Cleveland Browns @

Indianapolis Colts

Sun, Sep 24
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 463
Odds: Indianapolis Colts +1.5, Total: 40

Game Analysis

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Lean – INDIANAPOLIS (+1.5) over Cleveland

This game will be decided by two young quarterbacks with little starting experience. Thus far in their careers, Jacoby Brissett has greatly outperformed DeShone Kizer – mainly due to Kizer’s near 7% interception rate. Brissett and Kizer have both relied on their feet with career scramble rates of 19% and 14% respectively.

 

Despite losing by two touchdowns last week, the Browns outgained the Ravens by 0.8 yards-per-play and, if it weren’t for 5 turnovers, Cleveland may have won that game. However, rookie quarterbacks tend to throw interceptions and it’s tough to trust Kizer until he proves to be less careless with his decision making.

 

Cleveland certainly does appear to be improved and the Colts have struggled without star quarterback Andrew Luck, but the Browns are a road favorite for only the 4th time in the last decade and Indy applies to a 67-20-1 ATS contrary indicator.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Browns
  • Colts
CLE
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 41.0 36.5
  • Succ Pass Plays 37.2% 48.0%
  • Sack Rate 12.8% 4.1%
  • Int Rate 6.4% 2.9%
  • Deep Pass Rate 33.3% 8.6%
  • Big Pass Yards 63.0% 28.0%
  • NYPP 5.7 6.2



Rush


  • Rush Plays 23.0 29.0
  • RB YPR 3.1 2.8
  • Stuff Rate 19.9% 21.6%
  • Succ Rush Plays 37.0% 26.2%
  • Big Rush Yards 34.4% 53.3%
  • Yards Per Rush 3.4 2.8




Game

  • All Snaps 64.0 65.5
  • Early Down Succ 39.1% 44.1%
  • Succ Rate 36.8% 38.7%
  • Big Yards Rate 56.1% 37.5%
  • Yards Per Play 4.8 4.8
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.8% 0.7%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 27.0 28.6
  • Run Ratio 36.1% 44.1%
  • Starting Field Pos 25.5 27.4
  • Game Control -7.6 7.6
 
  • Points 14.0 22.5
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