West Virginia @

Houston

Thu, Oct 12
Fox Sports 1
4:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 119
Odds: Houston +2.5, Total: 50

Game Analysis

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Lean – West Virginia (-3)  28   HOUSTON  21

West Virginia is clearly the better team now that Garrett Greene has returned from injury for the Mountaineers. Greene is nothing special but he’s a lot better than backup QB Nicco Marchiol, who averaged just 3.5 yards per pass play when Greene was out. West Virginia’s offense is just 0.3 yards per play worse than average with Greene at quarterback, which is a bit better than a Houston attack that has been 0.4 yppl worse than average (5.5 yppl against teams that would allow 5.9 yppl to an average team).

The difference in this game is on the defensive side of the ball, as the Mountaineers have a defense that is 0.4 yppl better than average (5.1 yppl allowed to FBS teams that would average 5.5 yppl against an average team (adjusted for facing Morton at QB vs Texas Tech) while the Cougars’ defense has been 0.7 yppl worse than average (6.0 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.3 yppl against an average team, also adjusted for facing Morton).

West Virginia also has an edge in special teams and I’ll lean with the Mountaineers at -3 or less.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • West Virginia
  • Houston
WVA
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 41.0 34.5
  • Run Yards 178.0 155.8
  • YPRP 4.3 4.5




Pass





  • Pass Comp 11.3 17.0
  • Pass Att 20.3 33.5
  • Comp % 55.6% 50.7%
  • Pass Yards 115.8 218.0
  • Sacks 1.3 2.3
  • Sack Yards 7.0 14.5
  • Sack % 5.8% 6.3%
  • Pass Plays 21.5 35.8
  • Net Pass Yards 108.8 203.5
  • YPPP 5.1 5.7

Total

  • Total Plays 62.5 70.3
  • Total Yards 286.8 359.3
  • YPPL 4.6 5.1

TO


  • Int 0.5 0.8
  • Int % 2.5% 2.2%
  • Fumbles 0.3 0.0
  • Turnovers 0.8 0.8
 
  • Points 26.4 19.0
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