Game Analysis
Two 1-3 teams square off with the Bears under-performing their offensive metrics and the Colts outperforming their offensive Metrics.
The Bears have averaged a respectable 5.7 YPP and 50% offensive success rate which generally translates into 25.3 points per game if sustained over a full season, however they have only averaged 15.5 points a contest Look for the passing and rushing attack of the Bears to have success against a Colts defense which is third worst in adjusted yards per play allowed and have given up 31.3 points per game. Conversely, the Colts offense has averaged 5.2 yards per play but have managed to put up 27 points per game.
The value is on Chicago so Bears (+5) is a Strong Opinion.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
37.8
33.5
-
Succ Pass Plays
50.6%
51.1%
-
Sack Rate
7.3%
4.1%
-
Int Rate
1.7%
2.1%
-
Deep Pass Rate
19.6%
21.4%
-
Big Pass Yards
38.3%
30.2%
-
NYPP
6.7
6.6
Rush
-
Rush Plays
21.3
33.5
-
RB YPR
4.5
3.3
-
Stuff Rate
32.4%
22.0%
-
Succ Rush Plays
47.9%
46.1%
-
Big Rush Yards
56.4%
43.7%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.9
3.7
Game
-
All Snaps
59.0
67.0
-
Early Down Succ
56.8%
52.1%
-
Succ Rate
50.1%
49.0%
-
Big Yards Rate
41.9%
33.9%
-
Yards Per Play
5.7
5.0
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.8%
0.4%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
26.7
30.2
-
Run Ratio
35.7%
49.3%
-
Starting Field Pos
26.4
31.9
-
Game Control
-3.1
3.1
Pass
-
Pass Plays
45.0
37.8
-
Succ Pass Plays
43.2%
53.4%
-
Sack Rate
8.3%
4.7%
-
Int Rate
1.9%
0.8%
-
Deep Pass Rate
19.0%
10.7%
-
Big Pass Yards
38.6%
28.7%
-
NYPP
5.9
7.3
Rush
-
Rush Plays
23.0
25.5
-
RB YPR
3.5
3.9
-
Stuff Rate
15.4%
19.2%
-
Succ Rush Plays
56.5%
50.3%
-
Big Rush Yards
22.5%
32.0%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.9
4.0
Game
-
All Snaps
68.0
63.3
-
Early Down Succ
47.3%
55.6%
-
Succ Rate
47.1%
52.9%
-
Big Yards Rate
34.4%
32.3%
-
Yards Per Play
5.2
6.1
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.8%
1.3%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.4
27.5
-
Run Ratio
33.9%
40.0%
-
Starting Field Pos
25.6
26.6
-
Game Control
-4.3
4.3
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
@HOU |
14 – 23 L |
0.5 |
38.2% / 45.9% |
14.7% / 5.4% |
3.4% / 2.9% |
5.4 / 5.8 |
60.0% / 37.8% |
30.0% / 16.2% |
3.7 / 3.5 |
54 / 74 |
53.8% / 38.0% |
46.3% / 41.9% |
42.6% / 41.3% |
4.8 / 4.7 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
37.0% / 50.0% |
25.1 / 33.0 |
2 |
PHI |
14 – 29 L |
-5.1 |
53.1% / 48.6% |
9.4% / 5.7% |
3.4% / 0.0% |
6.9 / 5.1 |
61.1% / 28.9% |
27.8% / 26.3% |
3.6 / 2.7 |
50 / 73 |
61.5% / 46.8% |
56.0% / 38.4% |
45.1% / 38.5% |
5.7 / 3.9 |
4.0% / 0.0% |
36.0% / 52.1% |
26.0 / 38.1 |
3 |
@DAL |
17 – 31 L |
-13.6 |
53.2% / 62.5% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
6.7 / 10.3 |
26.7% / 73.2% |
46.7% / 12.2% |
4.9 / 4.9 |
62 / 65 |
51.0% / 73.6% |
46.8% / 69.2% |
45.4% / 33.8% |
6.3 / 6.9 |
3.2% / 1.5% |
24.2% / 63.1% |
26.3 / 30.7 |
4 |
DET |
17 – 14 W |
6.0 |
57.9% / 47.4% |
5.3% / 5.3% |
0.0% / 5.6% |
7.7 / 5.2 |
43.8% / 44.4% |
25.0% / 33.3% |
3.7 / 3.7 |
70 / 56 |
60.8% / 50.0% |
51.4% / 46.4% |
34.5% / 22.1% |
5.9 / 4.7 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
45.7% / 32.1% |
28.3 / 26.0 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
DET |
35 – 39 L |
-6.8 |
46.9% / 62.5% |
4.1% / 2.5% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
7.5 / 8.3 |
73.7% / 56.0% |
10.5% / 16.0% |
4.3 / 4.7 |
68 / 65 |
53.8% / 63.0% |
54.4% / 60.0% |
35.3% / 30.5% |
6.6 / 6.9 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
27.9% / 38.5% |
22.8 / 23.3 |
2 |
@DEN |
20 – 34 L |
-4.5 |
37.8% / 58.8% |
11.1% / 2.9% |
2.5% / 3.0% |
3.8 / 7.8 |
50.0% / 54.8% |
4.5% / 22.6% |
3.8 / 4.3 |
67 / 65 |
42.0% / 59.3% |
41.8% / 56.9% |
28.7% / 30.3% |
3.8 / 6.2 |
1.5% / 0.0% |
32.8% / 47.7% |
26.7 / 24.8 |
3 |
SD |
26 – 22 W |
1.8 |
53.8% / 56.1% |
5.1% / 4.9% |
2.7% / 0.0% |
8.1 / 7.8 |
38.5% / 35.3% |
34.6% / 17.6% |
3.6 / 2.2 |
65 / 58 |
50.9% / 53.2% |
47.7% / 50.0% |
36.8% / 40.2% |
6.3 / 6.1 |
1.5% / 5.2% |
40.0% / 29.3% |
28.1 / 28.6 |
4 |
@JAC |
27 – 30 L |
-7.8 |
34.0% / 36.1% |
12.8% / 8.3% |
2.4% / 0.0% |
4.0 / 5.4 |
64.0% / 55.2% |
12.0% / 20.7% |
3.8 / 4.7 |
72 / 65 |
42.6% / 47.2% |
44.4% / 44.6% |
36.6% / 28.1% |
3.9 / 5.1 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
34.7% / 44.6% |
25.0 / 29.7 |