Game Analysis
Washington (-10.5) 30 UTAH 24
I only used the stats of Washington’s starters in my math model for this projection and I’m surprised that the math favors Utah to keep it this close. I was also surprised by how well Utah’s offense played last week against a very good UCLA defense in a 52-45 win and the running of Joe Williams, who decided to come out of retirement a couple of weeks ago has helped the Utes’ attack (he has 179 yards against Oregon State and 332 yards last week against the Bruins). I can certainly see Washington winning this game 31-14 but I’ll stick with the math model an favor the Utes to keep it close on their home field.
Rush
-
Run Plays
36.4
35.2
-
Run Yards
228.6
150.1
-
YPRP
6.5
4.9
Pass
-
Pass Comp
18.1
18.3
-
Pass Att
26.4
30.6
-
Comp %
68.6%
59.8%
-
Pass Yards
259.7
172.0
-
Sacks
1.7
3.7
-
Sack Yards
7.3
21.4
-
Sack %
6.1%
10.8%
-
Pass Plays
28.1
34.3
-
Net Pass Yards
252.4
150.6
-
YPPP
9.0
4.4
Total
-
Total Plays
64.6
69.4
-
Total Yards
488.3
322.1
-
YPPL
7.6
4.6
TO
-
Int
0.3
1.0
-
Int %
1.1%
3.3%
-
Fumbles
0.6
1.7
-
Turnovers
0.9
2.7
Rush
-
Run Plays
42.8
23.7
-
Run Yards
221.7
107.5
-
YPRP
5.4
5.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
17.5
23.2
-
Pass Att
30.5
39.7
-
Comp %
57.4%
58.4%
-
Pass Yards
233.3
300.8
-
Sacks
1.8
2.7
-
Sack Yards
10.7
13.8
-
Sack %
5.7%
6.3%
-
Pass Plays
32.3
42.3
-
Net Pass Yards
222.7
287.0
-
YPPP
6.9
6.8
Total
-
Total Plays
75.2
66.0
-
Total Yards
455.0
408.3
-
YPPL
6.1
6.2
TO
-
Int
0.8
2.2
-
Int %
2.7%
5.5%
-
Fumbles
1.0
0.8
-
Turnovers
1.8
3.0
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/16 Rutgers |
48-13 |
-26.5
W
|
27/44 |
103/178 |
3.8/4.0 |
0/2 |
20/24 |
29/40 |
280/142 |
1/1 |
2/3 |
9.0/3.3 |
383/320 |
6.6/3.7 |
| 09/10/16 Idaho |
59-14 |
-37.5
W
|
28/34 |
136/128 |
4.9/3.8 |
1/2 |
27/23 |
33/38 |
346/193 |
0/1 |
2/4 |
9.9/4.6 |
482/321 |
7.7/4.2 |
| 09/17/16 Portland State |
41-3 |
0.0
W
|
33/37 |
219/79 |
6.6/2.1 |
1/3 |
14/11 |
22/17 |
189/111 |
0/1 |
1/5 |
8.2/5.0 |
408/190 |
7.3/3.2 |
| 09/24/16 @ Arizona |
35-28 |
-14.0
L
|
47/41 |
372/310 |
7.9/7.6 |
0/2 |
14/19 |
21/31 |
145/163 |
1/1 |
4/2 |
5.8/4.9 |
517/473 |
7.2/6.4 |
| 09/30/16 Stanford |
44-6 |
-3.5
W
|
41/22 |
214/76 |
5.2/3.5 |
0/2 |
15/18 |
21/27 |
210/137 |
0/0 |
0/8 |
10.0/3.9 |
424/213 |
6.8/3.7 |
| 10/08/16 @ Oregon |
70-21 |
-9.0
W
|
41/40 |
387/242 |
9.4/6.1 |
0/1 |
22/21 |
28/34 |
298/167 |
0/1 |
2/3 |
9.9/4.5 |
685/409 |
9.6/5.3 |
| 10/22/16 Oregon St. |
41-17 |
-36.5
L
|
38/28 |
220/188 |
5.8/6.7 |
2/0 |
15/12 |
31/27 |
299/141 |
0/2 |
1/1 |
9.3/5.0 |
519/329 |
7.4/5.9 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/01/16 Southern Utah |
24-0 |
0.0
W
|
35/29 |
142/126 |
4.1/4.3 |
1/1 |
23/6 |
39/18 |
283/22 |
0/1 |
2/3 |
6.9/1.0 |
425/148 |
5.6/3.0 |
| 09/10/16 BYU |
20-19 |
-3.5
L
|
41/25 |
171/159 |
4.2/6.4 |
3/0 |
14/22 |
23/40 |
185/173 |
3/3 |
0/2 |
8.0/4.1 |
356/332 |
5.6/5.0 |
| 09/17/16 @ San Jose St. |
34-17 |
-13.0
W
|
31/21 |
249/103 |
8.0/4.9 |
1/1 |
21/21 |
30/39 |
227/203 |
1/2 |
3/10 |
6.9/4.1 |
476/306 |
7.4/4.4 |
| 09/23/16 USC |
31-27 |
-3.0
W
|
47/32 |
185/214 |
3.9/6.7 |
1/3 |
21/18 |
34/26 |
270/251 |
0/0 |
0/1 |
7.9/9.3 |
455/465 |
5.6/7.9 |
| 10/01/16 @ California |
23-28 |
+2.0
L
|
51/13 |
187/68 |
3.7/5.2 |
0/0 |
24/22 |
43/35 |
262/294 |
0/1 |
1/1 |
6.0/8.2 |
449/362 |
4.7/7.4 |
| 10/08/16 Arizona |
36-23 |
-10.0
W
|
43/37 |
225/127 |
5.2/3.4 |
0/0 |
13/16 |
29/28 |
230/348 |
0/3 |
2/0 |
7.4/12.4 |
455/475 |
6.1/7.3 |
| 10/15/16 @ Oregon St. |
19-14 |
-7.0
L
|
58/32 |
295/238 |
5.1/7.4 |
2/1 |
4/9 |
13/30 |
24/83 |
0/1 |
2/2 |
1.6/2.6 |
319/321 |
4.4/5.0 |
| 10/22/16 @ UCLA |
52-45 |
+4.0
W
|
44/14 |
377/57 |
8.6/4.1 |
1/1 |
12/40 |
24/70 |
162/453 |
1/4 |
5/2 |
5.6/6.3 |
539/510 |
7.4/5.9 |
