Green Bay Packers @

Cincinnati Bengals

Sun, Oct 10
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 465
Odds: Cincinnati Bengals +3, Total: 51

Game Analysis

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Green Bay (-3) vs CINCINNATI

The Bengals are getting healthier with safety Jessie Bates, safety Ricardo Allen, cornerback Chidobe Awuzie, wide receiver Tee Higgins, and guard Xavier Su’a-Fila all possibly returning this week.

Cincinnati’s offensive line ranks 7th in pass blocking efficiency after finishing last season 27th and Joe Burrow should have plenty of time in the pocket with Green Bay Pro Bowl edge defender Za’Darius Smith out indefinitely after having back surgery.

Packers DB Chandon Sullivan is allowing 1.68 yards per cover snap in slot which ranks 23rd out of 24 qualifying nickelbacks and he will struggle to contain Tyler Boyd, who is averaging 2.35 yards per slot route run (6th).

Bengals edge rusher Trey Hendrickson had 6 pressures last Thursday and will be a force again this week across from third-string LT Yosh Nijman. Aaron Rodgers will have to get the ball out quickly to Davante Adams, who is averaging 2.89 yards per route run (5th). Eli Apple is being targeted one in every 5.6 cover snaps which ranks 64th out of 79 qualifying CBs and I expect the Rodgers-Adams connection to take a bite out of Apple.

Green Bay’s ground game ranks 5th and Cincinnati have the 30th-rated rush defense.

Our model favors the Packers by 3.7 with a predicted total of 49.1.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Packers
  • Bengals
GB
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 35.0 36.0
  • Succ Pass Plays 47.7% 51.7%
  • Sack Rate 6.5% 4.1%
  • Int Rate 1.4% 1.9%
  • Deep Pass Rate 25.8% 12.7%
  • Big Pass Yards 40.4% 30.1%
  • NYPP 7.0 6.3



Rush


  • Rush Plays 26.0 23.8
  • RB YPR 3.5 3.8
  • Stuff Rate 17.1% 18.7%
  • Succ Rush Plays 42.9% 56.7%
  • Big Rush Yards 16.1% 36.5%
  • Yards Per Rush 3.5 4.2




Game

  • All Snaps 61.0 59.8
  • Early Down Succ 47.5% 55.3%
  • Succ Rate 45.9% 52.4%
  • Big Yards Rate 34.2% 31.7%
  • Yards Per Play 5.5 5.4
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.8% 1.3%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 30.4 29.2
  • Run Ratio 42.0% 39.7%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.0 0.0
  • Game Control 0.2 -0.2
 
  • Points 23.8 25.0
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