Game Analysis
Wake Forest (-17) vs Rutgers
The math favors Wake Forest by 14.2 points with a total of 59.6 points but I haven’t been able to find any information on which Rutgers players did not come back to the team when they were chosen to replace Texas A&M a week ago. There are also some players that had surgery at the end of the season that won’t be playing. It’s also a strange situation given that the Scarlet Knight’s had 4 weeks off with no practice before this past week – and they only got to practice a couple of times before heading to Jacksonville. So, while the math favors Wake by 14 points I think the current line of 17 points is more than reasonable given the circumstances.
I can see a blowout and I can also see Wake Forest letting down after having their sites set on a big time opponent and now getting a bad Rutgers team instead. Double-digit bowl favorites are now 0-5 ATS and 2-3 straight up after South Carolina’s win over North Carolina and Wake Forest applies to a 6-33 ATS bowl situation. I’ll have more information about which Rutgers players aren’t suited up before the game. Regardless, I won’t be involved in this game.
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.4
37.7
-
Run Yards
176.5
216.6
-
YPRP
4.7
5.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
21.9
17.5
-
Pass Att
36.9
30.2
-
Comp %
59.4%
58.2%
-
Pass Yards
313.3
215.8
-
Sacks
2.4
2.5
-
Sack Yards
12.3
16.1
-
Sack %
6.1%
7.8%
-
Pass Plays
39.3
32.7
-
Net Pass Yards
301.0
199.7
-
YPPP
7.7
6.1
Total
-
Total Plays
76.7
70.4
-
Total Yards
477.5
416.3
-
YPPL
6.2
5.9
TO
-
Int
1.1
1.0
-
Int %
2.9%
3.3%
-
Fumbles
0.4
1.1
-
Turnovers
1.5
2.1
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.2
36.6
-
Run Yards
149.5
177.0
-
YPRP
4.0
4.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
17.4
15.8
-
Pass Att
30.2
27.6
-
Comp %
57.5%
57.2%
-
Pass Yards
161.8
245.7
-
Sacks
1.7
1.5
-
Sack Yards
10.1
8.6
-
Sack %
5.4%
5.0%
-
Pass Plays
31.9
29.1
-
Net Pass Yards
151.7
237.2
-
YPPP
4.8
8.2
Total
-
Total Plays
69.1
65.6
-
Total Yards
301.2
414.2
-
YPPL
4.4
6.3
TO
-
Int
0.7
0.6
-
Int %
2.4%
2.3%
-
Fumbles
0.4
0.9
-
Turnovers
1.1
1.6
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2021 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/21 Old Dominion |
42-10 |
-31.5
W
|
38/37 |
185/148 |
4.9/4.0 |
1/0 |
19/15 |
29/38 |
189/85 |
0/2 |
2/2 |
6.1/2.1 |
374/233 |
5.4/3.0 |
| 09/11/21 Norfolk State |
41-16 |
0.0
W
|
31/35 |
161/119 |
5.2/3.4 |
0/0 |
20/18 |
29/31 |
280/170 |
0/1 |
0/3 |
9.7/5.0 |
441/289 |
7.4/4.2 |
| 09/18/21 Florida St. |
35-14 |
-4.5
W
|
53/26 |
241/108 |
4.5/4.2 |
1/3 |
22/16 |
31/22 |
250/204 |
1/3 |
3/3 |
7.4/8.2 |
491/312 |
5.6/6.1 |
| 09/24/21 @ Virginia |
37-17 |
+3.5
W
|
45/20 |
203/145 |
4.5/7.3 |
0/1 |
17/33 |
29/59 |
270/347 |
0/1 |
0/7 |
9.3/5.3 |
473/492 |
6.4/5.7 |
| 10/02/21 Louisville |
37-34 |
-7.0
L
|
42/41 |
184/224 |
4.4/5.5 |
0/2 |
23/19 |
40/26 |
317/283 |
1/0 |
2/2 |
7.5/10.1 |
501/507 |
6.0/7.3 |
| 10/09/21 @ Syracuse |
40-37 |
-6.0
L
|
34/56 |
117/367 |
3.4/6.6 |
0/1 |
19/15 |
32/27 |
311/144 |
1/0 |
2/2 |
9.1/5.0 |
428/511 |
6.3/6.0 |
| 10/23/21 @ Army |
70-56 |
-3.0
W
|
22/68 |
182/427 |
8.3/6.3 |
0/1 |
23/10 |
29/13 |
458/175 |
0/1 |
0/1 |
15.8/12.5 |
640/602 |
12.5/7.3 |
| 10/30/21 Duke |
45-7 |
-16.0
W
|
39/36 |
279/147 |
7.2/4.1 |
1/1 |
27/12 |
41/24 |
431/135 |
0/0 |
2/2 |
10.0/5.2 |
710/282 |
8.7/4.5 |
| 11/06/21 @ North Carolina |
55-58 |
+2.5
L
|
37/46 |
227/340 |
6.1/7.4 |
0/1 |
25/16 |
51/26 |
388/208 |
2/0 |
2/3 |
7.3/7.2 |
615/548 |
6.8/7.3 |
| 11/13/21 No Carolina St. |
45-42 |
-2.0
W
|
38/16 |
140/89 |
3.7/5.6 |
0/1 |
20/37 |
47/59 |
274/391 |
3/2 |
3/2 |
5.5/6.4 |
414/480 |
4.7/6.2 |
| 11/20/21 @ Clemson |
27-48 |
+4.0
L
|
24/52 |
73/333 |
3.0/6.4 |
2/2 |
28/12 |
44/20 |
336/202 |
1/1 |
7/1 |
6.6/9.6 |
409/535 |
5.5/7.3 |
| 11/27/21 @ Boston College |
41-10 |
-5.0
W
|
49/27 |
185/190 |
3.8/7.0 |
0/1 |
20/4 |
32/13 |
231/16 |
1/2 |
3/2 |
6.6/1.1 |
416/206 |
5.0/4.9 |
| 12/04/21 Pittsburgh |
21-45 |
-3.5
L
|
34/30 |
117/179 |
3.4/6.0 |
0/0 |
22/21 |
46/34 |
178/236 |
4/0 |
5/3 |
3.5/6.4 |
295/415 |
3.5/6.2 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2021 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/04/21 Temple |
61-14 |
-14.0
W
|
50/33 |
226/121 |
4.5/3.7 |
0/3 |
16/8 |
29/27 |
148/134 |
0/2 |
0/3 |
5.1/4.5 |
374/255 |
4.7/4.0 |
| 09/11/21 @ Syracuse |
17-7 |
-2.0
W
|
37/24 |
84/106 |
2.3/4.4 |
0/2 |
22/19 |
28/32 |
118/156 |
0/1 |
4/6 |
3.7/4.1 |
202/262 |
2.9/4.2 |
| 09/18/21 Delaware |
45-13 |
0.0
W
|
38/28 |
163/210 |
4.3/7.5 |
0/0 |
23/12 |
29/25 |
334/67 |
0/0 |
0/5 |
11.5/2.2 |
497/277 |
7.4/4.8 |
| 09/25/21 @ Michigan |
13-20 |
+20.5
W
|
41/35 |
198/116 |
4.8/3.3 |
1/0 |
18/9 |
31/16 |
154/161 |
0/0 |
1/1 |
4.8/9.5 |
352/277 |
4.8/5.3 |
| 10/02/21 Ohio St. |
13-52 |
+15.0
L
|
29/35 |
102/227 |
3.5/6.5 |
0/0 |
28/18 |
39/27 |
220/332 |
3/0 |
2/1 |
5.4/11.9 |
322/559 |
4.6/8.9 |
| 10/09/21 Michigan St. |
13-31 |
+4.5
L
|
32/36 |
150/261 |
4.7/7.3 |
1/1 |
22/16 |
41/27 |
230/339 |
0/1 |
4/0 |
5.1/12.6 |
380/600 |
4.9/9.5 |
| 10/16/21 @ Northwestern |
7-21 |
-2.0
L
|
29/46 |
89/150 |
3.1/3.3 |
1/0 |
19/18 |
33/33 |
149/267 |
0/0 |
4/0 |
4.0/8.1 |
238/417 |
3.6/5.3 |
| 10/30/21 @ Illinois |
20-14 |
-1.5
W
|
50/30 |
235/110 |
4.7/3.7 |
0/0 |
13/14 |
27/19 |
170/190 |
0/0 |
0/0 |
6.3/10.0 |
405/300 |
5.3/6.1 |
| 11/06/21 Wisconsin |
3-52 |
+13.0
L
|
28/50 |
97/316 |
3.5/6.3 |
1/0 |
13/13 |
27/19 |
110/263 |
3/1 |
2/1 |
3.8/13.2 |
207/579 |
3.6/8.3 |
| 11/13/21 @ Indiana |
38-3 |
+6.5
W
|
50/31 |
218/99 |
4.4/3.2 |
0/4 |
10/18 |
19/42 |
102/172 |
0/2 |
0/1 |
5.4/4.0 |
320/271 |
4.6/3.7 |
| 11/20/21 @ Penn St. |
0-28 |
+14.0
L
|
30/41 |
77/151 |
2.6/3.7 |
0/0 |
14/20 |
28/32 |
95/300 |
1/0 |
2/1 |
3.2/9.1 |
172/451 |
2.9/6.1 |
| 11/27/21 Maryland |
16-40 |
+1.5
L
|
33/41 |
168/290 |
5.1/7.1 |
0/0 |
16/21 |
30/30 |
173/295 |
1/0 |
0/2 |
5.8/9.2 |
341/585 |
5.4/8.0 |
Wake Forest
vs 
Rutgers