Atlanta Falcons @

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sat, Sep 18
9:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 289
Odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -12.5, Total: 52

Game Analysis

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TAMPA BAY (-12.5) vs Atlanta

The Falcons graded as our worst team in week 1. Matt Ryan was pressured on nearly half of his dropbacks as Arthur Smith’s play action scheme didn’t work due to a mismatch in the trenches. The interior of Atlanta’s offensive line surrendered 13 pressures to the Eagles, and they will likely have trouble again this week facing DT Vita Vea (15% pressure rate versus Dallas). Shaquil Barrett finished last year ranked 8th in pass rushing efficiency and he should dominate RT Kaleb McGary. WR Calvin Ridley had 8 targets last week and he could struggle facing CBs Jamel Dean and Carlton Davis, who combined to concede only 101 yards to the excellent Dallas wide receivers.

The Buccaneers didn’t allow a single sack or hit on Tom Brady in week 1 and the last-minute comeback would not have been necessary without the four fluky turnovers. Tampa Bay outgained the Cowboys by 0.8 yppl and should have won by more than 2 points in that game.

Our model favors the Buccaneers by 12.7 points with a predicted total of 50.1 points.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Falcons
  • Buccaneers
ATL
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 38.0 36.0
  • Succ Pass Plays 39.5% 55.6%
  • Sack Rate 7.9% 2.8%
  • Int Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Deep Pass Rate 14.3% 8.8%
  • Big Pass Yards 0.0% 28.8%
  • NYPP 4.3 7.3



Rush


  • Rush Plays 26.0 31.0
  • RB YPR 4.8 4.6
  • Stuff Rate 26.9% 12.9%
  • Succ Rush Plays 42.3% 58.1%
  • Big Rush Yards 56.5% 45.7%
  • Yards Per Rush 4.8 5.6




Game

  • All Snaps 64.0 67.0
  • Early Down Succ 47.8% 61.5%
  • Succ Rate 40.6% 56.7%
  • Big Yards Rate 24.3% 35.5%
  • Yards Per Play 4.5 6.5
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 27.2 27.8
  • Run Ratio 40.6% 46.3%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.0 0.0
  • Game Control -7.5 7.5
 
  • Points 6.0 32.0
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