Game Analysis
The Bengals have been a team that has averaged only 43.6 total points per game, however, their peripheral metrics show a high-powered offense and soft defense culminating in a team that would average 51.0 total points per game long-term. Andy Dalton has been effective and explosive, averaging 7.2 NYPP ranking him 10th in the league (adjusted for defense), doing it by taking plenty of deep shots averaging 20.0% deep passing rate. The biggest weaknesses of the Bengals all year has been too many sacks taken by the Red Ryder BB-Gun, getting sacked 8.3% of his dropbacks. Fortunately for Dalton, the Giants defense has not been getting pressure on opposing QBs this year, with the 28th ranked sack rate at only 2.9%. Eli and Odell lead an effective Giants offensive attack, with the second fastest tempo team in the NFL and averaging 6.8 NYPP. While the Giants are only averaging 20.1 points per game the offense has been hindered by ball security all year, with a minus 7 fumble differential that has stalled the offense on numerous occasions. The advanced stats model sees more points than expected, so OVER (47) CIN/NYG is a Strong Opinion. Lean to Bengals (+1.5)
Pass
-
Pass Plays
38.3
38.1
-
Succ Pass Plays
46.3%
46.0%
-
Sack Rate
8.4%
5.4%
-
Int Rate
1.4%
2.7%
-
Deep Pass Rate
20.6%
13.8%
-
Big Pass Yards
46.3%
40.2%
-
NYPP
7.0
6.8
Rush
-
Rush Plays
27.6
27.4
-
RB YPR
4.0
4.1
-
Stuff Rate
20.0%
20.1%
-
Succ Rush Plays
46.9%
41.9%
-
Big Rush Yards
35.7%
41.5%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.2
4.3
Game
-
All Snaps
65.9
65.6
-
Early Down Succ
50.7%
47.1%
-
Succ Rate
47.1%
44.2%
-
Big Yards Rate
44.7%
43.8%
-
Yards Per Play
5.8
5.8
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.8%
0.6%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.3
28.3
-
Run Ratio
41.7%
41.7%
-
Starting Field Pos
25.6
27.3
-
Game Control
-1.5
1.5
Pass
-
Pass Plays
40.3
43.8
-
Succ Pass Plays
46.5%
39.8%
-
Sack Rate
3.7%
3.6%
-
Int Rate
2.8%
2.2%
-
Deep Pass Rate
15.3%
23.1%
-
Big Pass Yards
36.2%
41.6%
-
NYPP
6.6
6.2
Rush
-
Rush Plays
23.3
26.6
-
RB YPR
3.3
3.5
-
Stuff Rate
19.5%
20.8%
-
Succ Rush Plays
39.7%
44.1%
-
Big Rush Yards
28.6%
29.4%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.3
3.5
Game
-
All Snaps
63.7
70.3
-
Early Down Succ
47.7%
42.8%
-
Succ Rate
43.7%
40.9%
-
Big Yards Rate
36.1%
39.4%
-
Yards Per Play
5.4
5.1
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.3%
0.2%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
25.2
28.4
-
Run Ratio
36.3%
37.6%
-
Starting Field Pos
25.8
31.1
-
Game Control
-1.2
1.2
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@NYJ |
23 – 22 W |
-1.8 |
48.6% /
36.1% |
18.9% /
2.8% |
3.3% /
2.9% |
8.8 /
5.2 |
42.1% /
56.7% |
26.3% /
16.7% |
3.1 /
5.1 |
56 /
66 |
52.3% /
48.1% |
46.4% /
45.5% |
68.6% /
40.6% |
6.8 /
5.2 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
33.9% /
45.5% |
26.2 /
33.5 |
| 2 |
@PIT |
16 – 24 L |
-6.0 |
50.9% /
42.1% |
1.8% /
2.6% |
0.0% /
5.4% |
6.7 /
6.6 |
22.2% /
41.7% |
27.8% /
30.6% |
2.6 /
3.4 |
73 /
74 |
48.2% /
42.9% |
43.8% /
41.9% |
42.5% /
43.3% |
5.6 /
5.1 |
2.7% /
0.0% |
24.7% /
48.6% |
18.9 /
30.8 |
| 3 |
DEN |
17 – 29 L |
-0.6 |
45.7% /
54.1% |
11.4% /
5.4% |
3.2% /
0.0% |
5.4 /
8.2 |
56.7% /
29.2% |
16.7% /
33.3% |
4.8 /
2.2 |
65 /
61 |
57.1% /
44.7% |
50.8% /
44.3% |
46.5% /
38.8% |
5.1 /
5.8 |
1.5% /
1.6% |
46.2% /
39.3% |
30.4 /
26.1 |
| 4 |
MIA |
22 – 7 W |
7.4 |
46.9% /
26.7% |
3.1% /
16.7% |
0.0% /
4.0% |
8.9 /
5.3 |
24.4% /
30.8% |
31.7% /
7.7% |
2.0 /
4.8 |
73 /
43 |
42.0% /
32.3% |
34.2% /
27.9% |
42.9% /
59.5% |
5.0 /
5.2 |
0.0% /
2.3% |
56.2% /
30.2% |
30.8 /
22.7 |
| 5 |
@DAL |
14 – 28 L |
-17.7 |
51.1% /
56.0% |
8.9% /
4.0% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
5.5 /
8.9 |
52.6% /
41.2% |
5.3% /
14.7% |
5.1 /
5.4 |
64 /
59 |
52.9% /
55.8% |
51.6% /
47.5% |
23.5% /
48.3% |
5.4 /
6.9 |
0.0% /
1.7% |
29.7% /
57.6% |
22.0 /
26.2 |
| 6 |
@NE |
17 – 35 L |
-4.4 |
48.5% /
60.5% |
6.1% /
7.9% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
7.2 /
9.4 |
53.1% /
39.1% |
28.1% /
26.1% |
3.8 /
3.4 |
65 /
61 |
52.9% /
54.0% |
50.8% /
52.5% |
48.2% /
51.5% |
5.5 /
7.2 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
49.2% /
37.7% |
22.9 /
28.0 |
| 7 |
CLE |
31 – 17 W |
8.9 |
48.4% /
43.2% |
9.7% /
5.4% |
0.0% /
5.7% |
9.3 /
4.6 |
63.3% /
53.8% |
10.0% /
19.2% |
9.0 /
6.9 |
61 /
63 |
56.9% /
49.0% |
55.7% /
47.6% |
57.8% /
44.6% |
9.2 /
5.6 |
1.6% /
0.0% |
49.2% /
41.3% |
20.0 /
26.8 |
| 8 |
WAS |
27 – 27 T |
0.1 |
48.9% /
50.9% |
6.7% /
1.8% |
2.4% /
1.8% |
5.8 /
7.8 |
63.9% /
50.0% |
8.3% /
18.8% |
4.2 /
3.2 |
81 /
89 |
54.5% /
54.4% |
55.6% /
50.6% |
24.1% /
40.8% |
5.1 /
6.1 |
1.2% /
0.0% |
44.4% /
36.0% |
26.3 /
25.0 |
| 10 |
@NYG |
20 – 21 L |
0.8 |
28.1% /
44.4% |
9.4% /
2.2% |
3.4% /
4.5% |
5.8 /
5.1 |
43.5% /
34.5% |
26.1% /
13.8% |
3.4 /
4.3 |
55 /
74 |
39.5% /
42.6% |
34.5% /
40.5% |
48.1% /
26.9% |
4.8 /
4.8 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
41.8% /
39.2% |
33.3 /
26.3 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@DAL |
20 – 19 W |
-1.8 |
50.0% /
46.5% |
6.7% /
0.0% |
3.6% /
0.0% |
6.8 /
5.3 |
50.0% /
50.0% |
16.7% /
23.3% |
4.7 /
3.4 |
54 /
73 |
50.0% /
44.6% |
50.0% /
47.9% |
43.7% /
13.7% |
5.9 /
4.5 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
44.4% /
41.1% |
24.3 /
28.3 |
| 2 |
NO |
16 – 13 W |
2.0 |
60.5% /
43.5% |
4.7% /
4.3% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
8.2 /
5.4 |
33.3% /
38.5% |
25.0% /
15.4% |
1.9 /
3.2 |
79 /
59 |
53.6% /
47.8% |
48.1% /
42.4% |
32.8% /
15.3% |
5.3 /
4.9 |
3.8% /
0.0% |
45.6% /
22.0% |
21.5 /
29.6 |
| 3 |
WAS |
27 – 29 L |
3.7 |
52.5% /
45.9% |
5.0% /
5.4% |
5.3% /
0.0% |
8.4 /
8.5 |
47.6% /
37.5% |
19.0% /
15.6% |
5.7 /
2.9 |
61 /
69 |
51.9% /
43.8% |
50.8% /
42.0% |
47.3% /
56.0% |
7.5 /
5.9 |
1.6% /
1.4% |
34.4% /
46.4% |
28.5 /
35.9 |
| 4 |
@MIN |
10 – 24 L |
-10.0 |
37.8% /
47.2% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
2.2% /
0.0% |
5.8 /
7.3 |
44.4% /
28.6% |
11.1% /
20.0% |
4.3 /
3.0 |
63 /
71 |
46.9% /
37.3% |
39.7% /
38.0% |
24.8% /
42.7% |
5.4 /
5.2 |
1.6% /
0.0% |
28.6% /
49.3% |
23.0 /
31.3 |
| 5 |
@GB |
16 – 23 L |
-8.1 |
35.9% /
42.2% |
10.3% /
0.0% |
0.0% /
4.4% |
4.5 /
5.8 |
40.0% /
45.7% |
26.7% /
14.3% |
2.9 /
4.3 |
54 /
80 |
39.0% /
46.4% |
37.0% /
43.8% |
18.7% /
38.6% |
4.1 /
5.1 |
1.9% /
0.0% |
27.8% /
43.8% |
37.8 /
25.8 |
| 6 |
BAL |
27 – 23 W |
-2.9 |
53.2% /
32.0% |
2.1% /
4.0% |
4.3% /
0.0% |
8.4 /
5.9 |
35.3% /
53.8% |
23.5% /
34.6% |
2.2 /
3.8 |
64 /
76 |
51.1% /
42.9% |
48.4% /
39.5% |
47.8% /
45.5% |
6.8 /
5.1 |
1.6% /
0.0% |
26.6% /
34.2% |
20.1 /
33.3 |
| 7 |
@LA |
17 – 10 W |
-1.8 |
40.5% /
33.9% |
0.0% /
5.4% |
0.0% /
7.5% |
5.3 /
4.8 |
36.4% /
55.0% |
18.2% /
10.0% |
1.7 /
3.7 |
59 /
76 |
45.2% /
35.7% |
39.0% /
39.5% |
34.6% /
36.8% |
4.0 /
4.5 |
1.7% /
0.0% |
37.3% /
26.3% |
21.5 /
26.8 |
| 9 |
PHI |
28 – 23 W |
9.1 |
43.2% /
38.8% |
2.7% /
4.1% |
5.6% /
4.3% |
6.7 /
7.1 |
35.7% /
44.0% |
21.4% /
28.0% |
2.0 /
3.8 |
65 /
74 |
48.9% /
47.3% |
40.0% /
40.5% |
48.7% /
58.0% |
4.7 /
6.0 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
43.1% /
33.8% |
28.9 /
35.5 |
| 10 |
CIN |
21 – 20 W |
-0.8 |
44.4% /
28.1% |
2.2% /
9.4% |
4.5% /
3.4% |
5.1 /
5.8 |
34.5% /
43.5% |
13.8% /
26.1% |
4.3 /
3.4 |
74 /
55 |
42.6% /
39.5% |
40.5% /
34.5% |
26.9% /
48.1% |
4.8 /
4.8 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
39.2% /
41.8% |
26.3 /
33.3 |
Cincinnati Bengals
@ 
New York Giants