Game Analysis
HOUSTON (-21 ½) 38 Tulsa 21
The mirage that was highly ranked Houston has faded a bit, as the overrated Cougars lost to Navy last week. Houston is certainly a good team but they’re not a great team and Tulsa’s ability to defend the run should keep the Golden Hurricane fairly competitive. Tulsa’s starting defense has allowed just 3.9 yards per rushing play this season to teams that would combine to average 5.1 yprp against an average defense and overall the Hurricane are 0.4 yards per play better than average defensively. That fact is hidden by the 32 points per game that Tulsa has given up but only Ohio State has averaged 5.0 yppl or more against that defense. Houston will certainly top 5.0 yppl (I project 5.9 yppl for the Cougars) but it will be a challenge for the Cougars to win by three touchdowns or more. I also don’t see this game going over the inflated total. I like the Under (73).
Rush
-
Run Plays
48.0
37.6
-
Run Yards
237.6
147.8
-
YPRP
5.4
4.2
Pass
-
Pass Comp
20.0
19.4
-
Pass Att
34.4
36.8
-
Comp %
58.1%
52.7%
-
Pass Yards
243.8
231.8
-
Sacks
3.4
1.8
-
Sack Yards
22.2
10.4
-
Sack %
9.0%
4.7%
-
Pass Plays
37.8
38.6
-
Net Pass Yards
221.6
221.4
-
YPPP
5.9
5.7
Total
-
Total Plays
85.8
76.2
-
Total Yards
481.4
379.6
-
YPPL
5.6
5.0
TO
-
Int
1.4
0.8
-
Int %
4.1%
2.2%
-
Fumbles
0.8
0.8
-
Turnovers
2.2
1.6
Rush
-
Run Plays
38.4
29.6
-
Run Yards
159.0
103.8
-
YPRP
4.4
4.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
28.8
17.0
-
Pass Att
41.4
29.4
-
Comp %
69.6%
57.8%
-
Pass Yards
350.2
211.8
-
Sacks
2.2
3.0
-
Sack Yards
11.2
16.8
-
Sack %
5.0%
9.3%
-
Pass Plays
43.6
32.4
-
Net Pass Yards
339.0
195.0
-
YPPP
7.8
6.0
Total
-
Total Plays
82.0
62.0
-
Total Yards
509.2
315.6
-
YPPL
6.2
5.1
TO
-
Int
0.8
0.8
-
Int %
1.9%
2.7%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.4
-
Turnovers
1.4
1.2
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/16 San Jose St. |
45-10 |
-5.0
W
|
53/28 |
335/77 |
6.3/2.8 |
0/2 |
13/16 |
25/29 |
183/210 |
0/1 |
4/4 |
6.3/6.4 |
518/287 |
6.3/4.7 |
| 09/10/16 @ Ohio St. |
3-48 |
+28.0
L
|
34/46 |
98/277 |
2.9/6.0 |
2/1 |
15/14 |
32/22 |
109/145 |
4/0 |
2/1 |
3.2/6.3 |
207/422 |
3.0/6.1 |
| 09/17/16 North Carolina A&T |
58-21 |
0.0
W
|
35/37 |
148/141 |
4.2/3.8 |
1/0 |
25/17 |
39/36 |
346/228 |
1/2 |
3/2 |
8.2/6.0 |
494/369 |
6.4/4.9 |
| 09/24/16 @ Fresno St. |
48-41 |
-14.0
L
|
64/42 |
378/142 |
5.9/3.4 |
1/1 |
22/21 |
32/45 |
246/266 |
1/1 |
4/2 |
6.8/5.7 |
624/408 |
6.2/4.6 |
| 10/07/16 SMU |
43-40 |
-15.0
L
|
54/35 |
340/154 |
6.3/4.4 |
0/0 |
25/29 |
44/52 |
224/258 |
1/0 |
4/0 |
4.7/5.0 |
564/412 |
5.5/4.7 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/16 Oklahoma |
33-23 |
+12.0
W
|
38/21 |
102/102 |
2.7/4.9 |
1/2 |
23/24 |
40/34 |
308/303 |
0/0 |
2/5 |
7.3/7.8 |
410/405 |
5.1/6.8 |
| 09/10/16 Lamar |
42-0 |
0.0
W
|
69/25 |
381/43 |
5.5/1.7 |
0/1 |
15/7 |
26/13 |
130/30 |
1/0 |
0/3 |
5.0/1.9 |
511/73 |
5.4/1.8 |
| 09/15/16 @ Cincinnati |
40-16 |
-7.0
W
|
50/22 |
222/51 |
4.4/2.3 |
1/0 |
24/22 |
36/39 |
300/256 |
2/3 |
3/3 |
7.7/6.1 |
522/307 |
5.9/4.8 |
| 09/24/16 @ Texas State |
64-3 |
-33.5
W
|
47/19 |
254/58 |
5.4/3.1 |
0/0 |
25/20 |
32/33 |
314/88 |
0/1 |
1/3 |
9.5/2.4 |
568/146 |
7.1/2.7 |
| 09/29/16 Connecticut |
42-14 |
-27.5
W
|
27/23 |
125/83 |
4.6/3.6 |
0/0 |
40/16 |
49/36 |
418/252 |
0/0 |
3/4 |
8.0/6.3 |
543/335 |
6.9/5.3 |
| 10/08/16 @ Navy |
40-46 |
-17.5
L
|
30/63 |
148/309 |
4.9/4.9 |
1/0 |
32/3 |
50/5 |
355/76 |
2/0 |
2/0 |
6.8/15.2 |
503/385 |
6.1/5.7 |
Tulsa
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