(25) Virginia Tech @

Pittsburgh

Thu, Oct 27
ESPN
4:00 PM Pacific
WatchESPN
Rotation: 107
Odds: Pittsburgh +3.5, Total: 57

Game Analysis

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Virginia Tech (-3 ½)  27   PITTSBURGH  24

Pitt has been a bit of a disappointment so far this season, but the Panthers are still a better than average team and they should be able to compete on their home floor with a good Virginia Tech squad. My math model actually favors the Hokies by 4 ½ points but Pitt applies to a 59-15 ATS situation that plays on underachieving teams (i.e. under 50% ATS) as home dogs after a bye and it’s an advantage to have had a bye week before a Thursday night game when your opponent played the previous week. Virginia Tech is coming off a satisfying win over Miami, so this is not a great spot for them. Still, the math does show a bit of value on the Hokies. I’ll lean slightly with Pitt based on the situation and my math model likes the Under (57 points).

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Virginia Tech
  • Pittsburgh
VTC
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 41.8 32.8
  • Run Yards 206.3 115.8
  • YPRP 5.1 4.0




Pass





  • Pass Comp 19.7 16.3
  • Pass Att 31.0 33.7
  • Comp % 63.5% 48.5%
  • Pass Yards 264.8 208.2
  • Sacks 1.5 2.8
  • Sack Yards 7.7 16.7
  • Sack % 4.6% 7.8%
  • Pass Plays 32.5 36.5
  • Net Pass Yards 257.2 191.5
  • YPPP 7.9 5.2

Total

  • Total Plays 74.3 69.3
  • Total Yards 471.2 324.0
  • YPPL 6.3 4.7

TO


  • Int 0.3 1.2
  • Int % 1.1% 3.5%
  • Fumbles 1.7 0.3
  • Turnovers 2.0 1.5
 
  • Points 35.9 17.9
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