Baltimore Ravens
@ 
Cincinnati Bengals
Game Analysis
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These two teams have been beating up on each other for years and I don’t expect this game to be any different. The home team is 20-14-1 ATS in this series since 2000. Plus, week 1 teams with the worse win percentage the previous year are 150-96-10 ATS since 1999 and this game applies to a 35-13-2 ATS subset of that trend. I’ll lean with the Bengals at -3 or less.
- Team Stats
- Game Log
- Ravens
- Bengals
BAL
Offense
Defense
Pass
- Pass Plays 44.2 37.8
- Succ Pass Plays 43.1% 47.5%
- Sack Rate 5.0% 5.4%
- Int Rate 2.4% 3.0%
- Deep Pass Rate 14.7% 18.1%
- Big Pass Yards 32.5% 39.3%
- NYPP 5.9 6.2
Rush
- Rush Plays 23.8 24.6
- RB YPR 3.9 3.5
- Stuff Rate 24.7% 27.4%
- Succ Rush Plays 43.5% 37.7%
- Big Rush Yards 39.5% 36.0%
- Yards Per Rush 3.9 3.5
Game
- All Snaps 68.0 62.4
- Early Down Succ 45.6% 47.1%
- Succ Rate 42.7% 44.3%
- Big Yards Rate 36.6% 39.4%
- Yards Per Play 5.1 5.2
- Fumble Lost Rate 1.3% 1.0%
- Time Per Play (sec) 25.4 26.6
- Run Ratio 34.9% 39.1%
- Starting Field Pos 28.6 27.9
- Game Control 1.4 -1.4
- Points 21.4 20.1
CIN
Offense
Defense
Pass
- Pass Plays 37.6 39.0
- Succ Pass Plays 48.1% 44.4%
- Sack Rate 6.9% 5.8%
- Int Rate 1.5% 2.7%
- Deep Pass Rate 17.8% 13.0%
- Big Pass Yards 38.6% 34.7%
- NYPP 6.7 6.1
Rush
- Rush Plays 28.4 26.7
- RB YPR 3.7 4.2
- Stuff Rate 21.7% 20.5%
- Succ Rush Plays 46.4% 44.4%
- Big Rush Yards 33.3% 43.1%
- Yards Per Rush 3.9 4.3
Game
- All Snaps 66.0 65.7
- Early Down Succ 50.1% 46.8%
- Succ Rate 47.6% 44.2%
- Big Yards Rate 39.0% 39.9%
- Yards Per Play 5.4 5.4
- Fumble Lost Rate 0.8% 0.4%
- Time Per Play (sec) 27.7 28.2
- Run Ratio 43.0% 40.9%
- Starting Field Pos 26.8 27.2
- Game Control 1.3 -1.3
- Points 20.3 19.7
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log | PASS | RUSH | GAMES | |||||||||||||||
| Wk | Opp | Score | Game Control | Succ Pass Plays | Sack Rate | Int Rate | NYPP | Succ Rush Plays | Stuff Rate | Yds per Rush | All Snaps | Early Down Succ | Succ Rate | Big Yards Rate | Yds per Play | Fum Lost Rate | Run Ratio | Starting Field Pos |
| 1 | BUF | 13 – 7 W | 3.5 | 44.7% / 37.5% |
10.5% / 8.3% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
5.9 / 4.0 |
35.5% / 45.8% |
22.6% / 41.7% |
2.8 / 2.7 |
69 / 48 |
45.8% / 45.5% |
40.6% / 41.7% |
47.9% / 38.8% |
4.5 / 3.3 |
1.4% / 0.0% |
44.9% / 50.0% |
23.1 / 31.9 |
| 2 | @CLE | 25 – 20 W | -7.1 | 46.7% / 47.2% |
0.0% / 8.3% |
4.4% / 6.1% |
6.7 / 6.7 |
30.8% / 26.1% |
19.2% / 43.5% |
3.1 / 6.3 |
71 / 59 |
35.2% / 32.6% |
40.8% / 39.0% |
37.2% / 53.2% |
5.4 / 6.6 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
36.6% / 39.0% |
27.5 / 25.7 |
| 3 | @JAC | 19 – 17 W | 4.2 | 47.6% / 47.6% |
4.8% / 9.5% |
5.0% / 7.9% |
4.7 / 4.0 |
39.1% / 33.3% |
4.3% / 33.3% |
3.7 / 2.3 |
65 / 63 |
51.0% / 44.7% |
44.6% / 42.9% |
20.8% / 9.3% |
4.4 / 3.4 |
1.5% / 0.0% |
35.4% / 33.3% |
28.4 / 36.4 |
| 4 | OAK | 27 – 28 L | -4.6 | 39.6% / 42.9% |
3.8% / 0.0% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
5.3 / 5.7 |
53.8% / 20.0% |
7.7% / 25.0% |
5.0 / 3.2 |
79 / 55 |
48.3% / 40.0% |
44.3% / 34.5% |
33.3% / 19.4% |
5.2 / 4.8 |
1.3% / 1.8% |
32.9% / 36.4% |
28.0 / 37.2 |
| 5 | WAS | 10 – 16 L | 0.1 | 36.0% / 61.0% |
6.0% / 2.4% |
0.0% / 2.5% |
3.8 / 6.1 |
57.9% / 33.3% |
31.6% / 23.8% |
6.2 / 2.9 |
69 / 62 |
49.0% / 60.9% |
42.0% / 51.6% |
24.2% / 31.8% |
4.4 / 5.0 |
1.4% / 1.6% |
27.5% / 33.9% |
26.2 / 24.5 |
| 6 | @NYG | 23 – 27 L | 2.9 | 32.0% / 53.2% |
4.0% / 2.1% |
0.0% / 4.3% |
5.9 / 8.4 |
53.8% / 35.3% |
34.6% / 23.5% |
3.8 / 2.2 |
76 / 64 |
42.9% / 51.1% |
39.5% / 48.4% |
45.5% / 47.8% |
5.1 / 6.8 |
0.0% / 1.6% |
34.2% / 26.6% |
33.3 / 20.1 |
| 7 | @NYJ | 16 – 24 L | 0.4 | 34.1% / 37.0% |
2.3% / 18.5% |
4.7% / 0.0% |
5.4 / 7.0 |
8.3% / 37.5% |
58.3% / 15.0% |
0.5 / 3.9 |
56 / 67 |
31.0% / 38.8% |
28.6% / 37.3% |
41.6% / 59.4% |
4.4 / 5.1 |
1.8% / 3.0% |
21.4% / 59.7% |
25.3 / 32.3 |
| 9 | PIT | 21 – 14 W | 9.0 | 33.3% / 31.9% |
9.1% / 4.3% |
3.3% / 2.2% |
6.8 / 5.1 |
19.4% / 21.1% |
35.5% / 36.8% |
1.7 / 1.9 |
64 / 66 |
30.2% / 30.4% |
26.6% / 28.8% |
50.4% / 51.8% |
4.3 / 4.2 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
48.4% / 28.8% |
30.9 / 24.4 |
| 10 | CLE | 28 – 7 W | 5.3 | 54.8% / 37.1% |
4.8% / 11.4% |
5.0% / 6.5% |
6.6 / 3.2 |
37.8% / 23.1% |
21.6% / 30.8% |
3.3 / 2.5 |
79 / 48 |
48.4% / 36.8% |
46.8% / 33.3% |
35.9% / 31.3% |
5.0 / 3.0 |
0.0% / 2.1% |
46.8% / 27.1% |
38.4 / 18.1 |
| 11 | @DAL | 17 – 27 L | -1.5 | 50.0% / 70.3% |
2.8% / 2.7% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
7.4 / 8.1 |
68.8% / 40.0% |
31.3% / 20.0% |
6.3 / 3.9 |
52 / 67 |
60.5% / 56.4% |
55.8% / 56.7% |
37.5% / 27.6% |
7.1 / 6.2 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
30.8% / 44.8% |
21.2 / 25.0 |
| 12 | CIN | 19 – 14 W | 8.5 | 40.5% / 43.1% |
5.4% / 5.9% |
2.9% / 0.0% |
5.9 / 5.1 |
36.7% / 25.0% |
30.0% / 40.0% |
3.1 / 3.2 |
67 / 71 |
40.0% / 38.9% |
38.8% / 38.0% |
25.1% / 44.0% |
4.6 / 4.6 |
0.0% / 2.8% |
44.8% / 28.2% |
25.8 / 27.0 |
| 13 | MIA | 38 – 6 W | 18.6 | 57.1% / 42.9% |
0.0% / 4.8% |
2.0% / 7.5% |
7.9 / 5.1 |
52.2% / 31.3% |
4.3% / 50.0% |
4.9 / 3.9 |
72 / 58 |
61.1% / 42.2% |
55.6% / 39.7% |
36.1% / 32.9% |
6.9 / 4.8 |
1.4% / 0.0% |
31.9% / 27.6% |
28.7 / 30.8 |
| 14 | @NE | 23 – 30 L | -8.9 | 40.7% / 51.3% |
3.7% / 2.6% |
1.9% / 2.6% |
5.7 / 10.3 |
50.0% / 59.3% |
28.6% / 11.1% |
3.0 / 3.6 |
68 / 66 |
44.2% / 57.4% |
42.6% / 54.5% |
37.9% / 54.3% |
5.1 / 7.5 |
0.0% / 3.0% |
20.6% / 40.9% |
28.7 / 27.3 |
| 15 | PHI | 27 – 26 W | 5.0 | 40.6% / 34.9% |
9.4% / 2.3% |
3.4% / 2.4% |
5.9 / 3.7 |
36.0% / 51.3% |
28.0% / 25.6% |
6.1 / 4.4 |
57 / 82 |
40.9% / 44.1% |
38.6% / 42.7% |
61.3% / 46.5% |
6.0 / 4.0 |
1.8% / 0.0% |
43.9% / 47.6% |
29.3 / 35.9 |
| 16 | @PIT | 27 – 31 L | -0.0 | 43.8% / 64.5% |
8.3% / 0.0% |
2.3% / 6.5% |
5.1 / 9.0 |
53.8% / 78.3% |
19.2% / 8.7% |
4.7 / 5.6 |
74 / 54 |
48.1% / 77.8% |
47.3% / 70.4% |
25.5% / 49.9% |
5.0 / 7.5 |
9.5% / 0.0% |
35.1% / 42.6% |
37.5 / 21.5 |
| 17 | @CIN | 10 – 27 L | -12.2 | 48.1% / 57.1% |
5.6% / 3.6% |
3.9% / 0.0% |
4.9 / 7.8 |
62.5% / 42.5% |
18.8% / 10.0% |
4.5 / 3.9 |
70 / 68 |
52.9% / 56.1% |
51.4% / 48.5% |
24.8% / 32.4% |
4.8 / 5.5 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
22.9% / 58.8% |
25.4 / 28.3 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log | PASS | RUSH | GAMES | |||||||||||||||
| Wk | Opp | Score | Game Control | Succ Pass Plays | Sack Rate | Int Rate | NYPP | Succ Rush Plays | Stuff Rate | Yds per Rush | All Snaps | Early Down Succ | Succ Rate | Big Yards Rate | Yds per Play | Fum Lost Rate | Run Ratio | Starting Field Pos |
| 1 | @NYJ | 23 – 22 W | -1.8 | 48.6% / 36.1% |
18.9% / 2.8% |
3.3% / 2.9% |
8.8 / 5.2 |
42.1% / 56.7% |
26.3% / 16.7% |
3.1 / 5.1 |
56 / 66 |
52.3% / 48.1% |
46.4% / 45.5% |
68.6% / 40.6% |
6.8 / 5.2 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
33.9% / 45.5% |
26.2 / 33.5 |
| 2 | @PIT | 16 – 24 L | -6.0 | 50.9% / 42.1% |
1.8% / 2.6% |
0.0% / 5.4% |
6.7 / 6.6 |
22.2% / 41.7% |
27.8% / 30.6% |
2.6 / 3.4 |
73 / 74 |
48.2% / 42.9% |
43.8% / 41.9% |
42.5% / 43.3% |
5.6 / 5.1 |
2.7% / 0.0% |
24.7% / 48.6% |
18.9 / 30.8 |
| 3 | DEN | 17 – 29 L | -0.6 | 45.7% / 54.1% |
11.4% / 5.4% |
3.2% / 0.0% |
5.4 / 8.2 |
56.7% / 29.2% |
16.7% / 33.3% |
4.8 / 2.2 |
65 / 61 |
57.1% / 44.7% |
50.8% / 44.3% |
46.5% / 38.8% |
5.1 / 5.8 |
1.5% / 1.6% |
46.2% / 39.3% |
30.4 / 26.1 |
| 4 | MIA | 22 – 7 W | 7.4 | 46.9% / 26.7% |
3.1% / 16.7% |
0.0% / 4.0% |
8.9 / 5.3 |
24.4% / 30.8% |
31.7% / 7.7% |
2.0 / 4.8 |
73 / 43 |
42.0% / 32.3% |
34.2% / 27.9% |
42.9% / 59.5% |
5.0 / 5.2 |
0.0% / 2.3% |
56.2% / 30.2% |
30.8 / 22.7 |
| 5 | @DAL | 14 – 28 L | -17.7 | 51.1% / 56.0% |
8.9% / 4.0% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
5.5 / 8.9 |
52.6% / 41.2% |
5.3% / 14.7% |
5.1 / 5.4 |
64 / 59 |
52.9% / 55.8% |
51.6% / 47.5% |
23.5% / 48.3% |
5.4 / 6.9 |
0.0% / 1.7% |
29.7% / 57.6% |
22.0 / 26.2 |
| 6 | @NE | 17 – 35 L | -4.4 | 48.5% / 60.5% |
6.1% / 7.9% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
7.2 / 9.4 |
53.1% / 39.1% |
28.1% / 26.1% |
3.8 / 3.4 |
65 / 61 |
52.9% / 54.0% |
50.8% / 52.5% |
48.2% / 51.5% |
5.5 / 7.2 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
49.2% / 37.7% |
22.9 / 28.0 |
| 7 | CLE | 31 – 17 W | 8.9 | 48.4% / 43.2% |
9.7% / 5.4% |
0.0% / 5.7% |
9.3 / 4.6 |
63.3% / 53.8% |
10.0% / 19.2% |
9.0 / 6.9 |
61 / 63 |
56.9% / 49.0% |
55.7% / 47.6% |
57.8% / 44.6% |
9.2 / 5.6 |
1.6% / 0.0% |
49.2% / 41.3% |
20.0 / 26.8 |
| 8 | WAS | 27 – 27 T | 0.1 | 48.9% / 50.9% |
6.7% / 1.8% |
2.4% / 1.8% |
5.8 / 7.8 |
63.9% / 50.0% |
8.3% / 18.8% |
4.2 / 3.2 |
81 / 89 |
54.5% / 54.4% |
55.6% / 50.6% |
24.1% / 40.8% |
5.1 / 6.1 |
1.2% / 0.0% |
44.4% / 36.0% |
26.3 / 25.0 |
| 10 | @NYG | 20 – 21 L | 0.8 | 28.1% / 44.4% |
9.4% / 2.2% |
3.4% / 4.5% |
5.8 / 5.1 |
43.5% / 34.5% |
26.1% / 13.8% |
3.4 / 4.3 |
55 / 74 |
39.5% / 42.6% |
34.5% / 40.5% |
48.1% / 26.9% |
4.8 / 4.8 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
41.8% / 39.2% |
33.3 / 26.3 |
| 11 | BUF | 12 – 16 L | -2.0 | 46.5% / 41.4% |
2.3% / 6.9% |
4.8% / 3.7% |
4.8 / 5.5 |
51.9% / 58.8% |
25.9% / 14.7% |
3.4 / 5.4 |
70 / 63 |
47.3% / 56.0% |
48.6% / 50.8% |
19.3% / 40.9% |
4.3 / 5.4 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
38.6% / 54.0% |
23.3 / 33.2 |
| 12 | @BAL | 14 – 19 L | -8.5 | 43.1% / 40.5% |
5.9% / 5.4% |
0.0% / 2.9% |
5.1 / 5.9 |
25.0% / 36.7% |
40.0% / 30.0% |
3.2 / 3.1 |
71 / 67 |
38.9% / 40.0% |
38.0% / 38.8% |
44.0% / 25.1% |
4.6 / 4.6 |
2.8% / 0.0% |
28.2% / 44.8% |
27.0 / 25.8 |
| 13 | PHI | 32 – 14 W | 14.9 | 61.3% / 44.3% |
0.0% / 1.6% |
0.0% / 5.0% |
10.7 / 5.0 |
35.3% / 50.0% |
29.4% / 15.0% |
2.4 / 2.7 |
65 / 81 |
46.9% / 45.6% |
47.7% / 45.7% |
46.7% / 19.7% |
6.4 / 4.4 |
3.1% / 0.0% |
52.3% / 24.7% |
31.5 / 32.4 |
| 14 | @CLE | 23 – 10 W | 13.2 | 50.0% / 32.3% |
12.5% / 9.7% |
0.0% / 3.6% |
4.6 / 2.7 |
68.4% / 54.5% |
5.3% / 22.7% |
5.6 / 7.7 |
70 / 53 |
61.8% / 39.5% |
60.0% / 41.5% |
22.5% / 52.4% |
5.1 / 4.8 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
54.3% / 41.5% |
33.7 / 16.9 |
| 15 | PIT | 20 – 24 L | 4.9 | 46.4% / 52.8% |
3.6% / 2.8% |
3.7% / 0.0% |
5.2 / 7.9 |
50.0% / 41.2% |
35.7% / 20.6% |
2.7 / 2.9 |
56 / 70 |
46.5% / 56.0% |
48.2% / 47.1% |
21.2% / 50.1% |
4.0 / 5.5 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
50.0% / 48.6% |
30.4 / 30.2 |
| 16 | @HOU | 10 – 12 L | 0.0 | 47.7% / 36.4% |
6.8% / 12.1% |
2.4% / 0.0% |
5.5 / 4.7 |
47.4% / 29.2% |
21.1% / 25.0% |
2.6 / 4.0 |
63 / 57 |
47.8% / 34.9% |
47.6% / 33.3% |
36.4% / 32.0% |
4.7 / 4.4 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
30.2% / 42.1% |
24.2 / 25.2 |
| 17 | BAL | 27 – 10 W | 12.2 | 57.1% / 48.1% |
3.6% / 5.6% |
0.0% / 3.9% |
7.8 / 4.9 |
42.5% / 62.5% |
10.0% / 18.8% |
3.9 / 4.5 |
68 / 70 |
56.1% / 52.9% |
48.5% / 51.4% |
32.4% / 24.8% |
5.5 / 4.8 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
58.8% / 22.9% |
28.3 / 25.4 |