Charlotte Hornets @

Indiana Pacers

Mon, Dec 12
FS-IN
4:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 501
Odds: Indiana Pacers PK, Total:

Dr Bob Analysis

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Opinion – Charlotte (-1 ½) over INDIANA      

Rotation #501 – 4:05 pm Pacific

Indiana rallied to beat Portland on Saturday night but the Pacers tend to relax after a win, as they are now 2-9 ATS this season after a victory and 50-73-2 ATS going back a few years. That record is an even worse 12-42 ATS after a home win when not getting at least 3 points. My ratings favor Charlotte by 1 ½ points with Monta Ellis out for the Pacers, so the line is fair, and I’ll lean with Charlotte based on Indiana’s propensity to play with less defensive intensity after winning a game (allowing 101.7 points after a loss and 112.9 points per game after a win).

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  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Charlotte Hornets
  • Indiana Pacers
CHA
Avg
Def
Off


  • Efficiency 106.9 104.8 107.9
  • Pace 96.4 96.4 95.9

4
Factors


  • eFG % 49.3% 50.0% 50.6%
  • D reb % 80.5% 80.5% 76.7%
  • O reb % 19.5% 19.5% 23.3%
  • TO % 11.6% 12.4% 14.1%
  • Free Throw Rate 31.7% 19.8% 27.5%


Skill


  • 2Pt % 47.9% 49.1% 49.5%
  • 3Pt % 34.8% 34.0% 35.1%
  • 3pt Rate 32.2% 35.1% 31.1%
  • Assist Rate 62.4% 60.4% 57.3%
  • Non-Steal Turnovers 4.8% 5.9% 6.0%
  • Foul Rate 17.3% 22.0% 20.9%


Hustle


  • 2nd Chance Rate 11.6% 11.7% 12.7%
  • Steal Rate 6.5% 6.8% 8.1%
  • Block Rate 5.5% 6.3% 5.8%
  • Paint Points 39.8% 38.4% 41.2%
  • Fast Break 10.4% 11.0% 12.5%
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