Game Analysis
PITTSBURGH (-6.5) vs Cleveland
The Steelers gained 7.8 yards per pass play in their first game without Antonio Brown, although it was against Houston’s 30th-ranked pass defense. Cleveland actually had a pretty good defense and I expect Pittsburgh’s play-calling to be more conservative this week after clinching a bye and requiring a Jets’ win in New England to get home field throughout the playoffs, which I’m sure they realize is very unlikely. Cleveland’s rush defense ranks 5th in my metrics and a run-heavy Steelers’ approach could play right into their hands.
The Browns matchup nicely in the ground game on the other side of the ball as their 9th-rated rush offense lines up against a defense allowing 5.8 yards per rush in 4 games without Ryan Shazier. However, the line on this game has come crashing down from an opening number of 14 points because the Steelers will be resting many key players. I’ll pass.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
39.1
35.3
-
Succ Pass Plays
34.9%
46.4%
-
Sack Rate
7.7%
6.4%
-
Int Rate
4.9%
1.2%
-
Deep Pass Rate
24.8%
12.2%
-
Big Pass Yards
43.9%
38.3%
-
NYPP
5.1
6.6
Rush
-
Rush Plays
24.0
30.9
-
RB YPR
4.3
2.9
-
Stuff Rate
21.1%
30.3%
-
Succ Rush Plays
45.8%
35.6%
-
Big Rush Yards
39.7%
42.8%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.4
3.2
Game
-
All Snaps
63.1
66.1
-
Early Down Succ
40.2%
43.6%
-
Succ Rate
38.8%
41.7%
-
Big Yards Rate
44.4%
40.2%
-
Yards Per Play
4.8
5.0
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.3%
0.5%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
26.5
30.0
-
Run Ratio
37.9%
46.6%
-
Starting Field Pos
26.4
29.8
-
Game Control
-6.2
6.2
Pass
-
Pass Plays
38.7
34.4
-
Succ Pass Plays
49.1%
40.6%
-
Sack Rate
3.4%
10.4%
-
Int Rate
2.4%
3.6%
-
Deep Pass Rate
23.3%
20.6%
-
Big Pass Yards
42.3%
45.7%
-
NYPP
7.4
5.6
Rush
-
Rush Plays
28.8
24.4
-
RB YPR
3.6
4.1
-
Stuff Rate
19.1%
25.0%
-
Succ Rush Plays
43.1%
46.1%
-
Big Rush Yards
34.3%
42.3%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.6
4.2
Game
-
All Snaps
67.5
58.8
-
Early Down Succ
49.2%
46.1%
-
Succ Rate
46.6%
43.1%
-
Big Yards Rate
40.4%
48.8%
-
Yards Per Play
5.6
5.1
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.4%
0.5%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.7
28.6
-
Run Ratio
43.1%
41.9%
-
Starting Field Pos
28.5
25.9
-
Game Control
3.0
-3.0
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
PIT |
18 – 21 L |
-5.8 |
43.2% /
45.9% |
18.9% /
2.7% |
3.3% /
2.8% |
4.9 /
6.9 |
36.0% /
16.0% |
16.0% /
16.0% |
2.3 /
1.5 |
62 /
62 |
41.7% /
41.0% |
40.3% /
33.9% |
45.1% /
35.2% |
3.8 /
4.7 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
40.3% /
40.3% |
28.6 /
20.8 |
| 2 |
@BAL |
10 – 24 L |
-9.4 |
31.1% /
50.0% |
6.7% /
5.6% |
9.5% /
2.9% |
6.5 /
5.6 |
38.1% /
36.4% |
23.8% /
27.3% |
4.4 /
4.2 |
66 /
69 |
36.5% /
47.3% |
33.3% /
43.5% |
67.1% /
39.9% |
5.8 /
4.9 |
1.5% /
1.4% |
31.8% /
47.8% |
22.3 /
33.9 |
| 3 |
@IND |
28 – 31 L |
-9.2 |
35.4% /
33.3% |
2.1% /
11.1% |
6.4% /
0.0% |
4.9 /
9.0 |
57.1% /
27.0% |
19.0% /
37.8% |
5.3 /
2.5 |
69 /
64 |
42.9% /
24.4% |
42.0% /
29.7% |
53.8% /
63.7% |
5.0 /
5.3 |
0.0% /
1.6% |
30.4% /
57.8% |
28.9 /
29.6 |
| 4 |
CIN |
7 – 31 L |
-16.5 |
29.5% /
60.6% |
4.5% /
9.1% |
2.4% /
0.0% |
3.9 /
8.0 |
41.2% /
40.0% |
35.3% /
26.7% |
2.6 /
2.9 |
61 /
63 |
32.6% /
50.0% |
32.8% /
50.8% |
33.0% /
43.4% |
3.5 /
5.6 |
0.0% /
1.6% |
27.9% /
47.6% |
26.4 /
28.3 |
| 5 |
NYJ |
14 – 17 L |
-1.7 |
45.9% /
51.5% |
2.7% /
9.1% |
5.6% /
3.3% |
7.5 /
5.4 |
45.5% /
19.0% |
18.2% /
33.3% |
4.2 /
1.8 |
70 /
54 |
46.3% /
45.9% |
45.7% /
38.9% |
40.1% /
32.1% |
6.0 /
4.0 |
1.4% /
0.0% |
47.1% /
38.9% |
30.1 /
29.0 |
| 6 |
@HOU |
17 – 33 L |
-16.2 |
31.7% /
50.0% |
9.8% /
3.3% |
8.1% /
3.4% |
2.8 /
7.2 |
63.6% /
26.5% |
13.6% /
26.5% |
6.1 /
3.6 |
63 /
64 |
49.0% /
38.8% |
42.9% /
37.5% |
39.7% /
47.5% |
3.9 /
5.3 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
34.9% /
53.1% |
28.0 /
24.9 |
| 7 |
TEN |
9 – 12 L |
-2.1 |
39.0% /
41.7% |
4.9% /
5.6% |
7.7% /
0.0% |
5.3 /
5.3 |
25.9% /
31.3% |
22.2% /
46.9% |
2.5 /
2.5 |
68 /
68 |
37.3% /
38.0% |
33.8% /
36.8% |
23.9% /
14.5% |
4.2 /
4.0 |
0.0% /
1.5% |
39.7% /
47.1% |
25.1 /
33.6 |
| 8 |
MIN |
16 – 33 L |
-1.9 |
29.7% /
52.3% |
8.1% /
2.3% |
0.0% /
2.3% |
4.4 /
6.5 |
54.5% /
41.2% |
9.1% /
29.4% |
5.2 /
2.6 |
59 /
78 |
42.2% /
50.0% |
39.0% /
47.4% |
41.3% /
28.8% |
4.7 /
4.8 |
3.4% /
0.0% |
37.3% /
43.6% |
31.2 /
32.8 |
| 10 |
@DET |
24 – 38 L |
-0.7 |
29.5% /
36.7% |
9.1% /
13.3% |
2.5% /
3.8% |
4.8 /
8.0 |
60.6% /
42.9% |
30.3% /
28.6% |
6.1 /
5.0 |
77 /
51 |
41.4% /
41.7% |
42.9% /
39.2% |
48.9% /
73.8% |
5.4 /
6.8 |
1.3% /
0.0% |
42.9% /
41.2% |
28.4 /
28.8 |
| 11 |
JAC |
7 – 19 L |
-3.9 |
32.4% /
31.3% |
13.5% /
6.3% |
6.3% /
0.0% |
3.6 /
4.5 |
36.8% /
31.1% |
26.3% /
35.6% |
2.7 /
3.1 |
56 /
77 |
40.0% /
32.1% |
33.9% /
31.2% |
42.2% /
24.2% |
3.3 /
3.7 |
5.4% /
1.3% |
33.9% /
58.4% |
30.4 /
33.0 |
| 12 |
@CIN |
16 – 30 L |
-8.7 |
34.3% /
55.2% |
11.4% /
3.4% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
6.7 /
7.2 |
54.8% /
50.0% |
25.8% /
21.9% |
5.5 /
4.8 |
66 /
61 |
43.8% /
58.3% |
43.9% /
52.5% |
70.1% /
36.1% |
6.1 /
6.0 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
47.0% /
52.5% |
23.7 /
33.4 |
| 13 |
@LAC |
10 – 19 L |
-4.7 |
34.3% /
56.8% |
8.6% /
2.3% |
3.1% /
0.0% |
5.8 /
7.6 |
45.5% /
40.7% |
31.8% /
29.6% |
4.0 /
3.6 |
57 /
71 |
37.8% /
52.9% |
38.6% /
50.7% |
68.0% /
35.7% |
5.1 /
6.1 |
1.8% /
0.0% |
38.6% /
38.0% |
24.3 /
26.6 |
| 14 |
GB |
21 – 27 L |
4.5 |
43.3% /
57.4% |
6.7% /
2.1% |
7.1% /
0.0% |
7.0 /
5.4 |
39.3% /
39.3% |
14.3% /
32.1% |
4.9 /
3.1 |
58 /
75 |
39.5% /
51.9% |
41.4% /
50.7% |
32.7% /
28.7% |
6.0 /
4.6 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
48.3% /
37.3% |
22.4 /
28.5 |
| 15 |
BAL |
10 – 27 L |
-7.8 |
28.2% /
44.2% |
5.1% /
2.3% |
5.4% /
0.0% |
3.5 /
6.5 |
47.4% /
57.6% |
15.8% /
21.2% |
6.8 /
3.0 |
58 /
76 |
34.9% /
55.4% |
34.5% /
50.0% |
35.3% /
39.2% |
4.6 /
5.0 |
3.4% /
0.0% |
32.8% /
43.4% |
18.8 /
36.0 |
| 16 |
@CHI |
3 – 20 L |
-8.7 |
35.1% /
28.6% |
2.7% /
17.9% |
5.6% /
0.0% |
4.8 /
5.8 |
40.0% /
35.5% |
15.0% /
41.9% |
3.8 /
3.1 |
57 /
59 |
37.2% /
26.2% |
36.8% /
32.2% |
25.3% /
60.1% |
4.4 /
4.4 |
1.8% /
0.0% |
35.1% /
52.5% |
26.8 /
27.9 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@CLE |
21 – 18 W |
5.8 |
45.9% /
43.2% |
2.7% /
18.9% |
2.8% /
3.3% |
6.9 /
4.9 |
16.0% /
36.0% |
16.0% /
16.0% |
1.5 /
2.3 |
62 /
62 |
41.0% /
41.7% |
33.9% /
40.3% |
35.2% /
45.1% |
4.7 /
3.8 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
40.3% /
40.3% |
20.8 /
28.6 |
| 2 |
MIN |
26 – 9 W |
9.3 |
40.5% /
32.5% |
5.4% /
5.0% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
6.3 /
3.7 |
41.2% /
50.0% |
20.6% /
25.0% |
3.1 /
4.6 |
71 /
60 |
48.1% /
42.9% |
40.8% /
38.3% |
34.1% /
45.1% |
4.7 /
4.0 |
0.0% /
1.7% |
47.9% /
33.3% |
31.8 /
23.9 |
| 3 |
@CHI |
17 – 23 L |
-4.4 |
47.6% /
33.3% |
7.1% /
8.3% |
0.0% /
4.5% |
5.0 /
3.5 |
64.7% /
44.7% |
5.9% /
28.9% |
4.1 /
5.8 |
59 /
62 |
56.3% /
42.0% |
52.5% /
40.3% |
29.4% /
55.3% |
4.8 /
4.9 |
3.4% /
1.6% |
28.8% /
61.3% |
36.4 /
32.7 |
| 4 |
@BAL |
26 – 9 W |
8.6 |
41.9% /
52.9% |
3.2% /
7.8% |
3.3% /
4.3% |
6.7 /
4.0 |
46.5% /
46.7% |
23.3% /
46.7% |
4.0 /
5.5 |
74 /
66 |
45.6% /
56.9% |
44.6% /
51.5% |
26.4% /
25.3% |
5.2 /
4.4 |
0.0% /
1.5% |
58.1% /
22.7% |
31.1 /
28.5 |
| 5 |
JAC |
9 – 30 L |
-4.5 |
42.9% /
37.5% |
3.6% /
12.5% |
9.3% /
7.1% |
5.4 /
5.1 |
40.0% /
40.5% |
35.0% /
24.3% |
3.5 /
6.2 |
76 /
53 |
41.0% /
36.6% |
42.1% /
39.6% |
44.5% /
60.1% |
4.9 /
5.9 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
26.3% /
69.8% |
21.8 /
26.4 |
| 6 |
@KC |
19 – 13 W |
5.8 |
57.7% /
35.1% |
3.8% /
8.1% |
4.0% /
0.0% |
9.4 /
6.0 |
53.8% /
40.0% |
17.9% /
33.3% |
5.0 /
1.9 |
65 /
52 |
64.0% /
39.5% |
55.4% /
36.5% |
61.7% /
62.5% |
6.8 /
4.8 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
60.0% /
28.8% |
21.3 /
31.7 |
| 7 |
CIN |
29 – 14 W |
7.2 |
48.0% /
35.3% |
0.0% /
11.8% |
0.0% /
6.7% |
10.7 /
3.2 |
37.0% /
22.2% |
17.4% /
38.9% |
3.4 /
4.0 |
71 /
52 |
49.1% /
32.4% |
40.8% /
30.8% |
56.5% /
35.6% |
6.0 /
3.5 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
64.8% /
34.6% |
29.4 /
29.1 |
| 8 |
@DET |
20 – 15 W |
1.9 |
41.9% /
48.9% |
0.0% /
4.3% |
3.2% /
0.0% |
10.2 /
8.7 |
41.9% /
50.0% |
22.6% /
27.3% |
2.5 /
3.2 |
62 /
69 |
41.9% /
58.2% |
41.9% /
49.3% |
53.2% /
58.1% |
6.4 /
7.0 |
1.6% /
1.4% |
50.0% /
31.9% |
24.8 /
22.8 |
| 10 |
@IND |
20 – 17 W |
-5.1 |
50.0% /
40.7% |
3.1% /
11.1% |
3.2% /
4.2% |
7.1 /
7.3 |
36.7% /
36.7% |
36.7% /
33.3% |
2.9 /
2.4 |
62 /
57 |
44.9% /
40.0% |
43.5% /
38.6% |
38.9% /
45.1% |
5.1 /
4.7 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
48.4% /
52.6% |
31.7 /
21.6 |
| 11 |
TEN |
40 – 17 W |
9.1 |
55.3% /
41.0% |
6.4% /
12.8% |
0.0% /
11.8% |
6.0 /
6.8 |
33.3% /
32.0% |
16.7% /
32.0% |
2.8 /
2.2 |
71 /
64 |
55.6% /
42.9% |
47.9% /
37.5% |
26.7% /
53.3% |
5.0 /
5.0 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
33.8% /
39.1% |
44.3 /
22.2 |
| 12 |
GB |
31 – 28 W |
-1.4 |
65.2% /
40.0% |
2.2% /
13.3% |
4.4% /
0.0% |
7.4 /
7.6 |
45.8% /
54.2% |
8.3% /
20.8% |
5.0 /
3.3 |
70 /
54 |
57.1% /
45.0% |
58.6% /
46.3% |
38.1% /
60.3% |
6.6 /
5.7 |
1.4% /
0.0% |
34.3% /
44.4% |
31.7 /
26.9 |
| 13 |
@CIN |
23 – 20 W |
-7.5 |
46.3% /
44.7% |
2.4% /
5.3% |
2.5% /
0.0% |
6.9 /
5.9 |
54.5% /
72.7% |
18.2% /
9.1% |
4.2 /
5.9 |
63 /
60 |
52.0% /
56.5% |
49.2% /
55.0% |
36.9% /
26.1% |
5.9 /
5.9 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
34.9% /
36.7% |
21.6 /
21.6 |
| 14 |
BAL |
39 – 38 W |
1.6 |
56.7% /
45.7% |
4.5% /
2.9% |
0.0% /
2.9% |
7.3 /
7.5 |
43.8% /
65.4% |
18.8% /
11.5% |
3.7 /
5.8 |
83 /
61 |
50.8% /
56.9% |
54.2% /
54.1% |
41.3% /
49.6% |
6.6 /
6.8 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
19.3% /
42.6% |
21.0 /
26.0 |
| 15 |
NE |
24 – 27 L |
2.6 |
50.0% /
48.6% |
6.3% /
5.4% |
3.3% /
2.9% |
8.4 /
7.6 |
51.6% /
57.1% |
16.1% /
9.5% |
4.6 /
3.8 |
63 /
58 |
46.8% /
59.1% |
50.8% /
51.7% |
39.0% /
44.2% |
6.6 /
6.2 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
49.2% /
36.2% |
26.6 /
23.1 |
| 16 |
@HOU |
34 – 6 W |
16.5 |
46.7% /
29.2% |
0.0% /
29.2% |
0.0% /
5.9% |
7.5 /
2.1 |
40.0% /
42.9% |
13.3% /
17.9% |
3.6 /
6.3 |
60 /
52 |
44.2% /
41.0% |
43.3% /
36.5% |
44.4% /
65.6% |
5.6 /
4.4 |
0.0% /
1.9% |
50.0% /
53.8% |
32.6 /
23.1 |
Cleveland Browns
@ 
Pittsburgh Steelers