Game Analysis
The Browns and Titans are 2nd and 6th from an adjusted YPR standpoint, both averaging 4.8 YPR. Offensively, the Titans have failed to show explosiveness, gaining only 6.1 NYPP, which is also the same as the Brownies. However, the Titans should find an easier time against a Browns D giving up 7.3 NYPP. While Titans are susceptible to the big plays on defense, giving up 48% of their yardage into long runs and passes. Look for the visiting Browns to keep it close in a game of lower-tier defensive units.The advanced stats model sees value on the road dawg and Over so both the Browns (+7) and the OVER (43.5) are Strong Opinions.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
36.8
39.0
-
Succ Pass Plays
43.2%
49.7%
-
Sack Rate
7.2%
4.0%
-
Int Rate
3.1%
2.7%
-
Deep Pass Rate
19.8%
16.1%
-
Big Pass Yards
40.1%
43.4%
-
NYPP
6.1
7.3
Rush
-
Rush Plays
25.6
29.8
-
RB YPR
5.0
4.0
-
Stuff Rate
31.4%
16.4%
-
Succ Rush Plays
37.2%
48.1%
-
Big Rush Yards
54.3%
33.5%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.8
4.0
Game
-
All Snaps
62.4
68.8
-
Early Down Succ
42.0%
50.5%
-
Succ Rate
41.1%
49.2%
-
Big Yards Rate
48.0%
42.8%
-
Yards Per Play
5.6
5.8
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.9%
0.3%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.0
29.0
-
Run Ratio
40.9%
43.2%
-
Starting Field Pos
24.3
31.4
-
Game Control
-4.4
4.4
Pass
-
Pass Plays
34.4
35.0
-
Succ Pass Plays
42.5%
42.1%
-
Sack Rate
3.9%
7.9%
-
Int Rate
3.0%
4.4%
-
Deep Pass Rate
21.7%
20.7%
-
Big Pass Yards
39.5%
50.7%
-
NYPP
6.1
6.4
Rush
-
Rush Plays
30.4
23.8
-
RB YPR
4.5
3.8
-
Stuff Rate
18.6%
21.1%
-
Succ Rush Plays
54.4%
40.5%
-
Big Rush Yards
40.9%
36.8%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.8
4.2
Game
-
All Snaps
64.8
58.8
-
Early Down Succ
52.6%
42.2%
-
Succ Rate
49.0%
41.2%
-
Big Yards Rate
40.4%
48.2%
-
Yards Per Play
5.5
5.4
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.9%
0.0%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
29.7
28.9
-
Run Ratio
46.5%
40.6%
-
Starting Field Pos
25.8
27.4
-
Game Control
-2.6
2.6
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
@PHI |
10 – 29 L |
-7.9 |
27.6% / 43.6% |
10.3% / 5.1% |
3.8% / 0.0% |
5.8 / 6.9 |
38.1% / 50.0% |
28.6% / 11.8% |
5.7 / 3.9 |
50 / 73 |
36.8% / 49.1% |
32.0% / 46.6% |
71.9% / 30.0% |
5.8 / 5.5 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
42.0% / 46.6% |
20.8 / 38.2 |
2 |
BAL |
20 – 25 L |
7.1 |
47.2% / 46.7% |
8.3% / 0.0% |
6.1% / 4.4% |
6.7 / 6.7 |
26.1% / 30.8% |
43.5% / 19.2% |
6.3 / 3.1 |
59 / 71 |
32.6% / 35.2% |
39.0% / 40.8% |
53.2% / 37.2% |
6.6 / 5.4 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
39.0% / 36.6% |
25.7 / 27.5 |
3 |
@MIA |
24 – 30 L |
-2.6 |
40.5% / 53.8% |
9.5% / 2.6% |
0.0% / 5.3% |
6.2 / 8.0 |
51.5% / 56.0% |
24.2% / 12.0% |
5.2 / 4.6 |
75 / 64 |
51.7% / 61.1% |
45.3% / 54.7% |
58.7% / 47.2% |
5.7 / 6.7 |
1.3% / 1.6% |
44.0% / 39.1% |
26.8 / 28.7 |
4 |
@WAS |
20 – 31 L |
-3.5 |
55.0% / 56.7% |
2.5% / 10.0% |
2.6% / 3.7% |
5.4 / 5.2 |
57.1% / 61.5% |
21.4% / 23.1% |
5.8 / 5.6 |
68 / 56 |
54.5% / 60.4% |
55.9% / 58.9% |
27.6% / 45.2% |
5.6 / 5.4 |
2.9% / 0.0% |
41.2% / 46.4% |
27.6 / 31.9 |
5 |
NE |
13 – 33 L |
-15.1 |
45.9% / 47.6% |
5.4% / 2.4% |
2.9% / 0.0% |
6.4 / 9.6 |
13.0% / 42.1% |
39.1% / 15.8% |
1.2 / 2.6 |
60 / 80 |
34.1% / 46.6% |
33.3% / 45.0% |
28.5% / 54.3% |
4.4 / 6.3 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
38.3% / 47.5% |
20.7 / 30.6 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
MIN |
16 – 25 L |
0.0 |
58.1% / 42.4% |
4.7% / 0.0% |
2.4% / 0.0% |
5.9 / 7.2 |
50.0% / 31.0% |
31.8% / 27.6% |
2.9 / 2.3 |
65 / 62 |
54.9% / 37.0% |
55.4% / 37.1% |
24.4% / 24.8% |
4.9 / 4.9 |
3.1% / 0.0% |
33.8% / 46.8% |
26.4 / 35.1 |
2 |
@DET |
16 – 15 W |
-6.0 |
47.2% / 36.4% |
8.3% / 9.1% |
3.0% / 2.5% |
6.2 / 5.4 |
48.0% / 43.5% |
20.0% / 21.7% |
5.6 / 6.0 |
61 / 67 |
50.0% / 37.3% |
47.5% / 38.8% |
49.7% / 57.6% |
6.0 / 5.6 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
41.0% / 34.3% |
17.2 / 26.3 |
3 |
OAK |
10 – 17 L |
-6.7 |
32.4% / 44.4% |
2.9% / 2.8% |
6.1% / 2.9% |
6.2 / 6.8 |
58.6% / 26.9% |
13.8% / 19.2% |
6.2 / 4.8 |
63 / 62 |
52.0% / 38.3% |
44.4% / 37.1% |
35.6% / 49.3% |
6.2 / 6.0 |
1.6% / 0.0% |
46.0% / 41.9% |
19.6 / 26.3 |
4 |
@HOU |
20 – 27 L |
-6.1 |
36.7% / 50.0% |
3.3% / 2.6% |
3.4% / 5.4% |
6.5 / 6.4 |
56.3% / 54.2% |
9.4% / 25.0% |
3.9 / 4.8 |
62 / 62 |
47.8% / 55.1% |
46.8% / 51.6% |
50.0% / 45.1% |
5.2 / 5.8 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
51.6% / 38.7% |
30.7 / 28.0 |
5 |
@MIA |
30 – 17 W |
5.7 |
37.9% / 37.5% |
0.0% / 25.0% |
0.0% / 11.1% |
5.6 / 6.2 |
59.1% / 47.1% |
18.2% / 11.8% |
5.4 / 3.0 |
73 / 41 |
58.2% / 43.3% |
50.7% / 41.5% |
42.5% / 64.0% |
5.5 / 4.9 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
60.3% / 41.5% |
34.9 / 21.2 |