Baltimore Ravens vs

Jacksonville Jaguars

at London
Sun, Sep 24
6:30 AM Pacific
Rotation: 461
Odds: Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5, Total: 39.5

Game Analysis

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Jacksonville (+4) vs Baltimore (London)

The Jaguars played better than their 21-point deficit to the Titans last week would indicate, as my metrics say they should’ve only lost by 6. Jacksonville’s defense has been solid this season with new additions Calais Campbell and AJ Bouye (9th in my metrics) and I expect that to continue against a Baltimore attack ranking below average according to my model who has now lost Danny Woodhead and key offensive lineman Marshall Yanda to injury.

 

The Ravens have the second-best point differential in the NFL (+34) through two weeks but have been lucky to allow 0 points in their opponents 4 trips to the Redzone. Baltimore has also benefitted from their opponents converting only 20% of 3rd downs against them – even the best defenses surrender about 35% of 3rd downs over the course of a season. I’m passing this game.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Ravens
  • Jaguars
BAL
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 27.0 40.5
  • Succ Pass Plays 38.9% 30.8%
  • Sack Rate 5.6% 10.3%
  • Int Rate 4.4% 11.2%
  • Deep Pass Rate 6.0% 27.0%
  • Big Pass Yards 32.3% 59.3%
  • NYPP 5.9 5.3



Rush


  • Rush Plays 37.5 21.5
  • RB YPR 3.9 3.9
  • Stuff Rate 23.2% 23.3%
  • Succ Rush Plays 40.8% 37.2%
  • Big Rush Yards 45.7% 47.5%
  • Yards Per Rush 3.9 4.0




Game

  • All Snaps 64.5 62.0
  • Early Down Succ 43.2% 35.3%
  • Succ Rate 41.7% 33.0%
  • Big Yards Rate 36.0% 56.4%
  • Yards Per Play 4.7 4.8
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.7% 1.6%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 31.6 25.5
  • Run Ratio 58.9% 34.9%
  • Starting Field Pos 33.0 26.5
  • Game Control 10.2 -10.2
 
  • Points 22.0 5.0
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