Game Analysis
TENNESSEE (-3.5/-3) vs Baltimore
It looks like Joe Flacco will return after a brutal hit that caused a concussion last week and I expect him to play well if he’s healthy. The Ravens offense is underrated because they’ve played 6 of their 8 games against defenses ranked top 10 in yppl allowed. Flacco threw for 7.9 yppp in the game and a half he played against the Raiders and Dolphins, the only defenses he’s faced outside of the top 10.
The Titans will need to utilize the ground game because Baltimore’s pass defense is surrendering just 5.4 yppp (6th). Tennessee is averaging 4.4 yards per rush (6th) and as Marcus Mariota’s hamstring heals, I expect the Titans running game to be dangerous moving forward.
Titans’ rookie wide receiver Corey Davis, the 5th overall pick in this year’s draft, will return after being sidelined since week 2. Mariota targeted Davis 13 times in the first 5 quarters of the season before his injury, so he figures to be a big part of the pass attack going forward if healthy. I have no opinion on this game.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
33.8
34.1
-
Succ Pass Plays
37.1%
38.2%
-
Sack Rate
5.5%
7.4%
-
Int Rate
3.2%
4.2%
-
Deep Pass Rate
12.8%
20.8%
-
Big Pass Yards
25.6%
36.7%
-
NYPP
4.8
5.5
Rush
-
Rush Plays
30.9
32.0
-
RB YPR
4.3
3.9
-
Stuff Rate
24.2%
25.3%
-
Succ Rush Plays
43.7%
39.5%
-
Big Rush Yards
47.8%
46.5%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.3
4.1
Game
-
All Snaps
64.6
66.1
-
Early Down Succ
43.6%
41.0%
-
Succ Rate
40.6%
38.9%
-
Big Yards Rate
34.9%
40.5%
-
Yards Per Play
4.3
4.8
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.8%
1.0%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.1
28.1
-
Run Ratio
48.0%
47.5%
-
Starting Field Pos
30.4
28.8
-
Game Control
1.0
-1.0
Pass
-
Pass Plays
32.9
37.4
-
Succ Pass Plays
45.9%
45.9%
-
Sack Rate
5.6%
3.9%
-
Int Rate
3.8%
2.9%
-
Deep Pass Rate
22.1%
17.2%
-
Big Pass Yards
32.1%
23.5%
-
NYPP
6.2
6.0
Rush
-
Rush Plays
28.9
28.3
-
RB YPR
3.9
3.4
-
Stuff Rate
26.9%
20.7%
-
Succ Rush Plays
42.1%
44.9%
-
Big Rush Yards
42.4%
23.4%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.3
3.5
Game
-
All Snaps
61.7
65.7
-
Early Down Succ
48.5%
48.9%
-
Succ Rate
44.6%
45.9%
-
Big Yards Rate
35.4%
24.3%
-
Yards Per Play
5.2
5.0
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.0%
0.7%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
29.9
27.9
-
Run Ratio
46.5%
42.9%
-
Starting Field Pos
28.6
27.5
-
Game Control
-2.2
2.2
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
@CIN |
20 – 0 W |
11.0 |
27.8% / 30.6% |
5.6% / 13.9% |
5.9% / 12.9% |
6.2 / 4.0 |
45.2% / 36.4% |
19.0% / 22.7% |
3.7 / 3.5 |
60 / 58 |
39.1% / 34.1% |
40.0% / 32.8% |
32.1% / 45.7% |
4.5 / 3.8 |
0.0% / 1.7% |
70.0% / 37.9% |
32.2 / 30.8 |
2 |
CLE |
24 – 10 W |
9.4 |
50.0% / 31.1% |
5.6% / 6.7% |
2.9% / 9.5% |
5.6 / 6.5 |
36.4% / 38.1% |
27.3% / 23.8% |
4.2 / 4.4 |
69 / 66 |
47.3% / 36.5% |
43.5% / 33.3% |
39.9% / 67.1% |
4.9 / 5.8 |
1.4% / 1.5% |
47.8% / 31.8% |
33.9 / 22.3 |
3 |
@JAC |
7 – 44 L |
-23.9 |
24.1% / 54.5% |
6.9% / 0.0% |
7.4% / 0.0% |
1.8 / 7.4 |
56.0% / 31.6% |
20.0% / 10.5% |
5.4 / 4.4 |
54 / 71 |
42.9% / 48.1% |
38.9% / 42.3% |
39.2% / 35.8% |
3.4 / 5.8 |
1.9% / 0.0% |
46.3% / 53.5% |
24.1 / 38.5 |
4 |
PIT |
9 – 26 L |
-8.6 |
52.9% / 41.9% |
7.8% / 3.2% |
4.3% / 3.3% |
4.0 / 6.7 |
46.7% / 46.5% |
46.7% / 23.3% |
5.5 / 4.0 |
66 / 74 |
56.9% / 45.6% |
51.5% / 44.6% |
25.3% / 26.4% |
4.4 / 5.2 |
1.5% / 0.0% |
22.7% / 58.1% |
28.5 / 31.1 |
5 |
@OAK |
30 – 17 W |
11.8 |
42.3% / 34.5% |
0.0% / 10.3% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
8.5 / 4.7 |
44.2% / 56.0% |
9.3% / 24.0% |
3.4 / 4.3 |
69 / 54 |
46.9% / 43.9% |
43.5% / 44.4% |
46.5% / 40.0% |
5.3 / 4.5 |
0.0% / 1.9% |
62.3% / 46.3% |
34.0 / 24.9 |
6 |
CHI |
24 – 27 L |
-4.4 |
27.3% / 28.6% |
6.8% / 19.0% |
4.9% / 0.0% |
3.8 / 5.3 |
46.2% / 41.8% |
15.4% / 29.1% |
4.8 / 4.2 |
70 / 76 |
37.3% / 42.1% |
34.3% / 38.2% |
21.6% / 41.1% |
4.2 / 4.5 |
1.4% / 2.6% |
37.1% / 72.4% |
29.9 / 27.6 |
7 |
@MIN |
16 – 24 L |
-5.1 |
36.4% / 54.8% |
11.4% / 0.0% |
0.0% / 3.2% |
3.3 / 6.1 |
40.0% / 39.4% |
35.0% / 27.3% |
3.2 / 5.1 |
64 / 64 |
36.2% / 46.9% |
37.5% / 46.9% |
29.8% / 26.3% |
3.3 / 5.6 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
31.3% / 51.6% |
25.4 / 33.2 |
8 |
MIA |
40 – 0 W |
17.5 |
36.4% / 29.8% |
0.0% / 6.4% |
0.0% / 4.5% |
5.5 / 3.2 |
34.9% / 26.3% |
20.9% / 42.1% |
4.1 / 2.4 |
65 / 66 |
42.6% / 30.6% |
35.4% / 28.8% |
45.0% / 41.3% |
4.6 / 3.0 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
66.2% / 28.8% |
35.3 / 22.2 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
OAK |
16 – 26 L |
-4.4 |
50.0% / 55.9% |
2.4% / 5.9% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
6.1 / 7.4 |
42.9% / 50.0% |
28.6% / 16.7% |
4.5 / 3.7 |
63 / 64 |
46.9% / 57.1% |
47.6% / 53.1% |
33.1% / 26.7% |
5.6 / 5.6 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
33.3% / 46.9% |
22.4 / 29.3 |
2 |
@JAC |
37 – 16 W |
7.9 |
42.9% / 41.7% |
3.6% / 5.6% |
3.7% / 5.9% |
7.5 / 5.9 |
68.4% / 64.0% |
10.5% / 12.0% |
4.8 / 4.0 |
66 / 61 |
64.0% / 52.1% |
57.6% / 50.8% |
41.6% / 23.5% |
5.9 / 5.1 |
0.0% / 1.6% |
57.6% / 41.0% |
39.9 / 23.4 |
3 |
SEA |
33 – 27 W |
4.9 |
51.6% / 50.0% |
0.0% / 2.0% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
7.3 / 7.3 |
44.4% / 40.9% |
22.2% / 31.8% |
5.4 / 3.1 |
67 / 72 |
54.9% / 51.8% |
47.8% / 47.2% |
44.9% / 38.8% |
6.3 / 6.0 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
53.7% / 30.6% |
29.6 / 23.3 |
4 |
@HOU |
14 – 57 L |
-20.6 |
40.9% / 58.3% |
9.1% / 5.6% |
20.0% / 2.9% |
5.0 / 7.6 |
35.0% / 50.0% |
15.0% / 14.3% |
4.4 / 4.1 |
42 / 78 |
43.8% / 53.8% |
38.1% / 53.8% |
52.6% / 28.5% |
4.7 / 5.7 |
2.4% / 0.0% |
47.6% / 53.8% |
21.9 / 38.0 |
5 |
@MIA |
10 – 16 L |
-4.2 |
36.8% / 25.0% |
15.8% / 3.6% |
0.0% / 3.7% |
3.1 / 2.8 |
30.0% / 43.8% |
45.0% / 28.1% |
3.5 / 3.2 |
58 / 60 |
40.0% / 37.2% |
34.5% / 35.0% |
19.1% / 6.1% |
3.2 / 3.0 |
3.4% / 1.7% |
34.5% / 53.3% |
25.1 / 27.0 |
6 |
IND |
36 – 22 W |
-1.2 |
57.6% / 51.4% |
3.0% / 0.0% |
3.1% / 0.0% |
9.2 / 5.7 |
42.9% / 40.0% |
20.0% / 20.0% |
4.8 / 4.3 |
68 / 57 |
51.9% / 53.2% |
50.0% / 47.4% |
42.2% / 22.6% |
7.0 / 5.2 |
0.0% / 1.8% |
51.5% / 35.1% |
27.4 / 26.5 |
7 |
@CLE |
12 – 9 W |
2.1 |
41.7% / 39.0% |
5.6% / 4.9% |
0.0% / 7.7% |
5.3 / 5.3 |
31.3% / 25.9% |
46.9% / 22.2% |
2.5 / 2.5 |
68 / 68 |
38.0% / 37.3% |
36.8% / 33.8% |
14.5% / 23.9% |
4.0 / 4.2 |
1.5% / 0.0% |
47.1% / 39.7% |
33.6 / 25.1 |