Carolina Panthers @

Seattle Seahawks

Sun, Dec 4
5:30 PM Pacific
Rotation: 375
Odds: Seattle Seahawks -7, Total: 44.5

Game Analysis

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Riverboat Ron seems to have used all his luck last year, as seemingly the high-leverage situations and bounces of the oblong ball seem to go against the Panthers this year in stark contrast to last year.  The Panthers actually have a positive Game Control rating and a positive yards per play differential, yet have a losing record and sit at the bottom of the high-scoring NFC South at 4-7.  The Panthers team is still capable of putting up points with anyone, as the biggest differences offensively from last year have been Cam’s TD rate has been cut in half from last year’s MVP 7.1% of all throws as TDs to now the lowest of his career of 3.8%,  a team turnover differential that was +20 last year, currently through 11 games sits at -5.  While both of those stats are descriptive of what has occurred so far this season, neither is predictive of what will happen going forward (for reference Tom Brady’s TD percentage the past 10 years has been as high as 8.7% and as low as 4.0% in full 16 game seasons).  The Seahawks are the ultimate team of styles this year, as their 7 best defensive performances they have held teams to an average of 13 points, in the other 4 games they have allowed an average 25 points per game with not 1 opponent falling with a score in the typical range of 18-24 (8% chance of happening).  The Carolina team averages 51 points per contest and have been able to turn many games into shootouts.  The advanced stats model sees value on the road dog and Over, so Panthers (+7) and OVER (44.5) are Strong Opinions.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Panthers
  • Seahawks
CAR
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 37.6 40.9
  • Succ Pass Plays 44.8% 49.9%
  • Sack Rate 6.4% 6.9%
  • Int Rate 3.1% 2.7%
  • Deep Pass Rate 19.2% 16.0%
  • Big Pass Yards 38.7% 33.2%
  • NYPP 6.6 6.7



Rush


  • Rush Plays 28.1 25.5
  • RB YPR 3.6 3.2
  • Stuff Rate 22.0% 24.0%
  • Succ Rush Plays 45.7% 39.6%
  • Big Rush Yards 41.2% 34.2%
  • Yards Per Rush 3.9 3.2




Game

  • All Snaps 65.7 66.5
  • Early Down Succ 46.8% 49.1%
  • Succ Rate 45.5% 45.5%
  • Big Yards Rate 39.0% 35.4%
  • Yards Per Play 5.4 5.3
  • Fumble Lost Rate 1.3% 0.7%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 28.4 26.2
  • Run Ratio 42.9% 38.4%
  • Starting Field Pos 28.1 27.2
  • Game Control 2.0 -2.0
 
  • Points 25.1 25.5
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