Game Analysis
Lean – West Virginia (-3) 28 HOUSTON 21
West Virginia is clearly the better team now that Garrett Greene has returned from injury for the Mountaineers. Greene is nothing special but he’s a lot better than backup QB Nicco Marchiol, who averaged just 3.5 yards per pass play when Greene was out. West Virginia’s offense is just 0.3 yards per play worse than average with Greene at quarterback, which is a bit better than a Houston attack that has been 0.4 yppl worse than average (5.5 yppl against teams that would allow 5.9 yppl to an average team).
The difference in this game is on the defensive side of the ball, as the Mountaineers have a defense that is 0.4 yppl better than average (5.1 yppl allowed to FBS teams that would average 5.5 yppl against an average team (adjusted for facing Morton at QB vs Texas Tech) while the Cougars’ defense has been 0.7 yppl worse than average (6.0 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.3 yppl against an average team, also adjusted for facing Morton).
West Virginia also has an edge in special teams and I’ll lean with the Mountaineers at -3 or less.
Rush
-
Run Plays
41.0
34.5
-
Run Yards
178.0
155.8
-
YPRP
4.3
4.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
11.3
17.0
-
Pass Att
20.3
33.5
-
Comp %
55.6%
50.7%
-
Pass Yards
115.8
218.0
-
Sacks
1.3
2.3
-
Sack Yards
7.0
14.5
-
Sack %
5.8%
6.3%
-
Pass Plays
21.5
35.8
-
Net Pass Yards
108.8
203.5
-
YPPP
5.1
5.7
Total
-
Total Plays
62.5
70.3
-
Total Yards
286.8
359.3
-
YPPL
4.6
5.1
TO
-
Int
0.5
0.8
-
Int %
2.5%
2.2%
-
Fumbles
0.3
0.0
-
Turnovers
0.8
0.8
Rush
-
Run Plays
31.4
33.8
-
Run Yards
148.2
175.4
-
YPRP
4.7
5.2
Pass
-
Pass Comp
24.8
19.8
-
Pass Att
38.8
32.0
-
Comp %
63.9%
61.9%
-
Pass Yards
272.4
240.6
-
Sacks
2.8
2.0
-
Sack Yards
17.0
10.4
-
Sack %
6.7%
5.9%
-
Pass Plays
41.6
34.0
-
Net Pass Yards
255.4
230.2
-
YPPP
6.1
6.8
Total
-
Total Plays
73.0
67.8
-
Total Yards
403.6
405.6
-
YPPL
5.5
6.0
TO
-
Int
0.6
1.2
-
Int %
1.5%
3.8%
-
Fumbles
0.0
0.6
-
Turnovers
0.6
1.8
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/23 @ Penn St. |
15-38 |
+20.5
L
|
36/34 |
165/152 |
4.6/4.5 |
0/0 |
16/22 |
27/30 |
156/326 |
0/0 |
2/1 |
5.4/10.5 |
321/478 |
4.9/7.4 |
09/09/23 Duquesne |
56-17 |
0.0
W
|
48/25 |
306/22 |
6.4/0.9 |
2/0 |
17/15 |
32/32 |
311/212 |
0/2 |
1/3 |
9.4/6.1 |
617/234 |
7.6/3.9 |
09/16/23 Pittsburgh |
17-6 |
-2.5
W
|
46/35 |
181/139 |
3.9/4.0 |
1/0 |
6/8 |
11/20 |
44/72 |
0/3 |
2/1 |
3.4/3.4 |
225/211 |
3.8/3.8 |
09/23/23 Texas Tech |
20-13 |
+6.0
W
|
40/36 |
164/174 |
4.1/4.8 |
0/0 |
13/15 |
22/43 |
93/141 |
2/0 |
1/2 |
4.0/3.1 |
257/315 |
4.1/3.9 |
09/30/23 @ TCU |
24-21 |
+13.5
W
|
42/33 |
202/158 |
4.8/4.8 |
0/0 |
10/23 |
21/41 |
142/275 |
0/0 |
0/5 |
6.8/6.0 |
344/433 |
5.5/5.5 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/23 UTSA |
17-14 |
+2.0
W
|
31/33 |
130/219 |
4.2/6.6 |
0/0 |
22/18 |
34/36 |
209/198 |
0/3 |
4/2 |
5.5/5.2 |
339/417 |
4.9/5.9 |
09/09/23 @ Rice |
41-43 |
-8.0
L
|
35/29 |
203/85 |
5.8/2.9 |
0/1 |
24/28 |
43/42 |
240/377 |
1/1 |
3/2 |
5.2/8.6 |
443/462 |
5.5/6.3 |
09/16/23 TCU |
13-36 |
+7.5
L
|
21/48 |
58/274 |
2.8/5.7 |
0/1 |
17/24 |
35/37 |
191/298 |
2/1 |
6/3 |
4.7/7.5 |
249/572 |
4.0/6.5 |
09/23/23 Sam Houston State |
38-7 |
-11.0
W
|
37/23 |
189/59 |
5.1/2.6 |
0/1 |
32/15 |
42/23 |
309/118 |
0/1 |
0/2 |
7.4/4.7 |
498/177 |
6.3/3.7 |
09/30/23 @ Texas Tech |
28-49 |
+8.5
L
|
33/36 |
161/240 |
4.9/6.7 |
0/0 |
29/14 |
40/22 |
328/160 |
0/0 |
1/1 |
8.0/7.0 |
489/400 |
6.6/6.8 |