Atlanta Falcons @

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Mon, Dec 18
5:30 PM Pacific
Rotation: 331
Odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6, Total: 48

Game Analysis

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Lean – Under (TAMPA BAY (+6) vs Atlanta

Gerald McCoy is ruled out for this game making Atlanta guard Andy Levitre’s tricep injury that kept him out last week less costly for the Falcons. McCoy has the 5th most pressures among defensive tackles this season and Matt Ryan should be able to carve up this Tampa Bay defense allowing 7.5 yards per pass play without a legitimate source of pass rush – especially considering three starters in the secondary are listed as questionable.

Atlanta’s defense allows just 5.6 yards per pass play and the Buccaneers may need to turn to the running game to move the chains. Peyton Barber has been solid recently, averaging 4.6 yards per rush the last two weeks, and he will need to continue that success for Tampa Bay to stay in this game on Monday. The Falcons surrendered 5.5 yards per play to the Buccaneers three weeks ago with Ryan Fitzpatrick under center so it’s possible that the Bucs could have decent success again at home with Jameis Winston at quarterback. I think there is some value in favor of the Bucs but Atlanta has had extra time to prepare after playing last week’s game on Thursday and I’d prefer to pass on the side. I do lean with the Under however, as divisional games tend to go under in the 2nd half of the season and the total on this game is fair.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Falcons
  • Buccaneers
ATL
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 33.3 37.5
  • Succ Pass Plays 51.3% 46.6%
  • Sack Rate 3.9% 7.2%
  • Int Rate 2.6% 0.8%
  • Deep Pass Rate 20.6% 14.6%
  • Big Pass Yards 38.0% 30.9%
  • NYPP 7.4 5.7



Rush


  • Rush Plays 27.5 26.2
  • RB YPR 4.2 3.7
  • Stuff Rate 25.0% 23.0%
  • Succ Rush Plays 45.9% 47.6%
  • Big Rush Yards 45.5% 38.0%
  • Yards Per Rush 4.3 4.2




Game

  • All Snaps 60.8 63.6
  • Early Down Succ 51.1% 49.8%
  • Succ Rate 48.7% 47.0%
  • Big Yards Rate 41.2% 34.7%
  • Yards Per Play 6.0 5.0
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.6% 0.9%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 29.1 28.9
  • Run Ratio 45.0% 41.0%
  • Starting Field Pos 24.9 29.3
  • Game Control 2.5 -2.5
 
  • Points 22.6 20.1
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