Game Analysis
USC (-5.5) 33 Ucla 30
This is a battle between USC’s elite offense and UCLA’s elite defense. Those type of strength vs strength games are tough to handicap but my math model has USC by 5 points. UCLA applies to a 74-27-3 ATS situation that plays on really good defensive teams as road underdogs off a loss.
Rush
-
Run Plays
36.7
25.2
-
Run Yards
197.3
98.1
-
YPRP
5.4
3.9
Pass
-
Pass Comp
18.0
21.6
-
Pass Att
31.9
36.1
-
Comp %
56.4%
59.7%
-
Pass Yards
233.3
228.3
-
Sacks
3.6
3.4
-
Sack Yards
22.0
22.1
-
Sack %
10.0%
8.7%
-
Pass Plays
35.5
39.6
-
Net Pass Yards
211.3
206.2
-
YPPP
6.0
5.2
Total
-
Total Plays
72.1
64.8
-
Total Yards
408.7
304.3
-
YPPL
5.7
4.7
TO
-
Int
1.2
1.1
-
Int %
3.8%
3.1%
-
Fumbles
0.7
0.7
-
Turnovers
1.9
1.8
Rush
-
Run Plays
25.4
34.8
-
Run Yards
174.9
200.6
-
YPRP
6.9
5.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
23.7
20.4
-
Pass Att
34.7
32.7
-
Comp %
68.3%
62.2%
-
Pass Yards
325.8
247.5
-
Sacks
2.7
2.2
-
Sack Yards
20.6
15.6
-
Sack %
7.3%
6.2%
-
Pass Plays
37.5
34.9
-
Net Pass Yards
305.2
231.9
-
YPPP
8.1
6.6
Total
-
Total Plays
62.8
69.7
-
Total Yards
480.1
432.5
-
YPPL
7.6
6.2
TO
-
Int
0.4
0.6
-
Int %
1.0%
2.0%
-
Fumbles
0.8
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.2
1.3
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/23 Coastal Carolina |
27-13 |
-14.5
L
|
28/30 |
161/84 |
5.8/2.8 |
0/1 |
17/28 |
29/43 |
260/261 |
3/2 |
1/4 |
8.7/5.6 |
421/345 |
7.3/4.5 |
09/09/23 @ San Diego St. |
35-10 |
-14.0
W
|
36/30 |
255/78 |
7.1/2.6 |
2/0 |
18/20 |
29/39 |
281/199 |
0/3 |
2/2 |
9.1/4.9 |
536/277 |
8.0/3.9 |
09/16/23 NC Central |
59-7 |
0.0
W
|
38/34 |
408/115 |
10.7/3.4 |
0/1 |
10/17 |
17/31 |
206/117 |
1/1 |
1/3 |
11.4/3.4 |
614/232 |
11.0/3.4 |
09/23/23 @ Utah |
7-14 |
+3.5
L
|
25/41 |
64/153 |
2.6/3.7 |
1/1 |
15/9 |
35/17 |
181/83 |
1/0 |
7/4 |
4.3/4.0 |
245/236 |
3.7/3.8 |
10/07/23 Washington St. |
25-17 |
-3.5
W
|
46/16 |
220/37 |
4.8/2.3 |
0/2 |
22/20 |
44/40 |
255/179 |
2/2 |
4/3 |
5.3/4.2 |
475/216 |
5.1/3.7 |
10/14/23 @ Oregon St. |
24-36 |
+3.5
L
|
45/25 |
252/145 |
5.6/5.8 |
0/1 |
15/16 |
34/26 |
151/273 |
3/0 |
5/2 |
3.9/9.8 |
403/418 |
4.8/7.9 |
10/21/23 @ Stanford |
42-7 |
-17.0
W
|
48/13 |
240/46 |
5.0/3.5 |
0/1 |
25/27 |
34/45 |
270/242 |
0/1 |
4/4 |
7.1/4.9 |
510/288 |
5.9/4.6 |
10/28/23 Colorado |
28-16 |
-15.0
L
|
42/17 |
228/76 |
5.4/4.5 |
2/0 |
20/27 |
28/43 |
259/166 |
2/0 |
3/7 |
8.4/3.3 |
487/242 |
6.7/3.6 |
11/04/23 @ Arizona |
10-27 |
-2.5
L
|
26/30 |
143/146 |
5.5/4.9 |
0/0 |
18/25 |
33/33 |
141/286 |
0/1 |
3/3 |
3.9/7.9 |
284/432 |
4.6/6.5 |
11/11/23 Arizona St. |
7-17 |
-16.5
L
|
34/25 |
213/118 |
6.3/4.7 |
1/0 |
12/22 |
21/39 |
104/167 |
0/1 |
3/2 |
4.3/4.1 |
317/285 |
5.5/4.3 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/26/23 San Jose St. |
56-28 |
-30.5
L
|
31/26 |
184/189 |
5.9/7.3 |
0/0 |
25/21 |
35/38 |
347/184 |
0/0 |
2/1 |
9.4/4.7 |
531/373 |
7.8/5.7 |
09/02/23 Nevada |
66-14 |
-38.0
W
|
18/33 |
191/111 |
10.6/3.4 |
1/1 |
25/21 |
34/34 |
420/172 |
0/0 |
1/5 |
12.0/4.4 |
611/283 |
11.5/3.9 |
09/09/23 Stanford |
56-10 |
-29.5
W
|
27/39 |
183/230 |
6.8/5.9 |
0/2 |
30/7 |
36/25 |
393/87 |
0/1 |
0/2 |
10.9/3.2 |
576/317 |
9.1/4.8 |
09/23/23 @ Arizona St. |
42-28 |
-34.5
L
|
25/24 |
231/132 |
9.2/5.5 |
1/1 |
20/23 |
31/39 |
308/221 |
0/1 |
2/8 |
9.3/4.7 |
539/353 |
9.3/5.0 |
09/30/23 @ Colorado |
48-41 |
-22.0
L
|
19/42 |
115/219 |
6.1/5.2 |
0/0 |
30/30 |
40/45 |
390/300 |
1/1 |
2/3 |
9.3/6.3 |
505/519 |
8.3/5.8 |
10/07/23 Arizona |
43-41 |
-21.0
L
|
29/39 |
170/221 |
5.9/5.7 |
1/0 |
14/25 |
25/35 |
194/285 |
0/1 |
4/3 |
6.7/7.5 |
364/506 |
6.3/6.6 |
10/14/23 @ Notre Dame |
20-48 |
+2.5
L
|
31/27 |
147/129 |
4.7/4.8 |
2/0 |
23/13 |
37/20 |
159/126 |
3/0 |
6/0 |
3.7/6.3 |
306/255 |
4.1/5.4 |
10/21/23 Utah |
32-34 |
-7.0
L
|
19/45 |
170/266 |
8.9/5.9 |
1/0 |
24/14 |
34/23 |
234/223 |
0/1 |
4/1 |
6.2/9.3 |
404/489 |
7.1/7.1 |
10/28/23 @ California |
50-49 |
-10.5
L
|
35/42 |
194/236 |
5.5/5.6 |
1/3 |
23/25 |
40/39 |
348/292 |
0/1 |
3/0 |
8.1/7.5 |
542/528 |
6.9/6.5 |
11/04/23 Washington |
42-52 |
+3.0
L
|
23/39 |
233/326 |
10.1/8.4 |
1/0 |
27/22 |
35/30 |
285/249 |
0/1 |
3/1 |
7.5/8.0 |
518/575 |
8.5/8.2 |
11/11/23 @ Oregon |
27-36 |
+16.0
W
|
22/27 |
106/148 |
4.8/5.5 |
1/0 |
20/23 |
35/32 |
279/412 |
0/0 |
3/0 |
7.3/12.9 |
385/560 |
6.4/9.5 |