UNLV @

New Mexico

Sat, Nov 4
MW Network
3:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 415
Odds: New Mexico +10, Total: 61

Game Analysis

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Lean – Nevada-Las Vegas (-10)  41   NEW MEXICO  27

New Mexico has the worst defense in the nation in terms of yards per play, compensated by opposing offenses faced and UNLV has scored 44 points, 40 points, 45 points, 44 points, and 45 points in 5 games against worse than average defensive teams this season.

UNLV’s defense has struggled since losing star S Jerrae Williams after 4 games (he may come back this season) and New Mexico has a capable offense that has averaged 25.3 points and 5.8 yards per play in 7 games against FBS competition (they rate at 0.1 yppl worse than average). However, UNLV should be able to put some distance between them and the Lobos and win by double-digits.

I will lean with UNLV at -10 or less but I think the better bet is their team total over 35.5 points given how they’ve gotten to 40 points or more all 5 times against bad defensive teams (and New Mexico is the worst defensive team).

 

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • UNLV
  • New Mexico
UNLV
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 41.3 28.4
  • Run Yards 200.6 131.4
  • YPRP 4.9 4.6




Pass





  • Pass Comp 18.3 20.1
  • Pass Att 29.6 33.7
  • Comp % 61.9% 59.7%
  • Pass Yards 233.3 274.1
  • Sacks 1.7 2.7
  • Sack Yards 8.7 18.7
  • Sack % 5.5% 7.4%
  • Pass Plays 31.3 36.4
  • Net Pass Yards 224.6 255.4
  • YPPP 7.2 7.0

Total

  • Total Plays 72.6 64.9
  • Total Yards 425.2 386.9
  • YPPL 5.9 6.0

TO


  • Int 0.7 1.4
  • Int % 2.4% 4.2%
  • Fumbles 0.4 0.7
  • Turnovers 1.1 2.1
 
  • Points 34.3 26.9
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