Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Matchup Analysis

Dr Bob Analysis

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*Atlanta (-3.5) over NEW YORK

This is simply a case of line value, as my ratings favoring Atlanta by 6 points even after adjusting 2.4 points for variance. I’ll take Atlanta in a 1-Star Best Bet at -4 points or less.

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Team Stats
Game Log

Atlanta Hawks
New York Knicks

ATL

Avg

Def

Off

Efficiency 106.4 99.3 106.9
Pace 99.4 99.4 96.1

4
Factors

eFG % 52.5% 47.8% 50.1%
D reb % 77.0% 74.8% 76.8%
O reb % 25.2% 23.0% 23.3%
TO % 17.1% 16.9% 14.2%
Free Throw Rate 31.6% 22.6% 27.8%

Skill

2Pt % 53.2% 47.3% 49.3%
3Pt % 34.3% 32.8% 34.7%
3pt Rate 30.7% 30.3% 30.6%
Assist Rate 64.4% 56.5% 56.8%
Non-Steal Turnovers 6.3% 7.0% 6.0%
Foul Rate 17.6% 23.0% 21.3%

Hustle

2nd Chance Rate 12.0% 14.0% 12.9%
Steal Rate 9.9% 10.7% 8.1%
Block Rate 6.1% 5.3% 5.8%
Paint Points 43.0% 41.6% 41.4%
Fast Break 11.7% 12.9% 12.5%

NYK

Avg

Def

Off

Efficiency 107.8 111.2 106.9
Pace 95.4 95.4 96.1

4
Factors

eFG % 50.1% 50.9% 50.1%
D reb % 74.0% 73.5% 76.8%
O reb % 26.5% 26.0% 23.3%
TO % 14.7% 13.7% 14.2%
FT Rate 23.3% 30.3% 27.8%

Skill

2Pt % 49.1% 49.5% 49.3%
3Pt % 35.3% 37.4% 34.7%
3pt Rate 27.6% 30.8% 30.6%
Assist Rate 53.8% 53.3% 56.8%
Non-Steal Turnovers 6.1% 6.2% 6.0%
Foul Rate 22.4% 20.0% 21.3%

Hustle

2nd Chance Rate 14.8% 13.9% 12.9%
Steal Rate 7.5% 8.5% 8.1%
Block Rate 5.9% 4.9% 5.8%
Paint Points 39.8% 41.1% 41.4%
Fast Break 9.8% 10.6% 12.5%

*Record: 9 – 4

GAME LOG					FOUR FACTORS				SKILL				HUSTLE
Date	Opp	Score	Efficiency	Pace	eFG %	Off rebound %	TO %	FT Rate	3pt Rate	Assist Rate	Non-Steal Turnover	Foul Rate	2nd Chance Rate	Steal Rate	Block Rate	Paint Points	Fast Break
2016-10-27	WAS	114 – 99 W	110.2 / 95.7	103.4	56.8% / 45.7%	33.3% / 24.0%	20.3% / 18.4%	20.5% / 19.1%	29.5% / 21.3%	63.6% / 62.5%	6.8% / 5.8%	18.4% / 19.3%	17.5% / 6.1%	12.6% / 13.5%	7.4% / 4.5%	38.6% / 48.5%	14.0% / 18.2%
2016-10-29	@PHI	104 – 72 W	103.7 / 71.8	100.3	52.4% / 38.1%	14.6% / 8.9%	12.0% / 19.9%	27.1% / 18.8%	23.5% / 22.5%	73.8% / 57.1%	3.0% / 9.0%	14.0% / 19.9%	7.7% / 12.5%	11.0% / 9.0%	8.8% / 5.9%	48.1% / 50.0%	18.3% / 9.7%
2016-10-31	SAC	106 – 95 W	112.9 / 101.2	93.9	48.7% / 54.7%	34.7% / 18.2%	13.8% / 20.2%	59.5% / 25.3%	38.0% / 30.7%	72.7% / 72.2%	3.2% / 8.5%	21.3% / 36.2%	16.0% / 7.4%	11.7% / 10.7%	8.0% / 7.6%	30.2% / 37.9%	5.7% / 12.6%
2016-11-02	LAL	116 – 123 L	114.1 / 121.0	101.6	54.7% / 59.0%	24.4% / 27.0%	17.7% / 14.8%	34.1% / 22.5%	37.6% / 24.7%	73.2% / 50.0%	6.9% / 4.9%	18.7% / 24.6%	22.4% / 12.2%	9.8% / 10.8%	1.1% / 10.6%	44.8% / 40.7%	10.3% / 20.3%
2016-11-04	@WAS	92 – 95 L	90.1 / 93.0	102.1	41.6% / 41.9%	22.2% / 22.9%	17.6% / 18.6%	43.4% / 43.8%	30.1% / 25.0%	68.8% / 41.9%	10.8% / 6.9%	23.5% / 22.5%	8.7% / 11.6%	11.7% / 6.9%	3.8% / 3.6%	54.3% / 31.6%	19.6% / 12.6%
2016-11-05	HOU	112 – 97 W	111.5 / 96.6	100.4	57.6% / 50.6%	29.5% / 27.9%	17.9% / 24.9%	28.2% / 15.3%	23.5% / 42.4%	64.4% / 59.5%	10.0% / 9.0%	12.9% / 25.9%	8.9% / 14.4%	15.9% / 8.0%	5.9% / 8.2%	55.4% / 47.4%	13.4% / 9.3%
2016-11-08	@CLE	110 – 106 W	112.7 / 108.6	97.6	57.4% / 42.9%	29.7% / 25.0%	19.5% / 6.1%	29.6% / 25.3%	35.8% / 42.4%	53.7% / 56.8%	7.2% / 5.1%	21.5% / 20.5%	12.7% / 20.8%	1.0% / 12.3%	4.0% / 1.2%	38.2% / 37.7%	1.8% / 14.2%
2016-11-09	CHI	115 – 107 W	112.9 / 105.1	101.8	56.0% / 50.0%	36.1% / 16.3%	21.6% / 12.8%	32.5% / 23.1%	24.1% / 29.7%	57.1% / 58.5%	6.9% / 4.9%	19.6% / 20.6%	17.4% / 8.4%	7.9% / 14.7%	7.7% / 3.6%	40.0% / 33.6%	14.8% / 17.8%
2016-11-12	PHI	117 – 96 W	117.7 / 96.6	99.4	57.4% / 50.0%	34.1% / 21.3%	16.1% / 19.1%	14.7% / 24.1%	33.7% / 34.9%	64.6% / 58.3%	2.0% / 9.1%	14.1% / 20.1%	17.9% / 13.5%	10.1% / 14.1%	7.2% / 4.2%	42.7% / 35.4%	14.5% / 18.8%
2016-11-15	@MIA	93 – 90 W	95.0 / 91.9	97.9	50.0% / 44.4%	16.2% / 37.0%	19.4% / 23.5%	23.8% / 15.7%	21.3% / 25.8%	48.6% / 36.1%	8.2% / 9.2%	13.3% / 23.5%	5.4% / 25.6%	14.3% / 11.2%	4.5% / 8.8%	53.8% / 51.1%	6.5% / 4.4%
2016-11-16	MIL	107 – 100 W	108.3 / 101.2	98.8	55.6% / 43.9%	8.6% / 29.4%	16.2% / 14.2%	43.1% / 18.4%	44.4% / 32.7%	82.9% / 64.1%	7.1% / 8.1%	17.2% / 25.3%	3.7% / 18.0%	6.1% / 9.1%	8.2% / 4.2%	26.2% / 50.0%	10.3% / 17.0%
2016-11-18	@CHA	96 – 100 L	96.3 / 100.3	99.7	50.6% / 46.7%	18.2% / 16.3%	16.0% / 11.0%	20.2% / 26.7%	33.3% / 32.2%	64.1% / 67.6%	5.0% / 2.0%	18.1% / 16.0%	7.3% / 17.0%	9.0% / 11.0%	6.7% / 4.8%	41.7% / 40.0%	20.8% / 7.0%
2016-11-20	@NYK	94 – 104 L	98.0 / 108.5	95.9	43.5% / 53.4%	26.4% / 24.4%	13.6% / 15.6%	34.1% / 15.9%	24.7% / 29.5%	50.0% / 50.0%	5.2% / 8.3%	15.6% / 24.0%	10.6% / 14.4%	7.3% / 8.3%	5.7% / 1.2%	44.7% / 36.5%	2.1% / 5.8%

*Record: 6 – 7

GAME LOG					FOUR FACTORS				SKILL				HUSTLE
Date	Opp	Score	Efficiency	Pace	eFG %	Off rebound %	TO %	FT Rate	3pt Rate	Assist Rate	Non-Steal Turnover	Foul Rate	2nd Chance Rate	Steal Rate	Block Rate	Paint Points	Fast Break
2016-10-25	@CLE	88 – 117 L	88.1 / 117.1	99.9	42.0% / 54.8%	24.5% / 27.5%	18.0% / 14.0%	23.0% / 20.2%	31.0% / 37.2%	53.1% / 68.9%	6.0% / 8.0%	22.0% / 22.0%	18.2% / 13.7%	6.0% / 12.0%	6.4% / 5.7%	31.8% / 44.4%	10.2% / 13.7%
2016-10-29	MEM	111 – 104 W	115.1 / 107.9	96.4	56.6% / 48.3%	17.1% / 23.9%	12.4% / 12.4%	51.3% / 30.2%	27.6% / 29.1%	60.0% / 51.4%	9.3% / 8.3%	25.9% / 31.1%	13.5% / 15.4%	4.1% / 3.1%	4.7% / 2.6%	48.6% / 42.3%	9.9% / 1.9%
2016-11-01	@DET	89 – 102 L	93.9 / 107.7	94.7	44.8% / 50.6%	17.4% / 22.2%	11.6% / 10.6%	17.4% / 23.6%	25.6% / 14.6%	51.4% / 46.3%	4.2% / 4.2%	21.1% / 16.9%	16.9% / 15.7%	6.3% / 7.4%	10.1% / 5.8%	36.0% / 49.0%	14.6% / 13.7%
2016-11-02	HOU	99 – 118 L	98.8 / 117.7	100.2	48.2% / 55.6%	16.7% / 41.3%	16.0% / 19.0%	29.4% / 30.3%	23.5% / 44.9%	48.6% / 59.5%	4.0% / 9.0%	21.9% / 21.0%	12.1% / 21.2%	10.0% / 12.0%	7.9% / 8.2%	42.4% / 42.4%	14.1% / 10.2%
2016-11-04	@CHI	117 – 104 W	130.9 / 116.4	89.4	56.7% / 48.8%	28.9% / 34.1%	5.6% / 13.4%	23.6% / 32.1%	23.6% / 27.4%	69.6% / 40.5%	1.1% / 5.6%	25.7% / 17.9%	12.8% / 19.2%	7.8% / 4.5%	2.4% / 4.5%	46.2% / 46.2%	15.4% / 16.3%
2016-11-06	UTA	109 – 114 L	119.8 / 125.2	91.0	55.4% / 56.0%	27.0% / 19.4%	13.2% / 11.0%	22.9% / 46.7%	24.1% / 33.3%	42.9% / 55.3%	6.6% / 2.2%	28.6% / 20.9%	11.9% / 9.6%	8.8% / 6.6%	6.7% / 4.8%	34.9% / 36.8%	10.1% / 5.3%
2016-11-09	BKN	110 – 96 W	108.7 / 94.9	101.2	53.3% / 48.1%	21.4% / 16.3%	13.8% / 17.8%	18.5% / 33.8%	32.6% / 41.3%	56.8% / 57.6%	4.9% / 6.9%	20.8% / 19.8%	15.5% / 11.5%	10.9% / 8.9%	6.3% / 4.3%	43.6% / 41.7%	1.8% / 8.3%
2016-11-11	@BOS	87 – 115 L	85.8 / 113.4	101.4	38.3% / 45.0%	38.2% / 34.5%	24.7% / 14.8%	18.1% / 47.8%	24.5% / 30.0%	57.6% / 65.7%	8.9% / 7.9%	25.6% / 17.8%	13.8% / 17.4%	6.9% / 15.8%	12.2% / 3.2%	50.6% / 36.5%	10.3% / 15.7%
2016-11-12	@TOR	107 – 118 L	108.5 / 119.6	98.6	49.0% / 51.2%	34.0% / 25.6%	16.2% / 11.2%	16.5% / 45.8%	23.7% / 26.5%	43.2% / 46.2%	6.1% / 8.1%	23.3% / 20.3%	17.8% / 7.6%	3.0% / 10.1%	2.4% / 6.2%	48.6% / 40.7%	5.6% / 16.9%
2016-11-14	DAL	93 – 77 W	108.1 / 89.5	86.0	49.4% / 41.6%	32.6% / 26.0%	19.8% / 13.9%	23.1% / 13.3%	32.1% / 33.7%	52.9% / 46.9%	10.5% / 7.0%	18.6% / 18.6%	18.3% / 13.0%	7.0% / 9.3%	4.8% / 9.0%	25.8% / 33.8%	7.5% / 6.5%
2016-11-16	DET	105 – 102 W	116.6 / 113.3	90.0	50.0% / 54.1%	37.3% / 19.5%	10.0% / 11.1%	20.4% / 14.1%	26.9% / 27.1%	57.1% / 45.2%	3.3% / 2.2%	12.2% / 15.5%	14.3% / 19.6%	8.9% / 6.7%	10.6% / 1.1%	41.9% / 39.2%	6.7% / 9.8%
2016-11-17	@WAS	112 – 119 L	118.0 / 125.4	94.9	54.7% / 63.6%	25.0% / 21.2%	13.7% / 15.8%	23.3% / 22.2%	33.7% / 30.9%	56.1% / 59.1%	6.3% / 6.3%	21.1% / 22.1%	12.5% / 6.7%	9.5% / 7.4%	1.2% / 2.3%	30.4% / 37.0%	15.2% / 17.6%
2016-11-20	ATL	104 – 94 W	108.5 / 98.0	95.9	53.4% / 43.5%	24.4% / 26.4%	15.6% / 13.6%	15.9% / 34.1%	29.5% / 24.7%	50.0% / 50.0%	8.3% / 5.2%	24.0% / 15.6%	14.4% / 10.6%	8.3% / 7.3%	1.2% / 5.7%	36.5% / 44.7%	5.8% / 2.1%

Atlanta Hawks @

New York Knicks

Sun, Nov 20

MSG

9:00 AM Pacific

Dr Bob Analysis

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