Game Analysis
Western Michigan (-12) 42 AKRON 31
Western Michigan should have at least one more week in the top 25, as their spotless record will likely be intact after this game with defensively inept Akron (6.0 yards per play allowed to teams that would combine to average only 4.9 yppl against an average defense). The question in this game is who will Akron’s starting quarterback be. Starter Thomas Woodson has been cleared to play after missing the last two games but word from Akron is that backup Tra’Von Champman is going to start this game for the Zips. My math model favors Western Michigan by 12 points with Chapman at quarterback the entire game and by only 10 points if Woodson was at quarterback. I’m guessing that Woodson would come in if Akron falls behind by too many points. I’d suggest staying away from this game.
Rush
-
Run Plays
42.6
30.4
-
Run Yards
227.4
135.4
-
YPRP
5.5
5.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
17.2
17.0
-
Pass Att
24.2
28.0
-
Comp %
71.1%
60.7%
-
Pass Yards
227.0
217.4
-
Sacks
1.6
3.4
-
Sack Yards
7.6
19.8
-
Sack %
6.2%
10.8%
-
Pass Plays
25.8
31.4
-
Net Pass Yards
219.4
197.6
-
YPPP
8.5
6.3
Total
-
Total Plays
68.4
61.8
-
Total Yards
454.4
352.8
-
YPPL
6.6
5.7
TO
-
Int
0.0
1.2
-
Int %
0.0%
4.3%
-
Fumbles
0.0
1.0
-
Turnovers
0.0
2.2
Rush
-
Run Plays
26.7
41.3
-
Run Yards
129.8
182.2
-
YPRP
5.3
4.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.5
22.7
-
Pass Att
32.5
36.2
-
Comp %
60.0%
62.7%
-
Pass Yards
283.5
292.7
-
Sacks
2.2
1.8
-
Sack Yards
10.8
11.8
-
Sack %
6.3%
4.8%
-
Pass Plays
34.7
38.0
-
Net Pass Yards
272.7
280.8
-
YPPP
7.9
7.4
Total
-
Total Plays
61.3
79.3
-
Total Yards
413.3
474.8
-
YPPL
6.7
6.0
TO
-
Int
1.0
0.8
-
Int %
3.1%
2.3%
-
Fumbles
0.7
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.7
1.3
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/16 @ Northwestern |
22-21 |
+4.5
W
|
45/27 |
208/139 |
4.6/5.1 |
0/1 |
26/15 |
36/22 |
210/180 |
0/0 |
1/3 |
5.7/7.2 |
418/319 |
5.1/6.1 |
| 09/10/16 NC Central |
70-21 |
0.0
W
|
59/29 |
368/111 |
6.2/3.8 |
0/0 |
15/15 |
23/29 |
251/204 |
0/0 |
1/1 |
10.5/6.8 |
619/315 |
7.5/5.3 |
| 09/17/16 @ Illinois |
34-10 |
-3.5
W
|
49/11 |
302/34 |
6.2/3.1 |
0/1 |
9/29 |
13/42 |
134/281 |
0/1 |
5/4 |
7.4/6.1 |
436/315 |
6.5/5.5 |
| 09/24/16 Georgia Southern |
49-31 |
-7.0
W
|
33/49 |
145/203 |
4.4/4.1 |
0/2 |
18/9 |
27/16 |
270/167 |
0/2 |
0/1 |
10.0/9.8 |
415/370 |
6.9/5.6 |
| 10/01/16 @ Central Mich |
49-10 |
-3.5
W
|
41/25 |
254/144 |
6.2/5.8 |
0/1 |
15/17 |
21/29 |
170/131 |
0/1 |
0/8 |
8.1/3.5 |
424/275 |
6.8/4.4 |
| 10/08/16 Northern Ill |
45-30 |
-20.0
L
|
45/40 |
266/256 |
5.9/6.4 |
0/0 |
18/15 |
24/31 |
313/229 |
0/2 |
2/1 |
12.0/7.2 |
579/485 |
8.2/6.7 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/16 Virginia Military |
47-24 |
0.0
W
|
28/42 |
161/112 |
5.8/2.7 |
1/0 |
25/28 |
38/37 |
418/293 |
1/0 |
1/2 |
10.7/7.5 |
579/405 |
8.6/5.0 |
| 09/10/16 @ Wisconsin |
10-54 |
+23.5
L
|
17/54 |
96/300 |
5.6/5.6 |
1/0 |
14/20 |
25/27 |
116/286 |
1/0 |
4/1 |
4.0/10.2 |
212/586 |
4.6/7.1 |
| 09/17/16 @ Marshall |
65-38 |
+17.5
W
|
28/35 |
155/135 |
5.5/3.9 |
1/1 |
21/33 |
32/59 |
368/429 |
0/3 |
2/3 |
10.8/6.9 |
523/564 |
8.4/5.8 |
| 09/24/16 Appalachian State |
38-45 |
+6.0
L
|
22/47 |
157/313 |
7.1/6.7 |
0/1 |
31/22 |
43/30 |
329/280 |
2/0 |
4/0 |
7.0/9.3 |
486/593 |
7.0/7.7 |
| 10/01/16 @ Kent State |
31-27 |
-7.0
L
|
30/38 |
147/163 |
4.9/4.3 |
1/0 |
11/19 |
28/36 |
231/260 |
2/0 |
2/3 |
7.7/6.7 |
378/423 |
6.3/5.5 |
| 10/08/16 Miami Ohio |
35-13 |
-11.5
W
|
35/32 |
128/141 |
3.7/4.4 |
0/1 |
15/14 |
29/28 |
174/137 |
0/2 |
0/2 |
6.0/4.6 |
302/278 |
4.7/4.5 |
Akron