Atlanta Falcons @

New Orleans Saints

Mon, Sep 26

5:30 PM Pacific

Rotation: 489

Odds: New Orleans Saints -3, Total: 53.5

Game Analysis

Create an account to get analysis and updates sent to your inbox.

The model leans with New Orleans here but the Saints apply to a 28-62-3 ATS week 3 situation while Atlanta applies to a 40-13-2 ATS angle.

Team Stats
Game Log

Falcons
Saints

ATL

Offense

Defense

Pass

Pass Plays 38.5 39.5
Succ Pass Plays 57.9% 58.1%
Sack Rate 5.0% 1.1%
Int Rate 1.5% 1.5%
Deep Pass Rate 15.4% 16.6%
Big Pass Yards 50.7% 36.2%
NYPP 9.4 7.5

Rush

Rush Plays 26.0 28.5
RB YPR 3.4 4.6
Stuff Rate 22.1% 14.9%
Succ Rush Plays 41.1% 44.1%
Big Rush Yards 28.9% 42.9%
Yards Per Rush 3.5 4.5

Game

All Snaps 64.5 68.0
Early Down Succ 55.6% 57.1%
Succ Rate 51.2% 51.1%
Big Yards Rate 46.7% 39.5%
Yards Per Play 7.0 6.1
Fumble Lost Rate 0.0% 0.0%
Time Per Play (sec) 27.7 26.6
Run Ratio 40.3% 42.2%
Starting Field Pos 29.5 21.6
Dominance Rating -0.9 0.9

Points 29.5 29.5

NOR

Offense

Defense

Pass

Pass Plays 43.5 40.0
Succ Pass Plays 51.0% 54.6%
Sack Rate 3.4% 2.3%
Int Rate 0.0% 0.0%
Deep Pass Rate 19.2% 13.0%
Big Pass Yards 39.5% 47.4%
NYPP 7.8 8.4

Rush

Rush Plays 17.5 31.0
RB YPR 3.7 4.1
Stuff Rate 16.8% 24.0%
Succ Rush Plays 46.5% 45.5%
Big Rush Yards 22.7% 28.7%
Yards Per Rush 3.6 4.2

Game

All Snaps 61.0 71.0
Early Down Succ 54.3% 54.7%
Succ Rate 49.8% 50.2%
Big Yards Rate 36.8% 44.6%
Yards Per Play 6.5 6.5
Fumble Lost Rate 0.8% 1.9%
Time Per Play (sec) 27.3 27.4
Run Ratio 28.5% 43.4%
Starting Field Pos 24.7 25.0
Dominance Rating 1.0 -1.0

Points 23.5 25.5

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2016 Game Log				PASS				RUSH			GAMES
Wk	Opp	Score	Dominance Rating	Succ Pass Plays	Sack Rate	Int Rate	NYPP	Succ Rush Plays	Stuff Rate	Yds per Rush	All Snaps	Early Down Succ	Succ Rate	Big Yards Rate	Yds per Play	Fum Lost Rate	Run Ratio	Starting Field Pos
1	TB	24 – 31 L	-4.7	50.0% / 57.6%	7.1% / 0.0%	0.0% / 3.0%	7.7 / 8.5	30.4% / 28.1%	30.4% / 21.9%	2.3 / 2.9	65 / 65	50.0% / 51.0%	43.1% / 43.1%	43.2% / 48.3%	5.8 / 5.7	0.0% / 0.0%	35.4% / 49.2%	30.8 / 23.8
2	@OAK	35 – 28 W	2.8	65.7% / 58.7%	2.9% / 2.2%	2.9% / 0.0%	11.1 / 6.5	51.7% / 60.0%	13.8% / 8.0%	4.8 / 6.2	64 / 71	61.1% / 63.2%	59.4% / 59.2%	50.2% / 30.8%	8.3 / 6.4	0.0% / 0.0%	45.3% / 35.2%	28.2 / 19.3

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2016 Game Log				PASS				RUSH			GAMES
Wk	Opp	Score	Dominance Rating	Succ Pass Plays	Sack Rate	Int Rate	NYPP	Succ Rush Plays	Stuff Rate	Yds per Rush	All Snaps	Early Down Succ	Succ Rate	Big Yards Rate	Yds per Play	Fum Lost Rate	Run Ratio	Starting Field Pos
1	OAK	34 – 35 L	4.0	58.5% / 48.6%	2.4% / 0.0%	0.0% / 0.0%	10.2 / 8.6	54.5% / 57.7%	18.2% / 23.1%	4.0 / 6.4	63 / 63	60.8% / 55.8%	57.1% / 52.4%	58.4% / 56.4%	8.0 / 7.7	1.6% / 0.0%	34.9% / 41.3%	19.7 / 28.6
2	@NYG	13 – 16 L	-2.0	43.5% / 60.5%	4.3% / 4.7%	0.0% / 0.0%	5.4 / 8.2	38.5% / 33.3%	15.4% / 25.0%	3.2 / 1.9	59 / 79	47.8% / 53.6%	42.4% / 48.1%	15.3% / 32.8%	4.9 / 5.3	0.0% / 3.8%	22.0% / 45.6%	29.6 / 21.5

Share This