Game Analysis
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Lean – Under (39) – BALTIMORE (-8) vs Cleveland
The Ravens defense recorded the only shutout of week 1 but their defensive adjEPA actually ranked 5th as they were lucky to turn Cincinnati over 3 times in the Redzone. Baltimore’s offense performed as expected scoring 20 points, which was right around their team total going into the game.
Cleveland impressed many by keeping it to a 3-point game against Pittsburgh. Although, they certainly benefitted from 144 penalty yards by the Steelers.
Our model favors Baltimore by 8.8 points, so the line is about right and we have no opinion on the side. However, we do lean with the Under based on a 117-62-8 week 2 Under angle.
- Team Stats
- Game Log
- Browns
- Ravens
CLE
Offense
Defense
Pass
- Pass Plays 37.0 37.0
- Succ Pass Plays 43.2% 45.9%
- Sack Rate 18.9% 2.7%
- Int Rate 3.3% 2.8%
- Deep Pass Rate 33.3% 11.1%
- Big Pass Yards 53.3% 34.5%
- NYPP 4.9 6.9
Rush
- Rush Plays 25.0 25.0
- RB YPR 2.0 1.5
- Stuff Rate 16.0% 16.0%
- Succ Rush Plays 36.0% 16.0%
- Big Rush Yards 19.3% 39.5%
- Yards Per Rush 2.3 1.5
Game
- All Snaps 62.0 62.0
- Early Down Succ 41.7% 41.0%
- Succ Rate 40.3% 33.9%
- Big Yards Rate 45.1% 35.2%
- Yards Per Play 3.8 4.7
- Fumble Lost Rate 0.0% 0.0%
- Time Per Play (sec) 30.0 28.1
- Run Ratio 40.3% 40.3%
- Starting Field Pos 28.6 20.8
- Game Control -5.8 5.8
- Points 18.0 21.0