Game Analysis
Lean – FLORIDA STATE (-24) 42 Louisiana-Lafayette 13
My math model favors FSU by 26.0 points and the Seminoles apply to a very good 103-31-3 ATS big home favorite momentum situation that projects to 54.1% ATS going forward.
Rush
-
Run Plays
32.9
31.6
-
Run Yards
160.3
139.7
-
YPRP
4.9
4.4
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.3
20.0
-
Pass Att
34.2
34.8
-
Comp %
56.4%
57.5%
-
Pass Yards
225.2
228.9
-
Sacks
1.7
2.5
-
Sack Yards
8.9
13.3
-
Sack %
4.7%
6.7%
-
Pass Plays
35.9
37.3
-
Net Pass Yards
216.3
215.6
-
YPPP
6.0
5.8
Total
-
Total Plays
68.8
68.9
-
Total Yards
376.6
355.3
-
YPPL
5.5
5.2
TO
-
Int
0.8
1.3
-
Int %
2.3%
3.7%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.7
-
Turnovers
1.3
2.0
Rush
-
Run Plays
34.4
34.2
-
Run Yards
205.6
166.8
-
YPRP
6.0
4.9
Pass
-
Pass Comp
20.3
16.4
-
Pass Att
31.4
27.1
-
Comp %
64.7%
60.6%
-
Pass Yards
272.6
164.9
-
Sacks
1.8
3.1
-
Sack Yards
12.8
20.7
-
Sack %
5.4%
10.3%
-
Pass Plays
33.2
30.2
-
Net Pass Yards
259.8
144.2
-
YPPP
7.8
4.8
Total
-
Total Plays
67.7
64.4
-
Total Yards
465.3
311.0
-
YPPL
6.9
4.8
TO
-
Int
0.6
0.8
-
Int %
1.8%
2.9%
-
Fumbles
0.7
0.7
-
Turnovers
1.2
1.5
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/22 Southeastern Louisiana |
24-7 |
0.0
W
|
35/25 |
144/128 |
4.1/5.1 |
0/0 |
20/22 |
31/34 |
230/147 |
0/1 |
2/1 |
7.0/4.2 |
374/275 |
5.5/4.6 |
09/10/22 Eastern Mich |
49-21 |
-11.5
W
|
33/19 |
151/68 |
4.6/3.6 |
0/2 |
22/32 |
33/51 |
310/274 |
0/3 |
0/4 |
9.4/5.0 |
461/342 |
7.0/4.6 |
09/17/22 @ Rice |
21-33 |
-11.0
L
|
14/41 |
69/159 |
4.9/3.9 |
0/0 |
13/25 |
28/36 |
106/290 |
1/3 |
1/3 |
3.7/7.4 |
175/449 |
4.1/5.6 |
09/24/22 @ UL Monroe |
17-21 |
-9.5
L
|
33/38 |
145/233 |
4.4/6.1 |
1/1 |
25/14 |
41/26 |
248/186 |
1/1 |
3/1 |
5.6/6.9 |
393/419 |
5.1/6.4 |
10/01/22 South Alabama |
17-20 |
+8.5
W
|
28/35 |
186/130 |
6.6/3.7 |
1/1 |
22/18 |
36/41 |
105/231 |
2/1 |
1/2 |
2.8/5.4 |
291/361 |
4.5/4.6 |
10/12/22 @ Marshall |
23-13 |
+10.5
W
|
31/39 |
111/160 |
3.6/4.1 |
0/1 |
17/16 |
29/22 |
228/121 |
0/1 |
2/5 |
7.4/4.5 |
339/281 |
5.5/4.3 |
10/22/22 Arkansas St. |
38-18 |
-6.5
W
|
49/18 |
223/92 |
4.6/5.1 |
2/0 |
23/13 |
37/32 |
327/179 |
0/1 |
1/3 |
8.6/5.1 |
550/271 |
6.3/5.1 |
10/27/22 @ Southern Miss |
24-39 |
-1.0
L
|
26/45 |
115/160 |
4.4/3.6 |
1/1 |
21/9 |
46/18 |
320/188 |
3/1 |
4/1 |
6.4/9.9 |
435/348 |
5.7/5.4 |
11/05/22 Troy |
17-23 |
+3.5
L
|
42/33 |
214/172 |
5.1/5.2 |
0/0 |
13/21 |
29/35 |
99/205 |
0/1 |
2/3 |
3.2/5.4 |
313/377 |
4.3/5.3 |
11/10/22 Georgia Southern |
36-17 |
-3.5
W
|
38/23 |
245/95 |
6.4/4.1 |
0/1 |
17/30 |
32/53 |
190/335 |
1/0 |
1/2 |
5.8/6.1 |
435/430 |
6.1/5.5 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/27/22 Duquesne |
47-7 |
-41.5
L
|
53/29 |
413/99 |
7.8/3.4 |
0/0 |
14/7 |
22/17 |
225/65 |
1/0 |
1/1 |
9.8/3.6 |
638/164 |
8.4/3.5 |
09/04/22 @ LSU |
24-23 |
+4.0
W
|
36/25 |
132/172 |
3.7/6.9 |
1/2 |
20/26 |
33/35 |
260/190 |
0/0 |
2/4 |
7.4/4.9 |
392/362 |
5.5/5.7 |
09/16/22 @ Louisville |
35-31 |
-3.0
W
|
31/42 |
222/269 |
7.2/6.4 |
0/2 |
20/21 |
27/34 |
253/227 |
2/1 |
4/2 |
8.2/6.3 |
475/496 |
7.7/6.4 |
09/24/22 Boston College |
44-14 |
-18.0
W
|
33/31 |
182/92 |
5.5/3.0 |
0/0 |
19/18 |
31/29 |
371/122 |
0/2 |
0/3 |
12.0/3.8 |
553/214 |
8.6/3.4 |
10/01/22 Wake Forest |
21-31 |
-6.5
L
|
27/45 |
114/204 |
4.2/4.5 |
1/0 |
23/22 |
35/34 |
274/203 |
0/0 |
1/4 |
7.6/5.3 |
388/407 |
6.2/4.9 |
10/08/22 @ No Carolina St. |
17-19 |
+3.0
W
|
27/45 |
216/189 |
8.0/4.2 |
0/0 |
15/10 |
30/22 |
171/123 |
2/1 |
1/1 |
5.5/5.3 |
387/312 |
6.7/4.6 |
10/15/22 Clemson |
28-34 |
+4.5
L
|
32/38 |
227/186 |
7.1/4.9 |
1/0 |
24/15 |
42/23 |
233/191 |
0/0 |
2/3 |
5.3/7.3 |
460/377 |
6.1/5.9 |
10/29/22 Georgia Tech |
41-16 |
-24.0
W
|
42/25 |
257/94 |
6.1/3.8 |
2/0 |
24/20 |
38/31 |
389/166 |
0/0 |
1/5 |
10.0/4.6 |
646/260 |
8.0/4.3 |
11/05/22 @ Miami Fla |
45-3 |
-6.5
W
|
45/29 |
251/178 |
5.6/6.1 |
0/2 |
13/10 |
16/19 |
216/33 |
1/2 |
2/3 |
12.0/1.5 |
467/211 |
7.4/4.1 |
11/12/22 @ Syracuse |
38-3 |
-7.0
W
|
37/28 |
249/117 |
6.7/4.2 |
1/0 |
25/6 |
31/17 |
171/43 |
0/1 |
3/3 |
5.0/2.2 |
420/160 |
5.9/3.3 |