Dr Bob Analysis
Opinion – Utah (-5 ½) over ORLANDO
Orlando has established themselves as the second worst team in the NBA (and closing fast on Philly) thanks to the combination of bad shooting (41.5% FG) and bad defense (46.9% FG allowed). Utah is among the top half of the NBA and the Jazz are 4-0 straight up against below average teams, winning those games by an average of 14 points (Lakers, Dallas, at New York, and at Philly). Utah is coming off a loss at Charlotte and, combined with the fact that they lost both meeting to the Magic last year, the Jazz should be focused tonight. In fact, the combination of coming off a loss and having revenge sets up the Jazz in a 129-65-3 ATS road favorite situation. George Hill is expected to miss his 3rd consecutive game for the Jazz but my ratings still favor Utah by 6 ½ points with Hill out and the situation is favorable. I’ll lean with the Jazz at -6 or less.
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-
Efficiency
107.1
106.0
105.6
-
Pace
90.4
90.4
96.7
4
Factors
-
eFG %
51.0%
49.6%
49.6%
-
D reb %
79.7%
82.0%
76.8%
-
O reb %
18.0%
20.3%
23.2%
-
TO %
13.8%
13.1%
14.6%
-
Free Throw Rate
32.1%
24.1%
28.3%
Skill
-
2Pt %
48.1%
48.1%
49.1%
-
3Pt %
37.8%
36.7%
33.8%
-
3pt Rate
32.5%
27.6%
30.0%
-
Assist Rate
52.8%
51.0%
56.9%
-
Non-Steal Turnovers
6.5%
6.0%
6.1%
-
Foul Rate
21.8%
23.2%
21.9%
Hustle
-
2nd Chance Rate
9.3%
13.4%
12.8%
-
Steal Rate
7.1%
7.3%
8.5%
-
Block Rate
6.1%
6.7%
5.9%
-
Paint Points
38.0%
35.4%
42.3%
-
Fast Break
7.9%
9.3%
12.8%
-
Efficiency
102.4
107.8
105.6
-
Pace
92.9
92.9
96.7
4
Factors
-
eFG %
46.0%
50.2%
49.6%
-
D reb %
73.3%
72.7%
76.8%
-
O reb %
27.3%
26.7%
23.2%
-
TO %
12.9%
12.6%
14.6%
-
FT Rate
25.9%
19.6%
28.3%
Skill
-
2Pt %
46.3%
49.6%
49.1%
-
3Pt %
30.7%
34.8%
33.8%
-
3pt Rate
29.8%
24.4%
30.0%
-
Assist Rate
62.4%
51.3%
56.9%
-
Non-Steal Turnovers
6.1%
6.3%
6.1%
-
Foul Rate
17.2%
22.7%
21.9%
Hustle
-
2nd Chance Rate
18.6%
17.1%
12.8%
-
Steal Rate
6.2%
6.8%
8.5%
-
Block Rate
5.4%
5.9%
5.9%
-
Paint Points
43.6%
48.2%
42.3%
-
Fast Break
15.9%
9.6%
12.8%
*Record:
4 –
3
GAME LOG |
FOUR FACTORS |
SKILL |
HUSTLE |
Date |
Opp |
Score |
Efficiency |
Pace |
eFG % |
Off rebound % |
TO % |
FT Rate |
3pt Rate |
Assist Rate |
Non-Steal Turnover |
Foul Rate |
2nd Chance Rate |
Steal Rate |
Block Rate |
Paint Points |
Fast Break |
2016-10-25 |
@POR |
104 – 113 L |
114.9 / 124.8 |
90.5 |
53.7% / 60.7% |
17.1% / 16.7% |
12.1% / 13.3% |
19.5% / 29.3% |
29.3% / 25.3% |
47.5% / 56.4% |
6.6% / 3.3% |
21.0% / 19.9% |
3.8% / 13.3% |
9.9% / 5.5% |
6.7% / 3.7% |
48.1% / 30.1% |
7.7% / 3.5% |
2016-10-28 |
LAL |
96 – 89 W |
104.2 / 96.6 |
92.1 |
45.3% / 43.5% |
28.9% / 24.4% |
15.2% / 15.2% |
53.3% / 25.0% |
33.3% / 27.4% |
45.2% / 50.0% |
8.7% / 10.9% |
19.5% / 31.5% |
20.8% / 20.2% |
4.3% / 6.5% |
8.3% / 9.3% |
47.9% / 40.4% |
9.4% / 16.9% |
2016-10-30 |
@LAC |
75 – 88 L |
84.4 / 99.1 |
88.8 |
44.5% / 44.6% |
16.7% / 28.0% |
20.3% / 14.6% |
17.8% / 24.1% |
26.0% / 32.5% |
62.1% / 50.0% |
11.3% / 5.6% |
24.8% / 15.8% |
5.3% / 14.8% |
9.0% / 9.0% |
3.6% / 5.5% |
48.0% / 40.9% |
14.7% / 10.2% |
2016-11-01 |
@SAS |
106 – 91 W |
118.1 / 101.4 |
89.8 |
59.9% / 47.4% |
6.3% / 9.8% |
11.1% / 10.0% |
23.7% / 27.6% |
40.8% / 26.3% |
57.9% / 57.6% |
4.5% / 4.5% |
22.3% / 16.7% |
3.8% / 2.2% |
5.6% / 6.7% |
10.5% / 6.6% |
18.9% / 33.0% |
7.5% / 18.7% |
2016-11-02 |
DAL |
97 – 81 W |
109.7 / 91.6 |
88.4 |
53.2% / 47.4% |
18.9% / 15.0% |
13.6% / 13.6% |
33.8% / 13.0% |
32.5% / 33.8% |
51.4% / 54.5% |
9.0% / 6.8% |
23.8% / 22.6% |
13.4% / 11.1% |
6.8% / 4.5% |
3.9% / 5.2% |
28.9% / 34.6% |
6.2% / 0.0% |
2016-11-04 |
SAS |
86 – 100 L |
93.5 / 108.7 |
92.0 |
44.4% / 48.2% |
18.4% / 21.4% |
13.0% / 12.0% |
30.0% / 26.5% |
32.5% / 24.1% |
50.0% / 45.9% |
3.3% / 4.3% |
20.6% / 27.2% |
8.1% / 20.0% |
7.6% / 9.8% |
4.8% / 10.0% |
37.2% / 34.0% |
4.7% / 6.0% |
2016-11-06 |
@NYK |
114 – 109 W |
125.2 / 119.8 |
91.0 |
56.0% / 55.4% |
19.4% / 27.0% |
11.0% / 13.2% |
46.7% / 22.9% |
33.3% / 24.1% |
55.3% / 42.9% |
2.2% / 6.6% |
20.9% / 28.6% |
9.6% / 11.9% |
6.6% / 8.8% |
4.8% / 6.7% |
36.8% / 34.9% |
5.3% / 10.1% |
*Record:
3 –
3
GAME LOG |
FOUR FACTORS |
SKILL |
HUSTLE |
Date |
Opp |
Score |
Efficiency |
Pace |
eFG % |
Off rebound % |
TO % |
FT Rate |
3pt Rate |
Assist Rate |
Non-Steal Turnover |
Foul Rate |
2nd Chance Rate |
Steal Rate |
Block Rate |
Paint Points |
Fast Break |
2016-10-26 |
MIA |
96 – 108 L |
101.7 / 114.4 |
94.4 |
42.0% / 50.5% |
28.0% / 34.8% |
11.7% / 10.6% |
31.8% / 16.5% |
19.3% / 16.5% |
58.8% / 57.4% |
6.4% / 5.3% |
15.9% / 23.3% |
18.8% / 21.3% |
5.3% / 5.3% |
4.1% / 8.0% |
37.5% / 68.5% |
8.3% / 13.9% |
2016-10-28 |
@DET |
82 – 108 L |
86.1 / 113.3 |
95.3 |
38.9% / 54.2% |
24.1% / 23.1% |
9.4% / 12.6% |
12.6% / 6.3% |
27.4% / 20.0% |
60.6% / 56.3% |
1.0% / 4.2% |
13.6% / 11.5% |
14.6% / 13.0% |
8.4% / 8.4% |
3.2% / 4.2% |
43.9% / 55.6% |
22.0% / 13.0% |
2016-10-29 |
@CLE |
99 – 105 L |
102.6 / 108.8 |
96.5 |
50.0% / 47.2% |
32.5% / 26.0% |
20.7% / 9.3% |
31.0% / 34.1% |
33.3% / 42.0% |
55.3% / 47.2% |
12.4% / 3.1% |
23.8% / 28.0% |
25.3% / 14.3% |
6.2% / 8.3% |
5.7% / 7.1% |
48.5% / 30.5% |
8.1% / 6.7% |
2016-11-01 |
@PHI |
103 – 101 W |
108.4 / 106.3 |
95.0 |
48.4% / 54.3% |
25.5% / 20.6% |
10.5% / 15.8% |
18.3% / 19.5% |
26.9% / 25.6% |
69.0% / 70.0% |
5.3% / 8.4% |
15.8% / 21.1% |
15.5% / 16.8% |
7.4% / 5.3% |
7.3% / 8.6% |
58.3% / 39.6% |
18.4% / 11.9% |
2016-11-03 |
SAC |
102 – 94 W |
112.9 / 104.1 |
90.3 |
51.2% / 51.9% |
31.7% / 26.2% |
15.5% / 15.5% |
27.4% / 21.3% |
35.7% / 22.5% |
63.2% / 44.7% |
6.6% / 10.0% |
15.5% / 25.5% |
22.5% / 13.8% |
5.5% / 8.9% |
5.0% / 1.2% |
37.3% / 53.2% |
13.7% / 8.5% |
2016-11-05 |
WAS |
88 – 86 W |
102.4 / 100.1 |
85.9 |
45.5% / 43.0% |
22.2% / 29.8% |
9.3% / 11.6% |
34.6% / 19.8% |
35.9% / 19.8% |
67.7% / 32.4% |
4.7% / 7.0% |
18.6% / 26.8% |
14.8% / 23.3% |
4.7% / 4.7% |
7.0% / 6.4% |
36.4% / 41.9% |
25.0% / 3.5% |