Game Analysis
Utah (+2 ½) 33 CALIFORNIA 31
Utah is not a great team but the Utes are good enough to beat a Cal team that is just as bad defensively as they are good offensively. The Bears are great offensively, averaging 595 yards and 6.7 yards per play against teams that would allow 6.1 yppl to an average team, but they’ve allowed 493 yards at 6.4 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.7 yppl against an average defensive team. Cal racks up more total yards because they generally run more plays than their opponents but that may not be the case against a Utah team that has a ball control offense and a defense that is historically good on 3rd downs (opponents have converted on only 18 of 50 so far this season).
The only thing relatively good about Cal’s defense was their secondary but the Bears have lost 4 of their top 6 defensive backs to injury and last week gave up 8 yards per pass play to Arizona State after having allowed a respectable 6.0 yppp in their first 3 games while relatively healthy. Utah will play ball control and limit the Bears’ chances on offense and my math favors the Utes to win this game.
Rush
-
Run Plays
42.5
22.8
-
Run Yards
190.0
118.0
-
YPRP
4.7
6.0
Pass
-
Pass Comp
20.0
20.8
-
Pass Att
32.5
35.0
-
Comp %
61.5%
59.3%
-
Pass Yards
244.0
248.3
-
Sacks
1.0
3.5
-
Sack Yards
8.0
18.0
-
Sack %
3.0%
9.1%
-
Pass Plays
33.5
38.5
-
Net Pass Yards
236.0
230.3
-
YPPP
7.0
6.0
Total
-
Total Plays
76.0
61.3
-
Total Yards
434.0
366.3
-
YPPL
5.7
6.0
TO
-
Int
1.0
1.5
-
Int %
3.1%
4.3%
-
Fumbles
1.3
1.0
-
Turnovers
2.3
2.5
Rush
-
Run Plays
26.8
45.4
-
Run Yards
120.8
248.2
-
YPRP
5.3
5.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
32.0
19.8
-
Pass Att
51.4
33.8
-
Comp %
62.3%
58.6%
-
Pass Yards
428.0
236.0
-
Sacks
2.4
1.8
-
Sack Yards
21.8
8.4
-
Sack %
4.5%
5.1%
-
Pass Plays
53.8
35.6
-
Net Pass Yards
406.2
227.6
-
YPPP
7.6
6.4
Total
-
Total Plays
80.6
81.0
-
Total Yards
548.8
484.2
-
YPPL
6.8
6.0
TO
-
Int
1.2
1.0
-
Int %
2.3%
3.0%
-
Fumbles
0.4
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.6
1.6
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/01/16 Southern Utah |
24-0 |
0.0
W
|
35/29 |
142/126 |
4.1/4.3 |
1/1 |
23/6 |
39/18 |
283/22 |
0/1 |
2/3 |
6.9/1.0 |
425/148 |
5.6/3.0 |
09/10/16 BYU |
20-19 |
-3.5
L
|
41/25 |
171/159 |
4.2/6.4 |
3/0 |
14/22 |
23/40 |
185/173 |
3/3 |
0/2 |
8.0/4.1 |
356/332 |
5.6/5.0 |
09/17/16 @ San Jose St. |
34-17 |
-13.0
W
|
31/21 |
249/103 |
8.0/4.9 |
1/1 |
21/21 |
30/39 |
227/203 |
1/2 |
3/10 |
6.9/4.1 |
476/306 |
7.4/4.4 |
09/23/16 USC |
31-27 |
-3.0
W
|
47/32 |
185/214 |
3.9/6.7 |
1/3 |
21/18 |
34/26 |
270/251 |
0/0 |
0/1 |
7.9/9.3 |
455/465 |
5.6/7.9 |
10/01/16 @ California |
23-28 |
+2.0
L
|
51/13 |
187/68 |
3.7/5.2 |
0/0 |
24/22 |
43/35 |
262/294 |
0/1 |
1/1 |
6.0/8.2 |
449/362 |
4.7/7.4 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/26/16 Hawaii |
51-31 |
-20.0
T
|
33/38 |
211/248 |
6.4/6.5 |
0/2 |
38/17 |
54/34 |
419/234 |
0/1 |
2/0 |
7.5/6.9 |
630/482 |
7.1/6.7 |
09/10/16 @ San Diego St. |
40-45 |
+6.5
W
|
20/45 |
96/346 |
4.8/7.7 |
1/1 |
41/14 |
72/23 |
505/121 |
3/1 |
2/1 |
6.8/5.0 |
601/467 |
6.4/6.8 |
09/17/16 Texas |
50-43 |
+7.0
W
|
35/48 |
152/320 |
4.3/6.7 |
0/0 |
27/23 |
40/39 |
366/248 |
0/2 |
3/3 |
8.5/5.9 |
518/568 |
6.6/6.3 |
09/24/16 @ Arizona St. |
41-51 |
+4.0
L
|
33/45 |
186/182 |
5.6/4.0 |
1/0 |
32/21 |
56/30 |
447/273 |
2/1 |
4/4 |
7.5/8.0 |
633/455 |
6.8/5.8 |
10/01/16 Utah |
28-23 |
-2.0
W
|
13/51 |
68/187 |
5.2/3.7 |
0/0 |
22/24 |
35/43 |
294/262 |
1/0 |
1/1 |
8.2/6.0 |
362/449 |
7.4/4.7 |