(18) Utah @

California

Sat, Oct 1
Pac-12 Network
3:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 183
Odds: California -2.5, Total: 65

Game Analysis

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Utah (+2 ½)  33  CALIFORNIA  31

Utah is not a great team but the Utes are good enough to beat a Cal team that is just as bad defensively as they are good offensively. The Bears are great offensively, averaging 595 yards and 6.7 yards per play against teams that would allow 6.1 yppl to an average team, but they’ve allowed 493 yards at 6.4 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.7 yppl against an average defensive team. Cal racks up more total yards because they generally run more plays than their opponents but that may not be the case against a Utah team that has a ball control offense and a defense that is historically good on 3rd downs (opponents have converted on only 18 of 50 so far this season).

The only thing relatively good about Cal’s defense was their secondary but the Bears have lost 4 of their top 6 defensive backs to injury and last week gave up 8 yards per pass play to Arizona State after having allowed a respectable 6.0 yppp in their first 3 games while relatively healthy. Utah will play ball control and limit the Bears’ chances on offense and my math favors the Utes to win this game.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Utah
  • California
UTAH
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 42.5 22.8
  • Run Yards 190.0 118.0
  • YPRP 4.7 6.0




Pass





  • Pass Comp 20.0 20.8
  • Pass Att 32.5 35.0
  • Comp % 61.5% 59.3%
  • Pass Yards 244.0 248.3
  • Sacks 1.0 3.5
  • Sack Yards 8.0 18.0
  • Sack % 3.0% 9.1%
  • Pass Plays 33.5 38.5
  • Net Pass Yards 236.0 230.3
  • YPPP 7.0 6.0

Total

  • Total Plays 76.0 61.3
  • Total Yards 434.0 366.3
  • YPPL 5.7 6.0

TO


  • Int 1.0 1.5
  • Int % 3.1% 4.3%
  • Fumbles 1.3 1.0
  • Turnovers 2.3 2.5
 
  • Points 26.4 18.2
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