Game Analysis
The Jags pass Defense has been formidable this year, giving up only 5.5 NYPP, ranking 11th in the league. Blake Bortles has unfortunately struggled all year, with peripherals of 42.2% success rate and a 5.7 NYPP. Look for Brian Hoyer to regress from his career high 7.6 NYPP and come closer to the 6.2 NYPP he has averaged the other 7 years he has been in the league. The advanced stats model sees value on the Under, so we lean to the UNDER (46). No opinion on the side.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
43.0
37.8
-
Succ Pass Plays
42.2%
43.1%
-
Sack Rate
7.2%
7.8%
-
Int Rate
3.6%
1.9%
-
Deep Pass Rate
18.6%
15.2%
-
Big Pass Yards
32.6%
43.3%
-
NYPP
5.7
5.5
Rush
-
Rush Plays
22.0
27.5
-
RB YPR
3.1
3.6
-
Stuff Rate
26.4%
13.8%
-
Succ Rush Plays
48.2%
47.5%
-
Big Rush Yards
23.5%
30.0%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.8
3.8
Game
-
All Snaps
65.0
65.3
-
Early Down Succ
47.4%
45.3%
-
Succ Rate
43.9%
44.4%
-
Big Yards Rate
32.3%
38.8%
-
Yards Per Play
4.9
4.7
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.4%
0.8%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
26.1
29.3
-
Run Ratio
33.6%
42.4%
-
Starting Field Pos
29.7
29.3
-
Game Control
-5.2
5.2
Pass
-
Pass Plays
38.8
35.6
-
Succ Pass Plays
51.2%
51.3%
-
Sack Rate
5.9%
5.5%
-
Int Rate
1.4%
1.7%
-
Deep Pass Rate
18.6%
21.3%
-
Big Pass Yards
36.3%
37.0%
-
NYPP
7.2
6.6
Rush
-
Rush Plays
21.0
31.4
-
RB YPR
4.8
3.5
-
Stuff Rate
29.9%
20.2%
-
Succ Rush Plays
46.3%
43.8%
-
Big Rush Yards
59.4%
45.3%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.4
3.8
Game
-
All Snaps
59.8
67.0
-
Early Down Succ
56.8%
52.5%
-
Succ Rate
49.9%
48.4%
-
Big Yards Rate
41.3%
39.4%
-
Yards Per Play
6.2
5.2
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.8%
0.3%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.1
29.5
-
Run Ratio
34.9%
46.3%
-
Starting Field Pos
25.4
31.7
-
Game Control
-3.0
3.0
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
GB |
23 – 27 L |
-3.3 |
42.9% /
44.1% |
7.1% /
2.9% |
2.6% /
0.0% |
7.1 /
5.9 |
40.7% /
42.3% |
33.3% /
19.2% |
1.8 /
3.7 |
69 /
60 |
45.8% /
41.9% |
42.0% /
43.3% |
49.0% /
37.6% |
5.1 /
4.9 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
39.1% /
43.3% |
30.6 /
23.5 |
| 2 |
@SD |
14 – 38 L |
-21.2 |
42.3% /
46.4% |
3.8% /
10.7% |
4.0% /
0.0% |
6.1 /
7.4 |
63.6% /
44.4% |
18.2% /
19.4% |
6.3 /
4.2 |
63 /
64 |
52.0% /
45.8% |
46.0% /
45.3% |
42.8% /
60.2% |
6.2 /
5.6 |
1.6% /
1.6% |
17.5% /
56.3% |
22.0 /
40.3 |
| 3 |
BAL |
17 – 19 L |
-4.2 |
47.6% /
47.6% |
9.5% /
4.8% |
7.9% /
5.0% |
4.0 /
4.7 |
33.3% /
39.1% |
33.3% /
4.3% |
2.3 /
3.7 |
63 /
65 |
44.7% /
51.0% |
42.9% /
44.6% |
9.3% /
20.8% |
3.4 /
4.4 |
0.0% /
1.5% |
33.3% /
35.4% |
36.4 /
28.4 |
| 4 |
IND |
30 – 27 W |
7.8 |
36.1% /
34.0% |
8.3% /
12.8% |
0.0% /
2.4% |
5.4 /
4.0 |
55.2% /
64.0% |
20.7% /
12.0% |
4.7 /
3.8 |
65 /
72 |
47.2% /
42.6% |
44.6% /
44.4% |
28.1% /
36.6% |
5.1 /
3.9 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
44.6% /
34.7% |
29.7 /
25.0 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@HOU |
14 – 23 L |
0.5 |
38.2% /
45.9% |
14.7% /
5.4% |
3.4% /
2.9% |
5.4 /
5.8 |
60.0% /
37.8% |
30.0% /
16.2% |
3.7 /
3.5 |
54 /
74 |
53.8% /
38.0% |
46.3% /
41.9% |
42.6% /
41.3% |
4.8 /
4.7 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
37.0% /
50.0% |
25.1 /
33.0 |
| 2 |
PHI |
14 – 29 L |
-5.1 |
53.1% /
48.6% |
9.4% /
5.7% |
3.4% /
0.0% |
6.9 /
5.1 |
61.1% /
28.9% |
27.8% /
26.3% |
3.6 /
2.7 |
50 /
73 |
61.5% /
46.8% |
56.0% /
38.4% |
45.1% /
38.5% |
5.7 /
3.9 |
4.0% /
0.0% |
36.0% /
52.1% |
26.0 /
38.1 |
| 3 |
@DAL |
17 – 31 L |
-13.6 |
53.2% /
62.5% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
6.7 /
10.3 |
26.7% /
73.2% |
46.7% /
12.2% |
4.9 /
4.9 |
62 /
65 |
51.0% /
73.6% |
46.8% /
69.2% |
45.4% /
33.8% |
6.3 /
6.9 |
3.2% /
1.5% |
24.2% /
63.1% |
26.3 /
30.7 |
| 4 |
DET |
17 – 14 W |
6.0 |
57.9% /
47.4% |
5.3% /
5.3% |
0.0% /
5.6% |
7.7 /
5.2 |
43.8% /
44.4% |
25.0% /
33.3% |
3.7 /
3.7 |
70 /
56 |
60.8% /
50.0% |
51.4% /
46.4% |
34.5% /
22.1% |
5.9 /
4.7 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
45.7% /
32.1% |
28.3 /
26.0 |
| 5 |
@IND |
23 – 29 L |
-2.7 |
53.5% /
52.3% |
0.0% /
11.4% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
9.2 /
6.8 |
40.0% /
34.8% |
20.0% /
13.0% |
6.3 /
4.3 |
63 /
67 |
56.9% /
54.0% |
49.2% /
46.3% |
38.6% /
61.3% |
8.3 /
5.9 |
1.6% /
0.0% |
31.7% /
34.3% |
21.5 /
30.9 |
Jacksonville Jaguars
@ 
Chicago Bears