Baltimore Ravens @

New England Patriots

Mon, Dec 12
5:30 PM Pacific
Rotation: 133
Odds: New England Patriots -7, Total: 45

Game Analysis

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The newly minted most winningest quarterback in NFL history, Touchdown Tom Brady, will face off against one of the top-ranked defensive units in the league.  Baltimore is the second-ranked defensive unit allowing only 4.8 yards per play and a 42.0% success rate.  Offensively for the Ravens, they are coming off their best performance of the year averaging 56% success rate and 6.9 yards per play in a 38-6 blowout of the Dolphins.  The advanced stats model sees value on both the Under and Ravens, so lean to UNDER (45) and Baltimore (+7), both below model thresholds.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Ravens
  • Patriots
BAL
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 43.3 38.7
  • Succ Pass Plays 43.0% 46.0%
  • Sack Rate 4.4% 6.5%
  • Int Rate 2.3% 3.1%
  • Deep Pass Rate 15.7% 19.3%
  • Big Pass Yards 33.2% 37.1%
  • NYPP 6.0 5.7



Rush


  • Rush Plays 25.0 22.0
  • RB YPR 3.7 3.3
  • Stuff Rate 25.1% 32.0%
  • Succ Rush Plays 41.2% 31.0%
  • Big Rush Yards 37.6% 35.8%
  • Yards Per Rush 3.7 3.3




Game

  • All Snaps 68.3 60.7
  • Early Down Succ 45.3% 43.2%
  • Succ Rate 42.0% 41.0%
  • Big Yards Rate 36.3% 37.3%
  • Yards Per Play 5.1 4.8
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.7% 1.1%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 27.4 28.6
  • Run Ratio 36.3% 36.3%
  • Starting Field Pos 28.1 27.8
  • Game Control 3.3 -3.3
 
  • Points 21.3 17.3
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