Game Analysis
Lean – INDIANAPOLIS (+1.5) over Cleveland
This game will be decided by two young quarterbacks with little starting experience. Thus far in their careers, Jacoby Brissett has greatly outperformed DeShone Kizer – mainly due to Kizer’s near 7% interception rate. Brissett and Kizer have both relied on their feet with career scramble rates of 19% and 14% respectively.
Despite losing by two touchdowns last week, the Browns outgained the Ravens by 0.8 yards-per-play and, if it weren’t for 5 turnovers, Cleveland may have won that game. However, rookie quarterbacks tend to throw interceptions and it’s tough to trust Kizer until he proves to be less careless with his decision making.
Cleveland certainly does appear to be improved and the Colts have struggled without star quarterback Andrew Luck, but the Browns are a road favorite for only the 4th time in the last decade and Indy applies to a 67-20-1 ATS contrary indicator.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
41.0
36.5
-
Succ Pass Plays
37.2%
48.0%
-
Sack Rate
12.8%
4.1%
-
Int Rate
6.4%
2.9%
-
Deep Pass Rate
33.3%
8.6%
-
Big Pass Yards
63.0%
28.0%
-
NYPP
5.7
6.2
Rush
-
Rush Plays
23.0
29.0
-
RB YPR
3.1
2.8
-
Stuff Rate
19.9%
21.6%
-
Succ Rush Plays
37.0%
26.2%
-
Big Rush Yards
34.4%
53.3%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.4
2.8
Game
-
All Snaps
64.0
65.5
-
Early Down Succ
39.1%
44.1%
-
Succ Rate
36.8%
38.7%
-
Big Yards Rate
56.1%
37.5%
-
Yards Per Play
4.8
4.8
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.8%
0.7%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.0
28.6
-
Run Ratio
36.1%
44.1%
-
Starting Field Pos
25.5
27.4
-
Game Control
-7.6
7.6
Pass
-
Pass Plays
33.0
35.5
-
Succ Pass Plays
34.7%
47.4%
-
Sack Rate
12.9%
6.6%
-
Int Rate
6.1%
1.4%
-
Deep Pass Rate
15.1%
23.9%
-
Big Pass Yards
53.3%
68.7%
-
NYPP
5.3
8.8
Rush
-
Rush Plays
27.0
33.0
-
RB YPR
2.7
2.4
-
Stuff Rate
26.1%
17.0%
-
Succ Rush Plays
33.2%
28.6%
-
Big Rush Yards
42.1%
15.6%
-
Yards Per Rush
2.8
2.4
Game
-
All Snaps
60.0
68.5
-
Early Down Succ
38.5%
41.5%
-
Succ Rate
34.3%
37.2%
-
Big Yards Rate
49.0%
58.1%
-
Yards Per Play
4.2
5.6
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.0%
0.7%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
29.4
27.8
-
Run Ratio
45.7%
47.9%
-
Starting Field Pos
23.8
32.7
-
Game Control
-7.5
7.5
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
PIT |
18 – 21 L |
-5.8 |
43.2% / 45.9% |
18.9% / 2.7% |
3.3% / 2.8% |
4.9 / 6.9 |
36.0% / 16.0% |
16.0% / 16.0% |
2.3 / 1.5 |
62 / 62 |
41.7% / 41.0% |
40.3% / 33.9% |
45.1% / 35.2% |
3.8 / 4.7 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
40.3% / 40.3% |
28.6 / 20.8 |
2 |
@BAL |
10 – 24 L |
-9.4 |
31.1% / 50.0% |
6.7% / 5.6% |
9.5% / 2.9% |
6.5 / 5.6 |
38.1% / 36.4% |
23.8% / 27.3% |
4.4 / 4.2 |
66 / 69 |
36.5% / 47.3% |
33.3% / 43.5% |
67.1% / 39.9% |
5.8 / 4.9 |
1.5% / 1.4% |
31.8% / 47.8% |
22.3 / 33.9 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
@LA |
9 – 46 L |
-21.3 |
28.0% / 54.8% |
16.0% / 3.2% |
9.5% / 0.0% |
6.0 / 10.0 |
32.0% / 22.5% |
28.0% / 22.5% |
3.0 / 1.7 |
50 / 71 |
40.5% / 43.5% |
30.0% / 36.6% |
81.4% / 52.7% |
4.5 / 5.3 |
2.0% / 1.4% |
50.0% / 56.3% |
23.1 / 35.8 |
2 |
ARI |
13 – 16 L |
6.3 |
41.5% / 40.0% |
9.8% / 10.0% |
2.7% / 2.8% |
4.6 / 7.7 |
34.5% / 34.6% |
24.1% / 11.5% |
2.6 / 3.2 |
70 / 66 |
36.5% / 39.6% |
38.6% / 37.9% |
16.5% / 63.6% |
3.8 / 5.9 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
41.4% / 39.4% |
24.5 / 29.6 |