Game Analysis
Lean – Over (52.5) – VIRGINIA (+2.5) 30 Virginia Tech 29
Virginia’s offense is significantly better with Anthony Colandrea at quarterback, as his compensated yards per pass play (8.0 comp yppp) is 2.9 yppp higher than Tony Muskett’s 5.1 compensated yppp. Virginia Tech, meanwhile, is better offensively when you take out their two bad offensive performances at the beginning of the season before Kyron Drones took over at quarterback and added a running element (746 yards on 113 runs).
The math favors the Hokies by 2 points, with 59.7 total points, but the Cavaliers apply to a 60-19-2 ATS home momentum situation.
Rush
-
Run Plays
34.7
32.1
-
Run Yards
185.4
183.2
-
YPRP
5.3
5.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
16.4
15.1
-
Pass Att
28.4
24.8
-
Comp %
57.7%
60.8%
-
Pass Yards
208.0
167.1
-
Sacks
2.3
2.9
-
Sack Yards
14.2
18.9
-
Sack %
7.4%
10.5%
-
Pass Plays
30.6
27.7
-
Net Pass Yards
193.8
148.2
-
YPPP
6.3
5.3
Total
-
Total Plays
65.4
59.8
-
Total Yards
379.2
331.4
-
YPPL
5.8
5.5
TO
-
Int
0.5
0.6
-
Int %
1.6%
2.2%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.1
1.0
Rush
-
Run Plays
34.6
34.4
-
Run Yards
150.3
185.0
-
YPRP
4.3
5.4
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.9
20.2
-
Pass Att
31.7
32.2
-
Comp %
62.7%
62.7%
-
Pass Yards
251.6
233.0
-
Sacks
3.4
1.0
-
Sack Yards
22.0
5.8
-
Sack %
9.6%
3.0%
-
Pass Plays
35.1
33.2
-
Net Pass Yards
229.6
227.2
-
YPPP
6.5
6.8
Total
-
Total Plays
69.7
67.5
-
Total Yards
379.8
412.2
-
YPPL
5.4
6.1
TO
-
Int
1.2
0.7
-
Int %
3.7%
2.3%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.6
1.2
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/02/23 Old Dominion |
36-17 |
-16.0
W
|
42/37 |
120/237 |
2.9/6.4 |
0/2 |
18/13 |
30/25 |
259/77 |
0/1 |
0/5 |
8.6/2.6 |
379/314 |
5.3/4.7 |
| 09/09/23 Purdue |
17-24 |
-2.5
L
|
19/41 |
49/200 |
2.6/4.9 |
0/0 |
18/23 |
40/34 |
242/232 |
2/0 |
3/2 |
5.6/6.4 |
291/432 |
4.7/5.6 |
| 09/16/23 @ Rutgers |
16-35 |
+7.0
L
|
34/34 |
141/256 |
4.1/7.5 |
1/0 |
19/7 |
32/16 |
185/46 |
1/0 |
4/0 |
5.1/2.9 |
326/302 |
4.7/6.0 |
| 09/23/23 @ Marshall |
17-24 |
+6.5
L
|
26/41 |
211/229 |
8.1/5.6 |
1/0 |
19/16 |
35/27 |
133/154 |
0/2 |
4/2 |
3.4/5.3 |
344/383 |
5.3/5.5 |
| 09/30/23 Pittsburgh |
38-21 |
+2.5
W
|
55/20 |
239/72 |
4.3/3.6 |
1/1 |
12/11 |
19/22 |
210/201 |
0/0 |
3/4 |
9.5/7.7 |
449/273 |
5.8/5.9 |
| 10/07/23 @ Florida St. |
17-39 |
+25.5
W
|
33/31 |
197/304 |
6.0/9.8 |
1/0 |
14/18 |
27/25 |
91/160 |
0/0 |
2/2 |
3.1/5.9 |
288/464 |
4.6/8.0 |
| 10/14/23 Wake Forest |
30-13 |
-1.5
W
|
34/24 |
148/83 |
4.4/3.5 |
1/2 |
20/22 |
29/39 |
318/181 |
0/1 |
1/7 |
10.6/3.9 |
466/264 |
7.3/3.8 |
| 10/26/23 Syracuse |
38-10 |
-3.0
W
|
51/17 |
327/54 |
6.4/3.2 |
0/0 |
16/12 |
26/18 |
201/83 |
0/0 |
2/8 |
7.2/3.2 |
528/137 |
6.7/3.2 |
| 11/04/23 @ Louisville |
3-34 |
+9.5
L
|
24/37 |
111/238 |
4.6/6.4 |
0/0 |
13/12 |
23/13 |
39/144 |
1/0 |
4/1 |
1.4/10.3 |
150/382 |
2.9/7.5 |
| 11/11/23 @ Boston College |
48-22 |
-1.5
W
|
50/28 |
369/127 |
7.4/4.5 |
2/0 |
14/13 |
21/27 |
231/138 |
0/2 |
1/0 |
10.5/5.1 |
600/265 |
8.3/4.8 |
| 11/18/23 No Carolina St. |
28-35 |
-2.5
L
|
14/43 |
127/215 |
9.1/5.0 |
0/0 |
17/19 |
30/27 |
223/214 |
1/0 |
1/1 |
7.2/7.6 |
350/429 |
7.8/6.0 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/02/23 @ Tennessee |
13-49 |
+28.0
L
|
33/51 |
125/291 |
3.8/5.7 |
0/1 |
11/23 |
24/33 |
79/283 |
0/0 |
5/1 |
2.7/8.3 |
204/574 |
3.3/6.8 |
| 09/09/23 James Madison |
35-36 |
+6.5
W
|
31/32 |
53/170 |
1.7/5.3 |
0/0 |
20/21 |
26/32 |
346/227 |
1/0 |
4/1 |
11.5/6.9 |
399/397 |
6.5/6.1 |
| 09/15/23 @ Maryland |
14-42 |
+15.5
L
|
28/30 |
124/135 |
4.4/4.5 |
1/0 |
23/19 |
39/30 |
243/333 |
3/0 |
2/1 |
5.9/10.7 |
367/468 |
5.3/7.7 |
| 09/22/23 No Carolina St. |
21-24 |
+9.0
W
|
38/34 |
127/154 |
3.3/4.5 |
0/0 |
18/15 |
30/30 |
258/165 |
2/1 |
2/2 |
8.1/5.2 |
385/319 |
5.5/4.8 |
| 09/30/23 @ Boston College |
24-27 |
+3.5
W
|
24/44 |
93/211 |
3.9/4.8 |
0/2 |
22/16 |
34/26 |
213/184 |
1/2 |
5/0 |
5.5/7.1 |
306/395 |
4.9/5.6 |
| 10/07/23 William & Mary |
27-13 |
0.0
W
|
41/38 |
261/148 |
6.4/3.9 |
1/1 |
17/14 |
26/19 |
192/72 |
1/0 |
4/0 |
6.4/3.8 |
453/220 |
6.4/3.9 |
| 10/21/23 @ North Carolina |
31-27 |
+23.5
W
|
51/27 |
238/152 |
4.7/5.6 |
1/0 |
20/24 |
30/48 |
199/338 |
1/1 |
2/2 |
6.2/6.8 |
437/490 |
5.3/6.4 |
| 10/28/23 @ Miami Fla |
26-29 |
+18.5
W
|
39/25 |
168/117 |
4.3/4.7 |
0/0 |
24/20 |
38/30 |
209/163 |
1/2 |
6/0 |
4.8/5.4 |
377/280 |
4.5/5.1 |
| 11/04/23 Georgia Tech |
17-45 |
-1.5
L
|
27/43 |
130/306 |
4.8/7.1 |
1/0 |
23/25 |
40/33 |
221/228 |
2/0 |
2/1 |
5.3/6.7 |
351/534 |
5.1/6.9 |
| 11/09/23 @ Louisville |
24-31 |
+20.5
W
|
31/27 |
153/191 |
4.9/7.1 |
1/0 |
20/19 |
32/28 |
294/234 |
1/1 |
4/2 |
8.2/7.8 |
447/425 |
6.7/7.5 |
| 11/18/23 Duke |
30-27 |
+3.5
W
|
38/27 |
181/160 |
4.8/5.9 |
0/1 |
21/26 |
30/45 |
271/272 |
0/1 |
1/1 |
8.7/5.9 |
452/432 |
6.6/5.9 |
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