Game Analysis
Lean – TULANE (-24) 37 Tulsa 9
Lean – Under (53)
Tulane is just average offensively on a national scale this season (with QB Michael Pratt in the game) but the Green Wave defense ahs allowed just 5.1 yards per play and 19.3 points per game and rates at 0.5 yppl better than average. Tulsa has averaged only 12 points in 3 games against better than average defensive teams this season and they’re expected to be without quarterback Cardell Williams, who injured his shoulder last week and has not thrown a ball in practice all week. Backup quarterbacks Braylon Braxton and Kirk Francis have combined for just 25 completions in 60 pass attempts for just 4.0 yards per pass play, which is well below the standards or Williams (6.2 yppp). Tulane has faced 3 below average offensive teams this season and they allowed just 20 total points in those games against Southern Miss, Nicholls State and East Carolina. I don’t expect Tulsa to top 10 points.
Tulsa has a bad defense (6.9 yppl and 39.1 ppg allowed) that rates at 1.0 yppl worse than average but Tulane has faced a lot of bad defensive teams this season and have yet to top 37 points, which is what my model projects for the Green Wave in this game.
Rush
-
Run Plays
43.3
30.4
-
Run Yards
199.9
158.6
-
YPRP
4.6
5.2
Pass
-
Pass Comp
13.5
23.4
-
Pass Att
25.3
35.5
-
Comp %
53.5%
65.9%
-
Pass Yards
161.8
309.4
-
Sacks
2.6
1.0
-
Sack Yards
17.6
5.5
-
Sack %
9.4%
2.7%
-
Pass Plays
27.9
36.5
-
Net Pass Yards
144.1
303.9
-
YPPP
5.2
8.3
Total
-
Total Plays
71.1
66.9
-
Total Yards
344.0
462.5
-
YPPL
4.8
6.9
TO
-
Int
1.8
0.8
-
Int %
6.9%
2.1%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.8
-
Turnovers
2.3
1.5
Rush
-
Run Plays
36.4
24.3
-
Run Yards
188.7
98.7
-
YPRP
5.2
4.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
16.7
22.1
-
Pass Att
25.6
34.2
-
Comp %
65.2%
64.6%
-
Pass Yards
232.3
234.9
-
Sacks
1.8
2.8
-
Sack Yards
11.0
18.7
-
Sack %
6.5%
7.5%
-
Pass Plays
27.3
37.0
-
Net Pass Yards
221.3
216.2
-
YPPP
8.1
5.8
Total
-
Total Plays
63.8
61.3
-
Total Yards
410.0
314.9
-
YPPL
6.4
5.1
TO
-
Int
0.6
1.1
-
Int %
2.2%
3.2%
-
Fumbles
0.9
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.5
1.7
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 08/31/23 Arkansas-Pine Bluff |
42-7 |
0.0
W
|
46/39 |
280/130 |
6.1/3.3 |
1/0 |
16/15 |
20/26 |
237/122 |
2/1 |
3/4 |
10.3/4.1 |
517/252 |
7.5/3.7 |
| 09/09/23 @ Washington |
10-43 |
+34.0
W
|
38/22 |
171/109 |
4.5/5.0 |
0/1 |
18/30 |
32/40 |
141/427 |
1/1 |
2/0 |
4.1/10.7 |
312/536 |
4.3/8.6 |
| 09/16/23 Oklahoma |
17-66 |
+28.5
L
|
43/26 |
103/123 |
2.4/4.7 |
0/1 |
17/30 |
27/35 |
192/476 |
5/1 |
3/0 |
6.4/13.6 |
295/599 |
4.0/9.8 |
| 09/23/23 @ Northern Ill |
22-14 |
+4.0
W
|
44/40 |
214/182 |
4.9/4.6 |
1/1 |
8/17 |
20/29 |
74/128 |
2/2 |
3/0 |
3.2/4.4 |
288/310 |
4.3/4.5 |
| 09/28/23 Temple |
48-26 |
-3.5
W
|
51/20 |
295/54 |
5.8/2.7 |
0/1 |
14/26 |
17/49 |
238/227 |
0/1 |
2/1 |
12.5/4.5 |
533/281 |
7.6/4.0 |
| 10/07/23 @ Florida Atl. |
17-20 |
+3.0
T
|
40/37 |
216/250 |
5.4/6.8 |
0/0 |
13/18 |
28/28 |
166/135 |
2/1 |
2/3 |
5.5/4.4 |
382/385 |
5.5/5.7 |
| 10/19/23 Rice |
10-42 |
-3.5
L
|
39/27 |
166/185 |
4.3/6.9 |
2/0 |
11/24 |
22/37 |
119/333 |
1/0 |
3/1 |
4.8/8.8 |
285/518 |
4.5/8.0 |
| 10/28/23 @ SMU |
10-69 |
+21.0
L
|
42/37 |
153/208 |
3.6/5.6 |
0/0 |
14/22 |
25/29 |
94/430 |
2/0 |
5/2 |
3.1/13.9 |
247/638 |
3.4/9.4 |
| 11/04/23 Charlotte |
26-33 |
-4.0
L
|
49/34 |
281/158 |
5.7/4.6 |
1/2 |
13/20 |
31/37 |
129/275 |
1/0 |
1/1 |
4.0/7.2 |
410/433 |
5.1/6.0 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/02/23 South Alabama |
37-17 |
-6.5
W
|
35/27 |
144/104 |
4.1/3.9 |
3/3 |
14/23 |
15/30 |
289/158 |
0/2 |
1/5 |
18.1/4.5 |
433/262 |
8.5/4.2 |
| 09/09/23 Mississippi |
20-37 |
+13.0
L
|
41/31 |
171/106 |
4.2/3.4 |
1/0 |
15/18 |
37/28 |
190/257 |
1/1 |
4/4 |
4.6/8.0 |
361/363 |
4.4/5.8 |
| 09/16/23 @ Southern Miss |
21-3 |
-8.0
W
|
31/24 |
160/71 |
5.2/3.0 |
0/0 |
12/19 |
19/34 |
166/151 |
0/0 |
3/4 |
7.5/4.0 |
326/222 |
6.2/3.6 |
| 09/23/23 Nicholls State |
36-7 |
0.0
W
|
26/23 |
173/98 |
6.7/4.3 |
1/0 |
23/24 |
30/39 |
258/204 |
2/4 |
2/3 |
8.1/4.9 |
431/302 |
7.4/4.6 |
| 09/30/23 UAB |
35-23 |
-21.5
L
|
40/36 |
266/184 |
6.7/5.1 |
2/1 |
14/28 |
23/36 |
181/249 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
7.5/6.6 |
447/433 |
7.0/5.9 |
| 10/13/23 @ Memphis |
31-21 |
-3.5
W
|
34/16 |
162/67 |
4.8/4.2 |
0/0 |
19/24 |
30/43 |
252/299 |
0/2 |
1/3 |
8.1/6.5 |
414/366 |
6.4/5.9 |
| 10/21/23 North Texas |
35-28 |
-20.0
L
|
46/22 |
246/91 |
5.3/4.1 |
1/1 |
15/35 |
21/51 |
194/334 |
1/0 |
0/2 |
9.2/6.3 |
440/425 |
6.6/5.7 |
| 10/28/23 @ Rice |
30-28 |
-10.0
L
|
35/18 |
216/91 |
6.2/5.1 |
0/0 |
22/18 |
30/29 |
251/180 |
1/1 |
2/1 |
7.8/6.0 |
467/271 |
7.0/5.6 |
| 11/04/23 @ East Carolina |
13-10 |
-17.0
L
|
40/22 |
160/76 |
4.0/3.5 |
0/0 |
16/10 |
25/18 |
211/114 |
0/0 |
2/1 |
7.8/6.0 |
371/190 |
5.5/4.6 |
Tulsa
@ 
Tulane