Game Analysis
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (-13.5) vs Cleveland
Cleveland’s former superstar receiver Josh Gordon will make his season debut on Sunday and his 2.2 yards per route run ranks 7th amongst receivers since 2012. Gordon’s first game back will be tough lining up across from Chargers cornerback Casey Hayward, ranked 7th in snaps per reception allowed, and it’s not likely that Gordon will be as good after missing a couple of seasons – although it wouldn’t surprise me if he was still very good.
Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram rank 1st and 2nd respectively in total pressures among edge defenders and will look to wreak havoc against a Browns offensive line allowing the 6th most pressures in the NFL. DeShone Kizer probably won’t have enough time to wait for Gordon to get open down the field with those two studs coming off the edge.
Cleveland’s defense is getting more pressure since top pick Myles Garrett joined the lineup but I do not expect Philip Rivers to be fazed. Rivers has thrown the most yards of any quarterback while under pressure this season and he’s used to having defenders encroaching on his pocket. My ratings favor the Chargers by only 12 points here but the Browns have a knack for finding ways not to cover so I’ll pass this game. However, the Chargers have a knack for playing close games against both good teams and bad teams and they are just 2-13 ATS in their last 15 games laying more than 3 points. – I’d lean with Cleveland if the line got up to +14.5 points or more.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
40.5
33.4
-
Succ Pass Plays
34.7%
46.2%
-
Sack Rate
8.3%
6.5%
-
Int Rate
4.7%
1.7%
-
Deep Pass Rate
24.3%
11.9%
-
Big Pass Yards
45.7%
37.4%
-
NYPP
5.0
6.7
Rush
-
Rush Plays
24.6
31.3
-
RB YPR
4.1
2.9
-
Stuff Rate
21.8%
30.0%
-
Succ Rush Plays
46.8%
32.8%
-
Big Rush Yards
40.9%
42.1%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.3
3.1
Game
-
All Snaps
65.2
64.6
-
Early Down Succ
41.2%
42.5%
-
Succ Rate
39.1%
40.1%
-
Big Yards Rate
45.9%
39.9%
-
Yards Per Play
4.7
5.0
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.2%
0.7%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
26.4
29.9
-
Run Ratio
37.6%
48.0%
-
Starting Field Pos
27.6
29.8
-
Game Control
-6.9
6.9
Pass
-
Pass Plays
36.6
37.4
-
Succ Pass Plays
46.3%
43.7%
-
Sack Rate
3.1%
8.1%
-
Int Rate
1.7%
3.6%
-
Deep Pass Rate
16.8%
17.6%
-
Big Pass Yards
35.9%
30.8%
-
NYPP
7.2
5.5
Rush
-
Rush Plays
26.6
27.8
-
RB YPR
3.7
4.9
-
Stuff Rate
30.9%
23.5%
-
Succ Rush Plays
34.3%
47.9%
-
Big Rush Yards
53.6%
44.5%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.7
4.9
Game
-
All Snaps
63.3
65.2
-
Early Down Succ
43.4%
47.3%
-
Succ Rate
41.2%
45.5%
-
Big Yards Rate
40.9%
37.6%
-
Yards Per Play
5.7
5.2
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.4%
0.7%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.8
29.1
-
Run Ratio
41.3%
42.6%
-
Starting Field Pos
26.5
27.3
-
Game Control
0.9
-0.9
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
PIT |
18 – 21 L |
-5.8 |
43.2% /
45.9% |
18.9% /
2.7% |
3.3% /
2.8% |
4.9 /
6.9 |
36.0% /
16.0% |
16.0% /
16.0% |
2.3 /
1.5 |
62 /
62 |
41.7% /
41.0% |
40.3% /
33.9% |
45.1% /
35.2% |
3.8 /
4.7 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
40.3% /
40.3% |
28.6 /
20.8 |
| 2 |
@BAL |
10 – 24 L |
-9.4 |
31.1% /
50.0% |
6.7% /
5.6% |
9.5% /
2.9% |
6.5 /
5.6 |
38.1% /
36.4% |
23.8% /
27.3% |
4.4 /
4.2 |
66 /
69 |
36.5% /
47.3% |
33.3% /
43.5% |
67.1% /
39.9% |
5.8 /
4.9 |
1.5% /
1.4% |
31.8% /
47.8% |
22.3 /
33.9 |
| 3 |
@IND |
28 – 31 L |
-9.2 |
35.4% /
33.3% |
2.1% /
11.1% |
6.4% /
0.0% |
4.9 /
9.0 |
57.1% /
27.0% |
19.0% /
37.8% |
5.3 /
2.5 |
69 /
64 |
42.9% /
24.4% |
42.0% /
29.7% |
53.8% /
63.7% |
5.0 /
5.3 |
0.0% /
1.6% |
30.4% /
57.8% |
28.9 /
29.6 |
| 4 |
CIN |
7 – 31 L |
-16.5 |
29.5% /
60.6% |
4.5% /
9.1% |
2.4% /
0.0% |
3.9 /
8.0 |
41.2% /
40.0% |
35.3% /
26.7% |
2.6 /
2.9 |
61 /
63 |
32.6% /
50.0% |
32.8% /
50.8% |
33.0% /
43.4% |
3.5 /
5.6 |
0.0% /
1.6% |
27.9% /
47.6% |
26.4 /
28.3 |
| 5 |
NYJ |
14 – 17 L |
-1.7 |
45.9% /
51.5% |
2.7% /
9.1% |
5.6% /
3.3% |
7.5 /
5.4 |
45.5% /
19.0% |
18.2% /
33.3% |
4.2 /
1.8 |
70 /
54 |
46.3% /
45.9% |
45.7% /
38.9% |
40.1% /
32.1% |
6.0 /
4.0 |
1.4% /
0.0% |
47.1% /
38.9% |
30.1 /
29.0 |
| 6 |
@HOU |
17 – 33 L |
-16.2 |
31.7% /
50.0% |
9.8% /
3.3% |
8.1% /
3.4% |
2.8 /
7.2 |
63.6% /
26.5% |
13.6% /
26.5% |
6.1 /
3.6 |
63 /
64 |
49.0% /
38.8% |
42.9% /
37.5% |
39.7% /
47.5% |
3.9 /
5.3 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
34.9% /
53.1% |
28.0 /
24.9 |
| 7 |
TEN |
9 – 12 L |
-2.1 |
39.0% /
41.7% |
4.9% /
5.6% |
7.7% /
0.0% |
5.3 /
5.3 |
25.9% /
31.3% |
22.2% /
46.9% |
2.5 /
2.5 |
68 /
68 |
37.3% /
38.0% |
33.8% /
36.8% |
23.9% /
14.5% |
4.2 /
4.0 |
0.0% /
1.5% |
39.7% /
47.1% |
25.1 /
33.6 |
| 8 |
MIN |
16 – 33 L |
-1.9 |
29.7% /
52.3% |
8.1% /
2.3% |
0.0% /
2.3% |
4.4 /
6.5 |
54.5% /
41.2% |
9.1% /
29.4% |
5.2 /
2.6 |
59 /
78 |
42.2% /
50.0% |
39.0% /
47.4% |
41.3% /
28.8% |
4.7 /
4.8 |
3.4% /
0.0% |
37.3% /
43.6% |
31.2 /
32.8 |
| 10 |
@DET |
24 – 38 L |
-0.7 |
29.5% /
36.7% |
9.1% /
13.3% |
2.5% /
3.8% |
4.8 /
8.0 |
60.6% /
42.9% |
30.3% /
28.6% |
6.1 /
5.0 |
77 /
51 |
41.4% /
41.7% |
42.9% /
39.2% |
48.9% /
73.8% |
5.4 /
6.8 |
1.3% /
0.0% |
42.9% /
41.2% |
28.4 /
28.8 |
| 11 |
JAC |
7 – 19 L |
-3.9 |
32.4% /
31.3% |
13.5% /
6.3% |
6.3% /
0.0% |
3.6 /
4.5 |
36.8% /
31.1% |
26.3% /
35.6% |
2.7 /
3.1 |
56 /
77 |
40.0% /
32.1% |
33.9% /
31.2% |
42.2% /
24.2% |
3.3 /
3.7 |
5.4% /
1.3% |
33.9% /
58.4% |
30.4 /
33.0 |
| 12 |
@CIN |
16 – 30 L |
-8.7 |
34.3% /
55.2% |
11.4% /
3.4% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
6.7 /
7.2 |
54.8% /
50.0% |
25.8% /
21.9% |
5.5 /
4.8 |
66 /
61 |
43.8% /
58.3% |
43.9% /
52.5% |
70.1% /
36.1% |
6.1 /
6.0 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
47.0% /
52.5% |
23.7 /
33.4 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@DEN |
21 – 24 L |
-6.6 |
47.1% /
50.0% |
2.9% /
12.5% |
3.0% /
3.6% |
5.4 /
5.7 |
27.3% /
40.5% |
31.8% /
18.9% |
2.9 /
3.8 |
56 /
69 |
42.9% /
44.2% |
39.3% /
44.9% |
27.7% /
47.8% |
4.4 /
4.7 |
0.0% /
1.4% |
39.3% /
53.6% |
31.6 /
31.8 |
| 2 |
MIA |
17 – 19 L |
2.0 |
62.5% /
44.4% |
2.5% /
5.6% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
8.1 /
6.3 |
28.6% /
36.4% |
50.0% /
30.3% |
3.1 /
3.4 |
54 /
69 |
58.7% /
43.4% |
53.7% /
40.6% |
28.6% /
38.9% |
6.8 /
4.9 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
25.9% /
47.8% |
24.9 /
26.4 |
| 3 |
KC |
10 – 24 L |
-8.0 |
35.7% /
34.6% |
4.8% /
19.2% |
7.5% /
0.0% |
5.4 /
4.7 |
34.6% /
56.0% |
34.6% /
20.0% |
4.0 /
7.6 |
68 /
51 |
34.5% /
50.0% |
35.3% /
45.1% |
39.1% /
55.0% |
4.9 /
6.1 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
38.2% /
49.0% |
22.8 /
30.5 |
| 4 |
PHI |
24 – 26 L |
-6.2 |
42.5% /
46.9% |
5.0% /
3.1% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
8.6 /
7.5 |
38.5% /
47.7% |
46.2% /
20.5% |
4.5 /
4.9 |
53 /
76 |
39.5% /
47.3% |
41.5% /
47.4% |
68.3% /
56.1% |
7.5 /
6.0 |
1.9% /
0.0% |
24.5% /
57.9% |
22.2 /
22.1 |
| 5 |
@NYG |
27 – 22 W |
-2.4 |
36.4% /
34.1% |
0.0% /
12.2% |
2.3% /
2.8% |
5.9 /
4.5 |
31.3% /
72.0% |
21.9% /
12.0% |
3.9 /
6.1 |
76 /
66 |
34.0% /
54.0% |
34.2% /
48.5% |
36.2% /
46.3% |
5.1 /
5.1 |
0.0% /
1.5% |
42.1% /
37.9% |
29.0 /
28.2 |
| 6 |
@OAK |
17 – 16 W |
-3.2 |
45.9% /
51.6% |
2.7% /
3.2% |
0.0% /
6.7% |
7.1 /
5.3 |
21.9% /
50.0% |
18.8% /
31.8% |
2.6 /
5.0 |
69 /
53 |
34.0% /
52.5% |
34.8% /
50.9% |
33.6% /
35.4% |
5.0 /
5.2 |
1.4% /
0.0% |
46.4% /
41.5% |
24.7 /
31.7 |
| 7 |
DEN |
21 – 0 W |
11.1 |
34.5% /
35.0% |
10.3% /
12.5% |
0.0% /
2.9% |
5.6 /
4.6 |
19.2% /
21.1% |
42.3% /
21.1% |
3.1 /
3.6 |
55 /
59 |
28.6% /
32.6% |
27.3% /
30.5% |
44.6% /
13.5% |
4.4 /
4.3 |
0.0% /
3.4% |
47.3% /
32.2% |
29.8 /
23.2 |
| 8 |
@NE |
13 – 21 L |
-4.4 |
46.7% /
50.0% |
3.3% /
6.0% |
3.4% /
0.0% |
6.4 /
6.3 |
66.7% /
43.8% |
19.0% /
28.1% |
7.5 /
3.0 |
51 /
82 |
60.0% /
46.8% |
54.9% /
47.6% |
38.7% /
21.3% |
6.8 /
5.0 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
41.2% /
39.0% |
20.5 /
30.5 |
| 10 |
@JAC |
17 – 20 L |
0.3 |
43.2% /
37.0% |
0.0% /
5.6% |
2.7% /
3.9% |
6.4 /
4.9 |
48.4% /
29.6% |
25.8% /
29.6% |
2.8 /
5.0 |
68 /
81 |
54.9% /
36.1% |
45.6% /
34.6% |
38.4% /
34.7% |
4.8 /
4.9 |
1.5% /
0.0% |
45.6% /
33.3% |
21.1 /
30.7 |
| 11 |
BUF |
54 – 24 W |
21.2 |
56.8% /
45.0% |
2.7% /
2.5% |
0.0% /
12.8% |
7.6 /
5.5 |
34.2% /
50.0% |
31.6% /
36.4% |
3.9 /
7.9 |
75 /
62 |
48.2% /
47.8% |
45.3% /
46.8% |
41.2% /
49.1% |
5.8 /
6.3 |
0.0% /
1.6% |
50.7% /
35.5% |
44.0 /
21.7 |
| 12 |
@DAL |
28 – 6 W |
6.7 |
57.6% /
51.7% |
0.0% /
6.9% |
0.0% /
7.4% |
13.2 /
5.8 |
26.3% /
80.0% |
18.4% /
10.0% |
2.2 /
4.0 |
71 /
49 |
41.7% /
65.8% |
40.8% /
63.3% |
53.2% /
15.4% |
7.3 /
5.0 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
53.5% /
40.8% |
20.6 /
23.3 |
Cleveland Browns
@ 
Los Angeles Chargers