Game Analysis

Strong Opinion – North Carolina Team Total Over (37.5)

Lean – NORTH CAROLINA (-10)  43   Wake Forest  29

Lean – Over (64)

I expect a lot of points scored in the calm conditions (zero wind) expected in Chapel Hill on Saturday night, and North Carolina will likely do most of that scoring. The Tarheels are 0.9 yards per play better than average offensively with Criswell at quarterback and have averaged 35.6 points in the 7 games with him taking all or the majority of snaps with all but one of those games being against a better than average defensive team.

Wake Forest is a bad defensive team that rates at 0.4 yppl worse than average and has given up 35.1 points per game. The Demon Deacons have faced 3 better than average offensive teams and they gave up an average of 43.3 points in those games against Ole Miss, UL Lafayette and Clemson. I expect North Carolina to top 40 points in this game. My math likes UNC and the Over so the Tarheels’ Team Total Over looks like the Best way to play this game.

The North Carolina Team Total Over is a Strong Opinion at 38 or less.