NFL

2016-24 NFL Best Bets are 468-346-9 (57.5%)

2016-24 NFL Strong Opinions are 339-284-15 (54.4%)

Week and Season Recap Below

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2016-24 NFL Best Bets are 468-346-9 (57.5%)

2016-24 NFL Strong Opinions are 339-284-15 (54.4%)

NFL Divisional Playoff Week and Season Recap

The Divisional week NFL Best Bets were 2-0 for +2 Stars, the Strong Opinion Total won and the Strong Opinions player props were 1-3.

The Best Bet wins were on the Philly-Rams Over and on the 6.5-point Teaser play on KC with Buffalo. The Strong Opinion total was the Washington-Detroit Over and the Player Props were 1-3.

The playoff game plays have been great so far (4-0 on Best Bets and 1-0 on Strong Opinions) but the Strong Opinion player prop plays are just 1-8 (and are now 55-42 over 8 years)

NFL Best Bets are now 51-48-1 for the season for -4.8 Stars and the Strong Opinions are 36-36-2 for the season.

It’s been a very frustrating season, especially after last season’s great success (50-27-2 on Best Bets). Given the long term record I am still expecting to win from this point forward.

2016-24 NFL Best Bets are 468-346-9 (57.5%)  – 240-161-6 on Sides, 164-127-1 on totals, 10-9 1st-half totals, 31-26-2 team totals, 1-2 1st-half team totals, 21-20 teasers, 1-1 season win totals.

2016-24 NFL Strong Opinions are 339-284-15 (54.4%) – 135-125-11 sides, 108-83-2 totals, 2-2 1st-half sides, 8-9 1st-half totals, 23-19-1 Team Totals, 1-2 1st-half team totals, 7-2-1 teasers, 55-42 Post-season prop bets.

Closing Line Value

The average closing line value on our NFL Best Bets so far this season is +2.3%, meaning that playing our games at the release line makes you 2.3% more likely to win each play, on average, than playing them on the closing line, which is also a good indicator of our model. Last year’s CLV was +3.1%.

The Best Bets beat the closing line 68% in 2024 and 79% over the last 4 seasons.