Carolina Panthers @

Atlanta Falcons

Sun, Oct 2

10:00 AM Pacific

Rotation: 259

Odds: Atlanta Falcons +3, Total: 50

Game Analysis

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The advanced stats Model shows value on the OVER, so OVER (50) Panthers at Falcons is a Strong Opinion. Lean to the Falcons +3.

Team Stats
Game Log

Panthers
Falcons

CAR

Offense

Defense

Pass

Pass Plays 39.3 32.0
Succ Pass Plays 40.9% 44.3%
Sack Rate 9.8% 6.4%
Int Rate 4.7% 4.4%
Deep Pass Rate 21.0% 13.4%
Big Pass Yards 36.5% 31.8%
NYPP 6.2 5.7

Rush

Rush Plays 32.3 27.7
RB YPR 4.4 3.1
Stuff Rate 13.6% 27.0%
Succ Rush Plays 51.9% 36.8%
Big Rush Yards 33.5% 39.2%
Yards Per Rush 4.5 3.2

Game

All Snaps 71.7 59.7
Early Down Succ 46.0% 45.6%
Succ Rate 45.9% 40.8%
Big Yards Rate 36.7% 36.0%
Yards Per Play 5.4 4.6
Fumble Lost Rate 1.3% 1.1%
Time Per Play (sec) 28.9 25.8
Run Ratio 45.1% 46.5%
Starting Field Pos 27.4 30.9
Game Control 3.7 -3.7

Points 25.3 23.3

ATL

Offense

Defense

Pass

Pass Plays 36.3 45.0
Succ Pass Plays 58.4% 55.4%
Sack Rate 5.4% 1.9%
Int Rate 1.0% 1.6%
Deep Pass Rate 15.8% 17.3%
Big Pass Yards 46.0% 42.4%
NYPP 8.6 7.1

Rush

Rush Plays 28.3 26.7
RB YPR 4.4 4.7
Stuff Rate 17.8% 11.4%
Succ Rush Plays 43.5% 48.2%
Big Rush Yards 40.4% 39.9%
Yards Per Rush 4.6 4.7

Game

All Snaps 64.7 71.7
Early Down Succ 56.1% 55.2%
Succ Rate 52.1% 51.4%
Big Yards Rate 47.7% 42.9%
Yards Per Play 7.0 6.0
Fumble Lost Rate 0.0% 0.4%
Time Per Play (sec) 26.9 26.0
Run Ratio 43.8% 37.9%
Starting Field Pos 30.5 22.3
Game Control 2.0 -2.0

Points 34.7 30.3

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2016 Game Log				PASS				RUSH			GAMES
Wk	Opp	Score	Game Control	Succ Pass Plays	Sack Rate	Int Rate	NYPP	Succ Rush Plays	Stuff Rate	Yds per Rush	All Snaps	Early Down Succ	Succ Rate	Big Yards Rate	Yds per Play	Fum Lost Rate	Run Ratio	Starting Field Pos
1	@DEN	20 – 21 L	4.1	41.2% / 50.0%	8.8% / 7.1%	3.2% / 7.7%	5.2 / 5.7	68.8% / 45.2%	9.4% / 19.4%	4.9 / 4.8	66 / 59	52.9% / 50.0%	54.5% / 47.5%	12.9% / 54.7%	5.0 / 5.2	0.0% / 1.7%	48.5% / 52.5%	26.3 / 28.9
2	SF	46 – 27 W	7.8	47.5% / 39.5%	2.5% / 5.3%	2.6% / 5.6%	8.8 / 6.2	40.5% / 34.6%	24.3% / 26.9%	4.8 / 2.5	77 / 64	43.5% / 41.7%	44.2% / 37.5%	55.6% / 46.7%	6.9 / 4.7	3.9% / 1.6%	48.1% / 40.6%	31.8 / 33.9
3	MIN	10 – 22 L	-0.7	34.1% / 43.3%	18.2% / 6.7%	8.3% / 0.0%	4.6 / 5.1	46.4% / 30.8%	7.1% / 34.6%	3.8 / 2.3	72 / 56	41.5% / 45.0%	38.9% / 37.5%	41.5% / 6.6%	4.3 / 3.8	0.0% / 0.0%	38.9% / 46.4%	24.0 / 29.9

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2016 Game Log				PASS				RUSH			GAMES
Wk	Opp	Score	Game Control	Succ Pass Plays	Sack Rate	Int Rate	NYPP	Succ Rush Plays	Stuff Rate	Yds per Rush	All Snaps	Early Down Succ	Succ Rate	Big Yards Rate	Yds per Play	Fum Lost Rate	Run Ratio	Starting Field Pos
1	TB	24 – 31 L	-4.7	50.0% / 57.6%	7.1% / 0.0%	0.0% / 3.0%	7.7 / 8.5	30.4% / 28.1%	30.4% / 21.9%	2.3 / 2.9	65 / 65	50.0% / 51.0%	43.1% / 43.1%	43.2% / 48.3%	5.8 / 5.7	0.0% / 0.0%	35.4% / 49.2%	30.8 / 23.8
2	@OAK	35 – 28 W	2.8	65.7% / 58.7%	2.9% / 2.2%	2.9% / 0.0%	11.1 / 6.5	51.7% / 60.0%	13.8% / 8.0%	4.8 / 6.2	64 / 71	61.1% / 63.2%	59.4% / 59.2%	50.2% / 30.8%	8.3 / 6.4	0.0% / 0.0%	45.3% / 35.2%	28.2 / 19.3
3	@NO	45 – 32 W	7.9	59.4% / 50.0%	6.3% / 3.6%	0.0% / 1.9%	7.0 / 6.4	48.5% / 56.5%	9.1% / 4.3%	6.6 / 5.0	65 / 79	57.1% / 51.6%	53.8% / 51.9%	49.8% / 49.6%	6.8 / 6.0	0.0% / 1.3%	50.8% / 29.1%	32.6 / 23.8

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