Game Analysis
BOISE STATE (-29 ½) 45 Unlv 20
My math model only favors Boise State by 24 ½ points and the Broncos are just 2-18 ATS as a conference home favorite of more than 11 points the last 6 seasons, including 0-3 ATS this season. That team trend is balanced out by a negative 37-94-3 ATS road underdog letdown situation that applies to UNLV that is based on their overtime upset win over Wyoming. I’ll lean with UNLV based on the math.
Rush
-
Run Plays
43.1
37.1
-
Run Yards
254.0
174.7
-
YPRP
6.1
5.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
12.0
18.7
-
Pass Att
26.4
33.9
-
Comp %
45.4%
55.1%
-
Pass Yards
166.4
274.7
-
Sacks
1.0
1.8
-
Sack Yards
8.1
12.9
-
Sack %
3.6%
5.0%
-
Pass Plays
27.4
35.7
-
Net Pass Yards
158.3
261.8
-
YPPP
5.8
7.3
Total
-
Total Plays
70.6
72.8
-
Total Yards
420.4
449.3
-
YPPL
6.0
6.2
TO
-
Int
1.0
0.3
-
Int %
3.8%
1.0%
-
Fumbles
0.2
0.9
-
Turnovers
1.2
1.2
Rush
-
Run Plays
36.4
34.0
-
Run Yards
184.2
168.4
-
YPRP
5.3
5.4
Pass
-
Pass Comp
20.1
22.6
-
Pass Att
30.7
37.5
-
Comp %
65.5%
60.3%
-
Pass Yards
314.2
223.6
-
Sacks
1.4
2.6
-
Sack Yards
9.3
14.8
-
Sack %
4.4%
6.5%
-
Pass Plays
32.1
40.1
-
Net Pass Yards
304.9
208.8
-
YPPP
9.5
5.2
Total
-
Total Plays
68.5
74.1
-
Total Yards
498.4
392.0
-
YPPL
7.3
5.3
TO
-
Int
0.6
0.5
-
Int %
2.0%
1.3%
-
Fumbles
0.7
0.2
-
Turnovers
1.3
0.7
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/01/16 Jackson State |
63-13 |
0.0
W
|
43/34 |
287/119 |
6.7/3.5 |
1/1 |
11/17 |
13/43 |
223/140 |
0/2 |
0/1 |
17.2/3.2 |
510/259 |
9.1/3.3 |
| 09/10/16 @ UCLA |
21-42 |
+26.5
W
|
34/39 |
183/227 |
5.4/5.8 |
0/1 |
11/24 |
28/39 |
145/272 |
2/0 |
1/1 |
5.0/6.8 |
328/499 |
5.2/6.3 |
| 09/17/16 @ Central Mich |
21-44 |
+12.5
L
|
37/34 |
193/147 |
5.2/4.3 |
0/1 |
15/20 |
41/35 |
120/352 |
2/0 |
1/0 |
2.9/10.1 |
313/499 |
4.0/7.2 |
| 09/24/16 Idaho |
30-33 |
-14.5
L
|
49/33 |
364/145 |
7.4/4.4 |
0/1 |
14/17 |
26/35 |
175/233 |
2/0 |
0/3 |
6.7/6.1 |
539/378 |
7.2/5.3 |
| 10/01/16 Fresno St. |
45-20 |
-9.5
W
|
53/30 |
371/99 |
7.0/3.3 |
0/0 |
8/16 |
16/45 |
129/276 |
0/1 |
0/2 |
8.1/5.9 |
500/375 |
7.2/4.9 |
| 10/08/16 @ San Diego St. |
7-26 |
+16.0
L
|
34/51 |
138/265 |
4.1/5.2 |
0/1 |
2/15 |
13/20 |
-10/195 |
1/0 |
2/3 |
-0.7/8.5 |
128/460 |
2.6/6.2 |
| 10/15/16 @ Hawaii |
41-38 |
+8.5
W
|
50/31 |
267/251 |
5.3/8.1 |
0/1 |
19/17 |
29/32 |
279/198 |
0/0 |
0/1 |
9.6/6.0 |
546/449 |
6.9/7.0 |
| 10/22/16 Colorado St. |
23-42 |
-2.5
L
|
32/50 |
182/230 |
5.7/4.6 |
1/1 |
7/21 |
23/28 |
185/237 |
1/0 |
0/0 |
8.0/8.5 |
367/467 |
6.7/6.0 |
| 10/29/16 @ San Jose St. |
24-30 |
-2.5
L
|
37/36 |
236/160 |
6.4/4.4 |
0/0 |
12/24 |
30/40 |
166/268 |
1/0 |
3/4 |
5.0/6.1 |
402/428 |
5.7/5.4 |
| 11/12/16 Wyoming |
69-66 |
+7.5
W
|
62/30 |
425/164 |
6.9/5.5 |
1/2 |
20/14 |
32/31 |
236/325 |
0/2 |
2/2 |
6.9/9.8 |
661/489 |
6.9/7.8 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/16 @ UL Lafayette |
45-10 |
-20.0
W
|
36/34 |
164/137 |
4.6/4.0 |
0/0 |
24/21 |
35/33 |
417/148 |
0/0 |
1/5 |
11.6/3.9 |
581/285 |
8.1/4.0 |
| 09/10/16 Washington St. |
31-28 |
-11.0
L
|
26/18 |
121/51 |
4.7/2.8 |
0/0 |
19/55 |
35/71 |
299/469 |
3/1 |
0/2 |
8.5/6.4 |
420/520 |
6.9/5.7 |
| 09/24/16 @ Oregon St. |
38-24 |
-13.0
W
|
38/29 |
292/127 |
7.7/4.4 |
2/1 |
20/22 |
37/34 |
222/160 |
0/0 |
2/6 |
5.7/4.0 |
514/287 |
6.7/4.2 |
| 10/01/16 Utah St. |
21-10 |
-21.5
L
|
39/21 |
163/93 |
4.2/4.4 |
1/0 |
16/29 |
25/50 |
215/265 |
0/0 |
1/4 |
8.3/4.9 |
378/358 |
5.8/4.8 |
| 10/07/16 @ New Mexico |
49-21 |
-19.0
W
|
27/58 |
73/410 |
2.7/7.1 |
0/0 |
21/4 |
30/15 |
391/20 |
0/1 |
0/3 |
13.0/1.1 |
464/430 |
8.1/5.7 |
| 10/15/16 Colorado St. |
28-23 |
-28.5
L
|
46/34 |
230/191 |
5.0/5.6 |
0/0 |
17/17 |
25/31 |
214/184 |
0/0 |
2/1 |
7.9/5.8 |
444/375 |
6.1/5.7 |
| 10/20/16 BYU |
28-27 |
-7.0
L
|
32/34 |
153/148 |
4.8/4.4 |
3/0 |
25/21 |
39/42 |
422/174 |
2/0 |
3/4 |
10.0/3.8 |
575/322 |
7.8/4.0 |
| 10/29/16 @ Wyoming |
28-30 |
-13.5
L
|
24/48 |
186/215 |
7.8/4.5 |
1/0 |
23/18 |
36/31 |
302/274 |
1/1 |
3/0 |
7.7/8.8 |
488/489 |
7.7/6.2 |
| 11/04/16 San Jose St. |
45-31 |
-29.0
L
|
53/32 |
304/226 |
5.7/7.1 |
0/0 |
16/23 |
21/36 |
213/269 |
0/1 |
1/1 |
9.7/7.3 |
517/495 |
6.9/7.2 |
| 11/12/16 @ Hawaii |
52-16 |
-21.5
W
|
43/32 |
249/234 |
5.8/7.3 |
0/1 |
20/16 |
24/32 |
354/125 |
0/1 |
1/0 |
14.2/3.9 |
603/359 |
8.9/5.6 |
UNLV
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