Arizona Cardinals @ Miami Dolphins Matchup Analysis

Game Analysis

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Teetering on the brink of playoff elimination, the Cards and Fins each need this win to keep their postseason hopes alive. Ryan Tannehill has had a breakout season under Adam Gase, going from bad to average as he is now the 17th ranked passer in the NFL. The Dolphins have been dependent on a bruising rushing attack this season with Jay Ajayi who leads the Dolphins’ 3rd ranked rushing attack. Lean to Miami (+2) and OVER (43.5), both below model thresholds.

Team Stats
Game Log

Cardinals
Dolphins

Offense

Defense

Pass

Pass Plays 44.8 36.0
Succ Pass Plays 46.2% 42.5%
Sack Rate 6.1% 7.3%
Int Rate 2.4% 2.4%
Deep Pass Rate 18.2% 16.4%
Big Pass Yards 33.6% 42.7%
NYPP 5.9 5.6

Rush

Rush Plays 25.7 26.8
RB YPR 4.0 3.0
Stuff Rate 26.6% 24.7%
Succ Rush Plays 44.9% 40.7%
Big Rush Yards 43.2% 38.7%
Yards Per Rush 4.0 3.5

Game

All Snaps 70.4 62.8
Early Down Succ 47.2% 44.5%
Succ Rate 46.0% 42.3%
Big Yards Rate 36.4% 43.5%
Yards Per Play 5.3 4.8
Fumble Lost Rate 0.7% 1.2%
Time Per Play (sec) 27.4 27.9
Run Ratio 36.2% 42.5%
Starting Field Pos 29.1 28.3
Game Control -0.0 0.0

Points 23.0 21.0

MIA

Offense

Defense

Pass

Pass Plays 32.9 38.7
Succ Pass Plays 45.6% 43.6%
Sack Rate 7.4% 5.4%
Int Rate 2.9% 2.3%
Deep Pass Rate 16.5% 16.2%
Big Pass Yards 45.4% 35.7%
NYPP 6.6 6.2

Rush

Rush Plays 24.2 29.2
RB YPR 4.3 4.4
Stuff Rate 26.6% 22.5%
Succ Rush Plays 40.3% 42.3%
Big Rush Yards 51.7% 48.7%
Yards Per Rush 4.4 4.7

Game

All Snaps 57.1 67.8
Early Down Succ 46.4% 46.9%
Succ Rate 43.4% 43.2%
Big Yards Rate 49.8% 40.9%
Yards Per Play 5.7 5.5
Fumble Lost Rate 0.8% 0.7%
Time Per Play (sec) 30.2 28.2
Run Ratio 41.6% 42.6%
Starting Field Pos 28.0 28.3
Game Control -3.8 3.8

Points 21.3 23.2

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2016 Game Log				PASS				RUSH			GAMES
Wk	Opp	Score	Game Control	Succ Pass Plays	Sack Rate	Int Rate	NYPP	Succ Rush Plays	Stuff Rate	Yds per Rush	All Snaps	Early Down Succ	Succ Rate	Big Yards Rate	Yds per Play	Fum Lost Rate	Run Ratio	Starting Field Pos
1	NE	21 – 23 L	-5.0	50.0% / 51.4%	7.5% / 5.7%	0.0% / 0.0%	6.3 / 7.3	57.9% / 31.3%	15.8% / 34.4%	4.8 / 3.3	59 / 67	53.2% / 36.7%	52.5% / 41.8%	38.1% / 45.9%	5.8 / 5.4	0.0% / 3.0%	32.2% / 47.8%	29.2 / 24.7
2	TB	40 – 7 W	16.6	50.0% / 40.0%	2.8% / 5.5%	0.0% / 7.7%	8.8 / 4.0	34.5% / 40.9%	20.7% / 22.7%	3.5 / 3.9	65 / 77	43.1% / 42.6%	43.1% / 40.3%	55.0% / 19.5%	6.4 / 4.0	0.0% / 1.3%	44.6% / 28.6%	28.8 / 25.7
3	@BUF	18 – 34 L	-12.1	40.0% / 27.6%	9.1% / 13.8%	8.0% / 4.0%	4.7 / 3.0	40.9% / 51.4%	31.8% / 25.7%	4.0 / 6.0	77 / 64	42.6% / 47.8%	40.3% / 40.6%	27.0% / 80.9%	4.5 / 4.7	1.3% / 0.0%	28.6% / 54.7%	32.3 / 33.8
4	LA	13 – 17 L	-1.3	44.9% / 40.6%	6.1% / 6.3%	6.5% / 0.0%	6.2 / 7.7	40.0% / 12.5%	24.0% / 29.2%	4.7 / 1.8	74 / 56	42.6% / 25.6%	43.2% / 28.6%	44.5% / 68.9%	5.7 / 5.2	2.7% / 1.8%	33.8% / 42.9%	27.2 / 30.3
5	@SF	33 – 21 W	4.9	34.5% / 42.1%	3.4% / 18.4%	0.0% / 6.5%	4.0 / 3.6	53.8% / 66.7%	15.4% / 19.4%	4.5 / 4.2	68 / 74	54.2% / 59.3%	45.6% / 54.1%	52.4% / 24.1%	4.3 / 3.9	0.0% / 1.4%	57.4% / 48.6%	39.9 / 18.3
6	NYJ	28 – 3 W	12.2	60.0% / 39.5%	0.0% / 2.6%	0.0% / 5.4%	6.4 / 5.2	40.5% / 21.4%	29.7% / 21.4%	4.7 / 2.4	72 / 52	52.6% / 40.5%	50.0% / 34.6%	27.9% / 25.7%	5.5 / 4.4	0.0% / 0.0%	51.4% / 26.9%	25.7 / 20.9
7	SEA	6 – 6 T	1.7	43.4% / 34.2%	7.5% / 2.6%	0.0% / 0.0%	5.9 / 5.4	54.1% / 36.8%	24.3% / 31.6%	3.6 / 2.7	90 / 57	47.8% / 39.5%	47.8% / 35.1%	33.4% / 26.5%	4.9 / 4.5	0.0% / 0.0%	41.1% / 33.3%	28.5 / 25.1
8	@CAR	20 – 30 L	-15.7	51.9% / 42.9%	14.8% / 3.6%	2.2% / 0.0%	5.9 / 7.4	50.0% / 52.8%	40.0% / 22.2%	2.4 / 3.9	64 / 64	54.9% / 50.0%	51.6% / 48.4%	12.4% / 48.1%	5.3 / 5.5	1.6% / 1.6%	15.6% / 56.3%	24.0 / 34.1
10	SF	23 – 20 W	6.5	52.0% / 45.5%	4.0% / 9.1%	4.2% / 0.0%	7.3 / 6.0	34.8% / 39.3%	39.1% / 28.6%	3.5 / 3.0	73 / 61	44.1% / 41.9%	46.6% / 42.6%	40.6% / 53.7%	6.1 / 4.6	2.7% / 1.6%	31.5% / 45.9%	23.2 / 30.5
11	@MIN	24 – 30 L	-6.4	35.7% / 43.3%	9.5% / 6.7%	5.3% / 0.0%	3.7 / 4.8	57.1% / 40.0%	14.3% / 24.0%	4.8 / 2.9	70 / 55	48.2% / 43.6%	44.3% / 41.8%	35.5% / 29.4%	4.1 / 4.0	0.0% / 1.8%	40.0% / 45.5%	32.6 / 30.1
12	@ATL	19 – 38 L	-4.4	42.6% / 56.8%	4.3% / 8.1%	2.2% / 2.9%	5.8 / 6.6	35.7% / 53.1%	35.7% / 21.9%	4.1 / 3.7	61 / 69	41.7% / 60.0%	41.0% / 55.1%	26.2% / 42.0%	5.4 / 5.2	0.0% / 0.0%	23.0% / 46.4%	26.8 / 36.1
13	WAS	31 – 23 W	2.5	48.9% / 46.2%	4.3% / 5.1%	0.0% / 2.7%	6.0 / 6.3	40.0% / 42.1%	28.0% / 15.8%	3.6 / 4.6	72 / 58	41.5% / 46.7%	45.8% / 44.8%	43.2% / 57.5%	5.1 / 5.8	0.0% / 1.7%	34.7% / 32.8%	30.9 / 29.5

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2016 Game Log				PASS				RUSH			GAMES
Wk	Opp	Score	Game Control	Succ Pass Plays	Sack Rate	Int Rate	NYPP	Succ Rush Plays	Stuff Rate	Yds per Rush	All Snaps	Early Down Succ	Succ Rate	Big Yards Rate	Yds per Play	Fum Lost Rate	Run Ratio	Starting Field Pos
1	@SEA	10 – 12 L	-1.6	21.2% / 50.0%	12.1% / 6.5%	0.0% / 2.3%	4.8 / 5.2	35.0% / 50.0%	30.0% / 21.9%	3.2 / 3.5	53 / 78	28.2% / 54.2%	26.4% / 50.0%	53.2% / 19.6%	4.2 / 4.5	0.0% / 1.3%	37.7% / 41.0%	32.1 / 22.5
2	@NE	24 – 31 L	-16.3	65.9% / 55.3%	0.0% / 5.3%	4.5% / 0.0%	8.8 / 8.0	50.0% / 41.0%	18.8% / 20.5%	4.4 / 4.2	60 / 77	65.3% / 47.5%	61.7% / 48.1%	41.2% / 38.8%	7.7 / 6.1	3.3% / 1.3%	26.7% / 50.6%	22.7 / 31.4
3	CLE	30 – 24 W	2.6	53.8% / 40.5%	2.6% / 9.5%	5.3% / 0.0%	8.0 / 6.2	56.0% / 51.5%	12.0% / 24.2%	4.6 / 5.2	64 / 75	61.1% / 51.7%	54.7% / 45.3%	47.2% / 58.7%	6.7 / 5.7	1.6% / 1.3%	39.1% / 44.0%	28.7 / 26.8
4	@CIN	7 – 22 L	-7.4	26.7% / 46.9%	16.7% / 3.1%	4.0% / 0.0%	5.3 / 8.9	30.8% / 24.4%	7.7% / 31.7%	4.8 / 2.0	43 / 73	32.3% / 42.0%	27.9% / 34.2%	59.5% / 42.9%	5.2 / 5.0	2.3% / 0.0%	30.2% / 56.2%	22.7 / 30.8
5	TEN	17 – 30 L	-5.7	37.5% / 37.9%	25.0% / 0.0%	11.1% / 0.0%	6.2 / 5.6	47.1% / 59.1%	11.8% / 18.2%	3.0 / 5.4	41 / 73	43.3% / 58.2%	41.5% / 50.7%	64.0% / 42.5%	4.9 / 5.5	0.0% / 0.0%	41.5% / 60.3%	21.2 / 34.9
6	PIT	30 – 15 W	5.2	56.3% / 40.5%	0.0% / 5.4%	0.0% / 5.7%	7.9 / 4.6	51.4% / 41.2%	24.3% / 5.9%	6.0 / 7.6	69 / 54	56.6% / 47.5%	53.6% / 40.7%	60.6% / 36.2%	6.9 / 5.5	0.0% / 0.0%	53.6% / 31.5%	37.0 / 23.4
7	BUF	28 – 25 W	-2.6	42.3% / 37.5%	3.8% / 12.5%	0.0% / 0.0%	7.6 / 6.3	47.6% / 36.4%	21.4% / 22.7%	6.1 / 3.0	68 / 54	48.1% / 41.5%	45.6% / 37.0%	63.7% / 45.7%	6.7 / 4.9	0.0% / 0.0%	61.8% / 40.7%	25.6 / 31.7
9	NYJ	27 – 23 W	2.0	50.0% / 42.4%	3.3% / 9.1%	0.0% / 6.7%	4.6 / 5.8	36.4% / 47.6%	39.4% / 23.8%	4.2 / 6.7	63 / 54	44.9% / 48.8%	42.9% / 44.4%	46.2% / 51.2%	4.4 / 6.1	0.0% / 0.0%	52.4% / 38.9%	34.7 / 27.5
10	@SD	31 – 24 W	-0.3	56.0% / 44.7%	4.0% / 6.4%	0.0% / 9.1%	9.2 / 6.6	26.9% / 20.8%	26.9% / 41.7%	4.1 / 2.9	51 / 71	43.6% / 33.3%	41.2% / 36.6%	58.9% / 44.1%	6.6 / 5.3	2.0% / 0.0%	51.0% / 33.8%	25.6 / 28.8
11	@LA	14 – 10 W	-6.9	44.7% / 28.1%	10.5% / 3.1%	2.9% / 0.0%	3.7 / 3.9	36.8% / 27.6%	42.1% / 34.5%	5.2 / 3.6	57 / 61	50.0% / 31.8%	42.1% / 27.9%	23.8% / 36.4%	4.2 / 3.7	0.0% / 1.6%	33.3% / 47.5%	23.1 / 29.1
12	SF	31 – 24 W	3.5	50.0% / 42.6%	6.3% / 4.3%	0.0% / 2.2%	8.2 / 6.0	34.6% / 56.0%	34.6% / 20.0%	3.7 / 7.7	58 / 72	41.3% / 44.6%	43.1% / 47.2%	46.6% / 38.1%	6.2 / 6.6	0.0% / 1.4%	44.8% / 34.7%	31.6 / 23.8
13	@BAL	6 – 38 L	-18.6	42.9% / 57.1%	4.8% / 0.0%	7.5% / 2.0%	5.1 / 7.9	31.3% / 52.2%	50.0% / 4.3%	3.9 / 4.9	58 / 72	42.2% / 61.1%	39.7% / 55.6%	32.9% / 36.1%	4.8 / 6.9	0.0% / 1.4%	27.6% / 31.9%	30.8 / 28.7

Arizona Cardinals @

Miami Dolphins

Sun, Dec 11

10:00 AM Pacific

Game Analysis