Washington @ USC Matchup Analysis

Game Analysis

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Washington (-3) 40 USC 37

These teams are basically the same offensively, as I rate Washington’s offense 2nd best in the nation (behind LSU) with USC at #3.

Washington has the edge defensively, as the Huskies have been 0.7 yppl better than average defensively while USC has been 0.1 yppl worse than average on defense. The Trojans seem worse than that based on the 33 points per game they’ve allowed but they’ve had some really negative redzone efficiency variance.

The math model favors Washington by 3 with a total of 77 points.

Team Stats
Game Log

Washington
USC

WASH

Offense

Defense

Rush

Run Plays 22.5 30.6
Run Yards 112.1 136.6
YPRP 5.0 4.5

Pass

Pass Comp 26.8 24.5
Pass Att 38.8 42.0
Comp % 69.0% 58.3%
Pass Yards 391.0 250.9
Sacks 0.8 1.3
Sack Yards 4.1 7.0
Sack % 1.9% 2.9%
Pass Plays 39.5 43.3
Net Pass Yards 386.9 243.9
YPPP 9.8 5.6

Total

Total Plays 62.0 73.9
Total Yards 499.0 380.5
YPPL 8.0 5.2

Int 0.9 1.1
Int % 2.3% 2.7%
Fumbles 0.6 0.0
Turnovers 1.5 1.1

Points 40.4 20.6

USC

Offense

Defense

Rush

Run Plays 26.0 35.2
Run Yards 176.1 192.6
YPRP 6.8 5.5

Pass

Pass Comp 23.8 19.9
Pass Att 34.7 33.1
Comp % 68.6% 60.1%
Pass Yards 329.6 228.2
Sacks 2.7 2.6
Sack Yards 19.2 18.2
Sack % 7.2% 7.2%
Pass Plays 37.3 35.7
Net Pass Yards 310.3 210.0
YPPP 8.3 5.9

Total

Total Plays 63.3 70.9
Total Yards 486.5 402.6
YPPL 7.7 5.7

Int 0.4 0.7
Int % 1.3% 2.0%
Fumbles 0.8 0.8
Turnovers 1.2 1.5

Points 45.9 32.6

Straight Up: , Against the Spread:

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2023 Game Log			RUSHING PLAYS				PASSING PLAYS						TOTAL
Opponent	Score	Spread	Atts	Yds	Yprp	Fum	Comp	Att	Yds	Int	Sack	Yppp	Yds	Yppl
09/02/23 Boise St.	56-19	-14.0 W	17/27	85/141	5.0/5.2	0/0	31/23	42/46	463/272	0/2	1/1	10.8/5.8	548/413	9.1/5.6
09/09/23 Tulsa	43-10	-34.0 L	22/38	109/171	5.0/4.5	1/0	30/18	40/32	427/141	1/1	0/2	10.7/4.1	536/312	8.6/4.3
09/16/23 @ Michigan St.	41-7	-16.5 W	31/25	182/72	5.9/2.9	0/0	29/14	39/35	517/142	1/1	0/2	13.3/3.8	699/214	10.0/3.5
09/23/23 California	59-32	-20.5 W	29/24	177/90	6.1/3.8	0/0	23/24	32/46	384/292	1/3	1/0	11.6/6.3	561/382	9.0/5.5
09/30/23 @ Arizona	31-24	-19.5 L	24/30	118/113	4.9/3.8	1/0	30/27	40/39	358/229	0/1	2/1	8.5/5.7	476/342	7.2/4.9
10/14/23 Oregon	36-33	-3.0 T	22/39	104/212	4.7/5.4	0/0	23/33	38/44	311/329	1/0	1/1	8.0/7.3	415/541	6.8/6.4
10/21/23 Arizona St.	15-7	-27.5 L	12/30	16/151	1.3/5.0	2/0	27/26	42/47	276/196	2/1	0/0	6.6/4.2	292/347	5.4/4.5
10/28/23 @ Stanford	42-33	-27.5 L	23/32	106/143	4.6/4.5	1/0	21/31	37/47	359/350	1/0	1/3	9.4/7.0	465/493	7.6/6.0

Straight Up: , Against the Spread:

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2023 Game Log			RUSHING PLAYS				PASSING PLAYS						TOTAL
Opponent	Score	Spread	Atts	Yds	Yprp	Fum	Comp	Att	Yds	Int	Sack	Yppp	Yds	Yppl
08/26/23 San Jose St.	56-28	-30.5 L	31/26	184/189	5.9/7.3	0/0	25/21	35/38	347/184	0/0	2/1	9.4/4.7	531/373	7.8/5.7
09/02/23 Nevada	66-14	-38.0 W	18/33	191/111	10.6/3.4	1/1	25/21	34/34	420/172	0/0	1/5	12.0/4.4	611/283	11.5/3.9
09/09/23 Stanford	56-10	-29.5 W	27/39	183/230	6.8/5.9	0/2	30/7	36/25	393/87	0/1	0/2	10.9/3.2	576/317	9.1/4.8
09/23/23 @ Arizona St.	42-28	-34.5 L	25/24	231/132	9.2/5.5	1/1	20/23	31/39	308/221	0/1	2/8	9.3/4.7	539/353	9.3/5.0
09/30/23 @ Colorado	48-41	-22.0 L	19/42	115/219	6.1/5.2	0/0	30/30	40/45	390/300	1/1	2/3	9.3/6.3	505/519	8.3/5.8
10/07/23 Arizona	43-41	-21.0 L	29/39	170/221	5.9/5.7	1/0	14/25	25/35	194/285	0/1	4/3	6.7/7.5	364/506	6.3/6.6
10/14/23 @ Notre Dame	20-48	+2.5 L	31/27	147/129	4.7/4.8	2/0	23/13	37/20	159/126	3/0	6/0	3.7/6.3	306/255	4.1/5.4
10/21/23 Utah	32-34	-7.0 L	19/45	170/266	8.9/5.9	1/0	24/14	34/23	234/223	0/1	4/1	6.2/9.3	404/489	7.1/7.1
10/28/23 @ California	50-49	-10.5 L	35/42	194/236	5.5/5.6	1/3	23/25	40/39	348/292	0/1	3/0	8.1/7.5	542/528	6.9/6.5

Washington @

USC

Sat, Nov 4

ABC

4:30 PM Pacific

Game Analysis