.5	73 / 61	36.4% / 42.2%	41.1% / 42.6%	7.3% / 41.0%	4.5 / 4.5	1.4% / 0.0%	30.1% / 54.1%	24.4 / 33.6
11	@DET	19 – 26 L	-1.6	40.0% / 47.2%	0.0% / 8.3%	5.7% / 0.0%	5.8 / 7.3	37.9% / 13.6%	24.1% / 40.9%	2.9 / 0.7	64 / 58	44.7% / 35.7%	39.1% / 34.5%	25.5% / 45.0%	4.5 / 4.8	1.6% / 3.4%	45.3% / 37.9%	31.9 / 25.5
12	@BUF	21 – 28 L	0.7	35.7% / 47.8%	7.1% / 21.7%	0.0% / 0.0%	4.2 / 6.6	50.0% / 33.3%	23.7% / 30.0%	4.8 / 5.1	66 / 53	43.8% / 39.5%	43.9% / 39.6%	44.7% / 56.7%	4.6 / 5.8	0.0% / 0.0%	57.6% / 56.6%	30.1 / 28.1
13	DEN	10 – 20 L	-5.0	32.6% / 34.6%	2.3% / 7.7%	4.8% / 0.0%	4.2 / 3.9	47.4% / 35.7%	13.2% / 21.4%	4.1 / 3.7	81 / 54	41.0% / 43.9%	39.5% / 35.2%	12.9% / 22.8%	4.1 / 3.8	1.2% / 0.0%	46.9% / 51.9%	23.9 / 32.5
14	MIN	16 – 25 L	-2.8	39.0% / 50.0%	9.8% / 0.0%	0.0% / 0.0%	5.6 / 8.6	33.3% / 38.7%	25.0% / 32.3%	3.5 / 2.8	65 / 65	34.0% / 53.1%	36.9% / 44.6%	37.5% / 57.3%	4.8 / 5.8	0.0% / 1.5%	36.9% / 47.7%	22.3 / 35.9
15	@HOU	20 – 21 L	7.1	20.0% / 48.9%	6.7% / 0.0%	3.6% / 4.3%	2.8 / 6.6	50.0% / 38.2%	15.0% / 23.5%	3.4 / 2.4	50 / 81	36.1% / 52.5%	32.0% / 44.4%	19.3% / 22.6%	3.0 / 4.8	0.0% / 0.0%	40.0% / 42.0%	26.2 / 33.9
16	TEN	38 – 17 W	10.5	58.1% / 41.3%	9.3% / 8.7%	0.0% / 2.4%	7.7 / 4.5	48.3% / 38.1%	24.1% / 38.1%	2.9 / 2.8	72 / 67	62.5% / 44.9%	54.2% / 40.3%	45.0% / 17.0%	5.8 / 3.9	1.4% / 9.0%	40.3% / 31.3%	22.3 / 30.5

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2016 Game Log				PASS				RUSH			GAMES
Wk	Opp	Score	Game Control	Succ Pass Plays	Sack Rate	Int Rate	NYPP	Succ Rush Plays	Stuff Rate	Yds per Rush	All Snaps	Early Down Succ	Succ Rate	Big Yards Rate	Yds per Play	Fum Lost Rate	Run Ratio	Starting Field Pos
1	DET	35 – 39 L	-6.8	46.9% / 62.5%	4.1% / 2.5%	0.0% / 0.0%	7.5 / 8.3	73.7% / 56.0%	10.5% / 16.0%	4.3 / 4.7	68 / 65	53.8% / 63.0%	54.4% / 60.0%	35.3% / 30.5%	6.6 / 6.9	0.0% / 0.0%	27.9% / 38.5%	22.8 / 23.3
2	@DEN	20 – 34 L	-4.5	37.8% / 58.8%	11.1% / 2.9%	2.5% / 3.0%	3.8 / 7.8	50.0% / 54.8%	4.5% / 22.6%	3.8 / 4.3	67 / 65	42.0% / 59.3%	41.8% / 56.9%	28.7% / 30.3%	3.8 / 6.2	1.5% / 0.0%	32.8% / 47.7%	26.7 / 24.8
3	SD	26 – 22 W	1.8	53.8% / 56.1%	5.1% / 4.9%	2.7% / 0.0%	8.1 / 7.8	38.5% / 35.3%	34.6% / 17.6%	3.6 / 2.2	65 / 58	50.9% / 53.2%	47.7% / 50.0%	36.8% / 40.2%	6.3 / 6.1	1.5% / 5.2%	40.0% / 29.3%	28.1 / 28.6
4	@JAC	27 – 30 L	-7.8	34.0% / 36.1%	12.8% / 8.3%	2.4% / 0.0%	4.0 / 5.4	64.0% / 55.2%	12.0% / 20.7%	3.8 / 4.7	72 / 65	42.6% / 47.2%	44.4% / 44.6%	36.6% / 28.1%	3.9 / 5.1	0.0% / 0.0%	34.7% / 44.6%	25.0 / 29.7
5	CHI	29 – 23 W	2.7	52.3% / 53.5%	11.4% / 0.0%	0.0% / 0.0%	6.8 / 9.2	34.8% / 40.0%	13.0% / 20.0%	4.3 / 6.3	67 / 63	54.0% / 56.9%	46.3% / 49.2%	61.3% / 38.6%	5.9 / 8.3	0.0% / 1.6%	34.3% / 31.7%	30.9 / 21.5
6	@HOU	23 – 26 L	8.0	51.4% / 50.0%	8.6% / 2.5%	3.1% / 2.6%	6.6 / 6.4	46.9% / 48.3%	18.8% / 27.6%	5.0 / 5.5	67 / 69	53.8% / 51.8%	49.3% / 49.3%	49.5% / 49.2%	5.9 / 6.0	0.0% / 0.0%	47.8% / 42.0%	32.5 / 22.4
7	@TEN	34 – 26 W	3.1	53.7% / 48.7%	4.9% / 7.7%	0.0% / 0.0%	8.3 / 5.3	53.8% / 67.9%	11.5% / 10.7%	3.2 / 4.4	67 / 67	60.4% / 55.8%	53.7% / 56.7%	50.0% / 32.0%	6.3 / 4.9	0.0% / 1.5%	38.8% / 41.8%	27.0 / 23.1
8	KC	14 – 30 L	-8.3	36.6% / 45.5%	14.6% / 6.8%	2.9% / 0.0%	4.2 / 7.6	50.0% / 35.7%	18.2% / 21.4%	4.8 / 3.2	63 / 72	45.7% / 42.6%	41.3% / 41.7%	32.7% / 48.7%	4.4 / 5.9	1.6% / 0.0%	34.9% / 38.9%	22.8 / 34.8
9	@GB	31 – 26 W	9.7	50.0% / 50.0%	5.3% / 6.5%	5.6% / 2.3%	7.1 / 6.3	35.5% / 50.0%	16.1% / 10.0%	2.8 / 5.9	69 / 66	46.0% / 55.8%	43.5% / 50.0%	32.7% / 46.1%	5.2 / 6.2	0.0% / 0.0%	44.9% / 30.3%	24.5 / 30.4
11	TEN	24 – 17 W	10.8	43.3% / 46.5%	6.7% / 11.6%	3.6% / 0.0%	8.4 / 5.9	37.5% / 59.3%	12.5% / 18.5%	2.5 / 3.6	62 / 70	45.2% / 56.6%	40.3% / 51.4%	58.0% / 35.0%	5.3 / 5.0	0.0% / 0.0%	51.6% / 38.6%	27.3 / 22.4
12	PIT	7 – 28 L	-12.2	45.0% / 47.6%	7.5% / 0.0%	5.4% / 0.0%	5.5 / 10.5	30.4% / 65.5%	26.1% / 6.9%	4.0 / 5.1	63 / 50	34.1% / 56.4%	39.7% / 58.0%	37.4% / 61.5%	4.9 / 7.4	0.0% / 0.0%	36.5% / 58.0%	27.1 / 24.6
13	@NYJ	41 – 10 W	20.5	70.0% / 39.5%	3.3% / 2.6%	0.0% / 8.1%	9.4 / 5.6	30.2% / 53.3%	16.3% / 13.3%	3.3 / 2.5	73 / 53	50.0% / 50.0%	46.6% / 43.4%	44.3% / 31.9%	5.8 / 4.7	1.4% / 0.0%	58.9% / 28.3%	43.7 / 18.3
14	HOU	17 – 22 L	-3.5	41.3% / 40.0%	2.2% / 8.0%	4.4% / 4.3%	5.8 / 5.2	56.3% / 48.8%	6.3% / 11.6%	5.3 / 4.3	62 / 68	48.9% / 52.0%	45.2% / 45.6%	32.4% / 31.8%	5.6 / 4.7	1.6% / 0.0%	25.8% / 63.2%	24.3 / 36.1
15	@MIN	34 – 6 W	18.0	60.7% / 51.1%	0.0% / 10.6%	0.0% / 2.4%	8.9 / 5.3	57.5% / 44.4%	17.5% / 22.2%	4.0 / 3.8	68 / 56	61.1% / 54.3%	58.8% / 50.0%	32.1% / 38.3%	6.0 / 5.0	0.0% / 3.6%	58.8% / 16.1%	31.0 / 24.7
16	@OAK	25 – 33 L	-9.6	65.5% / 55.9%	0.0% / 2.9%	6.9% / 0.0%	9.9 / 7.3	52.0% / 37.5%	20.0% / 20.0%	4.2 / 5.3	54 / 74	65.1% / 46.3%	59.3% / 45.9%	46.4% / 43.7%	7.3 / 6.2	1.9% / 0.0%	46.3% / 54.1%	24.3 / 32.5

Jacksonville Jaguars @

Indianapolis Colts

Sun, Jan 1

10:00 AM Pacific

Game Analysis