UNLV @

Boise St.

Sat, Oct 18
Fox Sports 1
12:30 PM Pacific
Rotation: 369
Odds: Boise St. -12.5, Total: 62.5

Game Analysis

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Lean – BOISE STATE (-12.5)  39   Nevada-Las Vegas  21

UNLV had a good offense that’s averaged 38 points 7.1 yards per play but they’ve faced a schedule of opponents that would combine to allow 35.1 points and 6.4 yppl to an average team. That unit should be slowed down by a Boise defense that’s been 0.6 yppl better than average so far this season – although I do expect the Rebels’ ground attack to work well.

UNLV has faced two better than average defensive teams in Miami-Ohio and Wyoming and the Rebels averaged just 388 yards at 5.3 yppl in those two games.

The issue with UNLV is a defense that’s been worse than their offense has been good. The Rebels have yielded 6.3 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.4 yppl against an average defensive team and Boise State has a better than average offense (6.3 yppl against teams that would allow 6.0 yppl to an average team) that should eventually pull away in this game.

Boise also applies to a 151-76-2 ATS situation while UNLV applies to a 36-86-2 ATS situation.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • UNLV
  • Boise St.
UNLV
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 33.2 32.8
  • Run Yards 218.0 199.8
  • YPRP 6.6 6.1




Pass





  • Pass Comp 18.8 21.5
  • Pass Att 27.5 36.8
  • Comp % 68.5% 58.4%
  • Pass Yards 240.8 255.0
  • Sacks 2.0 1.2
  • Sack Yards 14.8 6.2
  • Sack % 6.8% 3.1%
  • Pass Plays 29.5 38.0
  • Net Pass Yards 226.0 248.8
  • YPPP 7.7 6.5

Total

  • Total Plays 62.7 70.8
  • Total Yards 444.0 448.7
  • YPPL 7.1 6.3

TO


  • Int 0.5 1.5
  • Int % 1.8% 4.1%
  • Fumbles 0.3 0.8
  • Turnovers 0.8 2.3
 
  • Points 38.2 29.7
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