Game Analysis
Washington (-9) 34 OREGON 28
Washington played an incredibly good game last Friday night in beating Stanford 44-6 and Washington is clearly a top 10 team. However, 2-3 Oregon is still a good team, as the Ducks rate at 1.1 yards per play better than average offensively (7.2 yppl against teams that would allow 6.1 yppl to an average team) and only 0.1 yppl worse than average on defense (6.0 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.9 yppl against an average defensive unit). Washington’s great defense will be tested more in this game than they were against Stanford’s pro-style attack, as the Huskies aggressiveness can hurt them against teams that run the read-option – as evidenced by the 473 yards at 6.4 yards per play they allowed in their overtime win at Arizona just two weeks ago. My math model only favors the Huskies by 6 ½ points and they’ll likely get the Ducks’ best effort.
Rush
-
Run Plays
35.2
35.6
-
Run Yards
200.0
128.0
-
YPRP
5.9
4.3
Pass
-
Pass Comp
18.0
19.0
-
Pass Att
25.2
30.6
-
Comp %
71.4%
62.1%
-
Pass Yards
242.8
175.4
-
Sacks
1.8
4.4
-
Sack Yards
8.8
26.2
-
Sack %
6.7%
12.6%
-
Pass Plays
27.0
35.0
-
Net Pass Yards
234.0
149.2
-
YPPP
8.7
4.3
Total
-
Total Plays
62.2
70.6
-
Total Yards
442.8
303.4
-
YPPL
7.1
4.3
TO
-
Int
0.4
0.8
-
Int %
1.6%
2.6%
-
Fumbles
0.4
2.2
-
Turnovers
0.8
3.0
Rush
-
Run Plays
40.4
38.4
-
Run Yards
263.0
214.2
-
YPRP
6.8
6.2
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.0
24.8
-
Pass Att
28.8
40.2
-
Comp %
66.0%
61.7%
-
Pass Yards
248.6
274.2
-
Sacks
1.8
2.8
-
Sack Yards
10.6
22.2
-
Sack %
5.9%
6.5%
-
Pass Plays
30.6
43.0
-
Net Pass Yards
238.0
252.0
-
YPPP
7.8
5.9
Total
-
Total Plays
71.0
81.4
-
Total Yards
511.6
488.4
-
YPPL
7.2
6.0
TO
-
Int
0.4
1.0
-
Int %
1.4%
2.5%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.2
-
Turnovers
1.0
1.2
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/16 Rutgers |
48-13 |
-26.5
W
|
27/44 |
103/178 |
3.8/4.0 |
0/2 |
20/24 |
29/40 |
280/142 |
1/1 |
2/3 |
9.0/3.3 |
383/320 |
6.6/3.7 |
09/10/16 Idaho |
59-14 |
-37.5
W
|
28/34 |
136/128 |
4.9/3.8 |
1/2 |
27/23 |
33/38 |
346/193 |
0/1 |
2/4 |
9.9/4.6 |
482/321 |
7.7/4.2 |
09/17/16 Portland State |
41-3 |
0.0
W
|
33/37 |
219/79 |
6.6/2.1 |
1/3 |
14/11 |
22/17 |
189/111 |
0/1 |
1/5 |
8.2/5.0 |
408/190 |
7.3/3.2 |
09/24/16 @ Arizona |
35-28 |
-14.0
L
|
47/41 |
372/310 |
7.9/7.6 |
0/2 |
14/19 |
21/31 |
145/163 |
1/1 |
4/2 |
5.8/4.9 |
517/473 |
7.2/6.4 |
09/30/16 Stanford |
44-6 |
-3.5
W
|
41/22 |
214/76 |
5.2/3.5 |
0/2 |
15/18 |
21/27 |
210/137 |
0/0 |
0/8 |
10.0/3.9 |
424/213 |
6.8/3.7 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/16 UC Davis |
53-28 |
0.0
W
|
34/29 |
263/114 |
7.7/3.9 |
2/0 |
21/27 |
30/47 |
259/253 |
0/1 |
3/2 |
7.8/5.2 |
522/367 |
7.8/4.7 |
09/10/16 Virginia |
44-26 |
-23.5
L
|
45/34 |
301/244 |
6.7/7.2 |
0/0 |
21/21 |
31/40 |
331/144 |
0/2 |
0/6 |
10.7/3.1 |
632/388 |
8.3/4.9 |
09/17/16 @ Nebraska |
32-35 |
+3.0
T
|
46/45 |
339/238 |
7.4/5.3 |
0/1 |
14/17 |
23/34 |
141/196 |
0/0 |
1/1 |
5.9/5.6 |
480/434 |
6.9/5.4 |
09/24/16 Colorado |
38-41 |
-10.5
L
|
42/46 |
239/290 |
5.7/6.3 |
0/0 |
22/23 |
33/32 |
269/312 |
1/2 |
3/3 |
7.5/8.9 |
508/602 |
6.5/7.4 |
10/01/16 @ Washington St. |
33-51 |
-1.5
L
|
35/38 |
226/296 |
6.5/7.8 |
1/0 |
17/36 |
27/48 |
190/355 |
1/0 |
2/2 |
6.6/7.1 |
416/651 |
6.5/7.4 |