Game Analysis
BOISE STATE (-3/-2.5) 35 Utah State 28
My math model only favors Boise by 2 points but the Broncos tend to play their best at home against other good teams. Boise is 23-5 ATS (26-2 SU) at home when not favored by 11 points or more and the Broncos apply to a 210-100-4 ATS late season home team situation.
Rush
-
Run Plays
36.0
37.1
-
Run Yards
205.1
138.5
-
YPRP
5.9
4.2
Pass
-
Pass Comp
22.3
19.5
-
Pass Att
34.0
36.4
-
Comp %
65.6%
53.6%
-
Pass Yards
286.5
237.5
-
Sacks
0.9
2.6
-
Sack Yards
6.1
17.9
-
Sack %
2.6%
6.7%
-
Pass Plays
34.9
39.0
-
Net Pass Yards
280.4
219.6
-
YPPP
8.0
5.6
Total
-
Total Plays
70.9
76.1
-
Total Yards
491.6
376.0
-
YPPL
6.9
4.9
TO
-
Int
0.4
1.7
-
Int %
1.2%
4.7%
-
Fumbles
0.9
0.9
-
Turnovers
1.3
2.6
Rush
-
Run Plays
34.4
30.9
-
Run Yards
154.5
132.9
-
YPRP
4.9
5.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
24.7
17.0
-
Pass Att
36.1
27.3
-
Comp %
68.5%
62.3%
-
Pass Yards
305.1
214.7
-
Sacks
2.6
3.4
-
Sack Yards
14.2
25.4
-
Sack %
6.6%
11.0%
-
Pass Plays
38.6
30.6
-
Net Pass Yards
290.9
189.4
-
YPPP
7.5
6.2
Total
-
Total Plays
73.0
61.5
-
Total Yards
459.5
347.6
-
YPPL
6.3
5.6
TO
-
Int
0.7
0.6
-
Int %
2.0%
2.0%
-
Fumbles
0.4
1.2
-
Turnovers
1.1
1.7
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 08/31/18 @ Michigan St. |
31-38 |
+23.5
W
|
22/36 |
46/189 |
2.1/5.3 |
0/1 |
29/23 |
44/33 |
300/264 |
2/1 |
2/3 |
6.5/7.3 |
346/453 |
5.1/6.3 |
| 09/08/18 New Mexico St. |
60-13 |
-23.0
W
|
42/40 |
300/143 |
7.1/3.6 |
1/2 |
17/20 |
31/37 |
166/135 |
1/3 |
3/5 |
4.9/3.2 |
466/278 |
6.1/3.4 |
| 09/13/18 Tennessee Tech |
73-12 |
0.0
W
|
39/42 |
336/159 |
8.6/3.8 |
2/1 |
30/8 |
35/24 |
291/68 |
0/1 |
0/1 |
8.3/2.7 |
627/227 |
8.5/3.4 |
| 09/22/18 Air Force |
42-32 |
-10.0
T
|
21/83 |
141/333 |
6.7/4.0 |
2/1 |
26/11 |
38/21 |
338/139 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
8.7/6.0 |
479/472 |
8.0/4.5 |
| 10/05/18 @ BYU |
45-20 |
+2.5
W
|
40/15 |
227/54 |
5.7/3.6 |
0/2 |
18/30 |
28/49 |
165/313 |
0/1 |
0/1 |
5.9/6.3 |
392/367 |
5.8/5.6 |
| 10/13/18 UNLV |
59-28 |
-27.0
W
|
38/41 |
221/213 |
5.8/5.2 |
1/0 |
22/18 |
31/36 |
377/196 |
0/1 |
0/7 |
12.2/4.6 |
598/409 |
8.7/4.9 |
| 10/20/18 @ Wyoming |
24-16 |
-14.0
L
|
31/49 |
148/239 |
4.8/4.9 |
0/1 |
12/10 |
28/24 |
47/92 |
1/1 |
1/1 |
1.6/3.7 |
195/331 |
3.3/4.5 |
| 10/27/18 New Mexico |
61-19 |
-20.0
W
|
46/29 |
207/79 |
4.5/2.7 |
3/1 |
30/18 |
42/37 |
507/212 |
0/4 |
2/1 |
11.5/5.6 |
714/291 |
7.9/4.3 |
| 11/03/18 @ Hawaii |
56-17 |
-18.0
W
|
53/17 |
427/52 |
8.1/3.1 |
1/0 |
19/19 |
24/48 |
175/341 |
0/2 |
0/3 |
7.3/6.7 |
602/393 |
7.8/5.8 |
| 11/10/18 San Jose St. |
62-24 |
-31.0
W
|
39/19 |
254/51 |
6.5/2.7 |
0/1 |
35/22 |
50/42 |
560/220 |
0/2 |
0/1 |
11.2/5.1 |
814/271 |
9.1/4.4 |
| 11/17/18 @ Colorado St. |
29-24 |
-28.0
L
|
28/42 |
141/211 |
5.0/5.0 |
1/0 |
15/24 |
24/37 |
169/284 |
0/2 |
0/2 |
7.0/7.3 |
310/495 |
6.0/6.1 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/01/18 @ Troy |
56-20 |
-10.0
W
|
24/38 |
125/173 |
5.2/4.6 |
1/3 |
20/24 |
28/34 |
298/216 |
0/1 |
1/5 |
10.3/5.5 |
423/389 |
8.0/5.1 |
| 09/08/18 Connecticut |
62-7 |
-31.5
W
|
43/24 |
380/125 |
8.8/5.2 |
0/0 |
25/11 |
33/21 |
418/68 |
0/1 |
0/1 |
12.7/3.1 |
798/193 |
10.5/4.2 |
| 09/15/18 @ Oklahoma St. |
21-44 |
+2.0
L
|
24/34 |
83/197 |
3.5/5.8 |
1/0 |
39/16 |
56/27 |
331/227 |
0/0 |
7/3 |
5.3/7.6 |
414/424 |
4.8/6.6 |
| 09/29/18 @ Wyoming |
34-14 |
-17.0
W
|
43/18 |
165/145 |
3.8/8.1 |
0/0 |
29/15 |
43/25 |
342/99 |
0/0 |
2/5 |
7.6/3.3 |
507/244 |
5.8/5.1 |
| 10/06/18 San Diego St. |
13-19 |
-14.0
L
|
31/36 |
91/180 |
2.9/5.0 |
0/2 |
22/8 |
44/15 |
148/85 |
3/0 |
4/4 |
3.1/4.5 |
239/265 |
3.0/4.8 |
| 10/13/18 @ Nevada |
31-27 |
-14.5
L
|
38/23 |
148/91 |
3.9/4.0 |
1/2 |
28/23 |
38/41 |
293/273 |
3/1 |
2/1 |
7.3/6.5 |
441/364 |
5.7/5.6 |
| 10/19/18 Colorado St. |
56-28 |
-24.0
W
|
33/22 |
172/143 |
5.2/6.5 |
0/1 |
23/28 |
27/44 |
295/306 |
0/2 |
4/3 |
9.5/6.5 |
467/449 |
7.3/6.5 |
| 10/27/18 @ Air Force |
48-38 |
-9.5
W
|
28/47 |
149/226 |
5.3/4.8 |
0/0 |
22/11 |
36/16 |
391/219 |
0/0 |
2/3 |
10.3/11.5 |
540/445 |
8.2/6.7 |
| 11/03/18 BYU |
21-16 |
-13.5
L
|
35/30 |
118/167 |
3.4/5.6 |
1/3 |
23/19 |
35/28 |
209/236 |
1/0 |
2/7 |
5.6/6.7 |
327/403 |
4.5/6.2 |
| 11/09/18 Fresno St. |
24-17 |
+2.5
W
|
41/25 |
184/129 |
4.5/5.2 |
0/0 |
24/24 |
30/35 |
266/259 |
1/0 |
1/3 |
8.6/6.8 |
450/388 |
6.3/6.2 |
| 11/16/18 @ New Mexico |
45-14 |
-21.5
W
|
38/43 |
240/165 |
6.3/3.8 |
0/2 |
17/8 |
27/14 |
209/95 |
0/1 |
3/2 |
7.0/5.9 |
449/260 |
6.6/4.4 |
