Miami Heat @

Cleveland Cavaliers

Mon, Mar 6
FS-OH
4:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 503
Odds: Cleveland Cavaliers PK, Total:

Dr Bob Analysis

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Opinion – Miami (+8) over CLEVELAND

Rotation #503 – 4:05 pm Pacific

I’m sure Cleveland will be giving 100% tonight after losing by 28 points at Miami on Saturday in a game in which LeBron James and Kyrie Irving were being rested (and Kevin Love is still out). Cleveland actually applies to an 85-34-2 ATS home favorite revenge situation but I’d still rather have Miami. The Heat are an underrated team that is 18-4 straight up and 16-4-2 ATS in their last 22 games. Most amazing is that the Heat are 9-0 straight up as an underdog during that run (yes, straight up!), including wins at Houston and at Golden State. I think Cleveland should be favored by just 5 points in this game and I have more faith in my ratings than in the situation that favors the Cavs. I’ll lean with Miami at +8 points or more.

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  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Miami Heat
  • Cleveland Cavaliers
MIA
Avg
Def
Off


  • Efficiency 106.0 107.6 109.2
  • Pace 94.5 94.5 95.8

4
Factors


  • eFG % 50.6% 49.8% 51.3%
  • D reb % 77.0% 77.2% 76.8%
  • O reb % 22.8% 23.0% 23.2%
  • TO % 13.2% 13.3% 13.9%
  • Free Throw Rate 25.2% 27.0% 27.6%


Skill


  • 2Pt % 49.1% 49.1% 50.2%
  • 3Pt % 35.8% 34.2% 35.7%
  • 3pt Rate 30.3% 27.7% 31.5%
  • Assist Rate 55.6% 53.7% 57.6%
  • Non-Steal Turnovers 6.0% 6.0% 5.9%
  • Foul Rate 21.5% 19.7% 20.8%


Hustle


  • 2nd Chance Rate 13.3% 12.5% 12.2%
  • Steal Rate 7.3% 7.2% 8.0%
  • Block Rate 6.5% 6.0% 5.7%
  • Paint Points 44.0% 43.6% 41.1%
  • Fast Break 10.9% 11.1% 12.4%
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